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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction & Betting Tips - Jupiler Pro League

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
16/08/2025 13:45
Standard Liege

Prediction :

 

Union Saint-Gilloise to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Jupiler Pro League Predictions

Last season Union Saint-Gilloise ended their long title drought in the Belgian topflight, and are looking to defend it. Matchday 4 finds them top of the standings, ahead of their match against Standard Liege, both having bagged seven points so far. Read on for our prediction.

Union had a shaky start to the season but have since stabilized. In their very first game, they suffered a 2-1 loss to Club Brugge in the Super Cup. They then drew 1-1 with Antwerp before rediscovering their best shape.

The champions are coming off two straight wins – the latest a 3-2 victory away to Gent. USG are also unbeaten in four matches against Standard Liege.

Standard Liege are coming off a 2-1 win at home against Genk. The visitors are looking to do better than last season, when they finished outside the top six. They’ve started well with two wins in three matches, but the tough run starts here.

Beating USG will come with a psychological boost to drive them through the next few weeks. On the road in this fixture, though, Standard Liege have been poor; they lost three of the last four and won only two of 10 meetings home and away in the Jupiler League.  

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The Best Betting Odds for Union Saint-Gilloise v Standard Liege Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.33 4.75 10
Betfred
1.29 4.6 9
William Hill
1.3 4.8 9
Betway
1.33 4.75 8.5
Unibet
1.3 5.3 9.5
Check all Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Standard Liege?

Our prediction for the Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege match is: Union Saint-Gilloise to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Union Saint-Gilloise and Standard Liege in Jupiler Pro League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.95% for a win of Union Saint-Gilloise against Standard Liege with odds of 1.34 at Bwin.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege is 33.89% with odds of 5.3 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Standard Liege vs Union Saint-Gilloise with odds of 10 at Bet365.

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Form

Union Saint-Gilloise and Standard Liege's standings in the Jupiler Pro League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
7 3 2 1 0 6
3
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
7 3 2 1 0 3

Union Saint-Gilloise and Standard Liege Last Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise Last matches
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Gent
2 :  3
Union Saint-Gilloise

3 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
5 :  0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

25 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Royal Antwerp
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

20 Jul 2025 - Super Cup

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  2
Club Brugge

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
0 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
5 :  0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

20 Jul 2025 - Super Cup

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  2
Club Brugge

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Saint-Gilloise
3 :  1
Union Rochefortoise

25 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
3 :  1
Gent

3 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Genk
W W D W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Gent
2 :  3
Union Saint-Gilloise

25 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Royal Antwerp
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
0 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

17 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Royal Antwerp
0 :  4
Union Saint-Gilloise

10 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht
0 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise
Standard Liege
Standard Liege Last matches
D W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
2 :  1
Genk

2 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
1 :  1
FCV Dender EH

26 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louviere
0 :  2
Standard Liege

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lens
2 :  2
Standard Liege

4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Standard Liege
2 :  0
Maastricht

24 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Westerlo
0 :  0
Standard Liege
L L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
2 :  1
Genk

2 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
1 :  1
FCV Dender EH

4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Standard Liege
2 :  0
Maastricht

17 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
0 :  0
FCV Dender EH

4 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
0 :  1
Charleroi

22 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
0 :  1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
D D D D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louviere
0 :  2
Standard Liege

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lens
2 :  2
Standard Liege

24 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Westerlo
0 :  0
Standard Liege

10 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Mechelen
0 :  0
Standard Liege

26 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1 :  1
Standard Liege

13 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

FCV Dender EH
1 :  1
Standard Liege

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Union Saint-Gilloise

67 %

Draw

17 %

Standard Liege

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (home team)
1.17
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

9 Mar 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
3 :  0
Standard Liege

20 Sep 2024 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
0 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise

25 Feb 2024 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  1
Standard Liege

4 Aug 2023 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
0 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

18 Feb 2023 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  4
Standard Liege

13 Nov 2022 - Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege
2 :  3
Union Saint-Gilloise
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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege last Lineups

Union Saint-Gilloise

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

1
V. Chambaere
5
K. Mac Allister
16
C. Burgess
48
F. Leysen
25
A. Khalaili
24
C. Vanhoutte
8
A. Zorgane
22
O. Niang
10
A. El Hadj
30
R. Florucz
13
K. Rodriguez
9
T. Henry
17
R. Said
8
N. Mehssatou
7
T. Mohr
94
C. Nielsen
23
M. Ilaimaharitra
22
A. Calut
24
J. Homawoo
29
D. Dierckx
13
M. Fossey
1
M. Epolo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Standard Liege

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Union Saint-Gilloise
CD Huachipato Standard Liege
Top Goalscorer
Austria R. Florucz (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France T. Henry (2 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal O. Niang (1 Assists)
Morocco S. Boufal (1 Assists)
Belgium A. El Hadj (1 Assists)
Algeria A. Zorgane (1 Assists)
Belgium F. Leysen (1 Assists)
England C. Burgess (1 Assists)
Belgium C. Vanhoutte (1 Assists)
Best assists
R. Said (1 Assists)
France T. Henry (1 Assists)

Union Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liege Key Points

  1. Standard Liege won just once in seven away league games.
  2. Eight of the last 10 meetings between these sides had over 2.5 goals.
  3. Standard Liege lost six of their last eight meetings with Union Saint-Gilloise.
  4. Union Saint-Gilloise are unbeaten in 13 league matches.
  5. Six of USG’s last 10 home league games had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise have stabilized in recent matches after a shaky start to the season. They have added to their unbeaten finish last season and come here on a very strong run. Playing at home will be an added advantage.

With their recent league matches producing high scores, this one surely comes packed with entertainment. Standard Liege have struggled in this fixture, and that could continue here. Our prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise v Standard Liege is for Union Saint-Gilloise to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Union Saint-Gilloise to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction
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