Union Berlin vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
01/11/2025 10:30
Freiburg

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

It’s a battle of two inconsistent teams as Union Berlin and Freiburg meet in the matchday nine fixture of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday between the 10th-placed ‘Die Eisernen’ and the 11th-placed ‘Breisgau-Brasilianer’ comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.

With ten points (W3, D1, L4), Union start this round three points outside the European qualification places. Freiburg are just a point behind them (W2, D3, L3) and are five points above the bottom three teams.

Union defeated Arminia Bielefeld via an extra-time goal in the DFB Pokal competition this week. It was a welcome relief, as they have now won two of their last three games.

The challenge for Union is to find some consistency in the Bundesliga form. They lost 1-0 away at Werder last matchday, although their record of just one defeat in four league matches at home (W2, D1, L1) makes them a tough nut.

Freiburg also had a successful week, winning 3-1 over Fortuna Dusseldorf in the midweek cup competition game. That result made it five wins from their last ten matches (W5, D4, L1), although the spate of draws is a concern.

With two losses and just one win from their four league trips this season, Freiburg face a challenge of improving their record on the road.

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The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v Freiburg Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.63 3.2 2.75
Betfred
2.6 3.2 2.8
William Hill
2.5 3.2 2.75
Unibet
2.7 3.1 2.75
Betway
2.7 3.1 2.7
Check all Union Berlin vs Freiburg odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Freiburg?

Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Freiburg match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Union Berlin and Freiburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.93% for a win of Union Berlin against Freiburg with odds of 2.78 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Freiburg is 28.12% with odds of 3.49 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.9 at 888Starz.

Union Berlin - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:

Union Berlin Freiburg Prediction Probability Odds
Union Berlin wins 39.93% 2.78 at 22bet
Over 2.5 goals 54.12% 2.4 at Stake
Both Team To Score 57.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Union Berlin 16.09% 6 at Bet365

Union Berlin vs Freiburg Form

Union Berlin and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
18 14 5 3 6 -4
9
Freiburg
Freiburg
17 14 4 5 5 -2

Union Berlin and Freiburg Last Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin Last matches
L L W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Union Berlin
2 :  1
Arminia Bielefeld

24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  0
Union Berlin

17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Union Berlin

28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Hamburg

21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
3 :  4
Union Berlin
L L W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Union Berlin
2 :  1
Arminia Bielefeld

17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Hamburg

13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
2 :  4
Hoffenheim

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
2 :  1
Stuttgart

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
0 :  1
Olympiacos
D L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  0
Union Berlin

4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Union Berlin

21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
3 :  4
Union Berlin

31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Union Berlin

15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal

FC Gutersloh 2000
0 :  5
Union Berlin

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Greuther Furth
1 :  0
Union Berlin
Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
W W D D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1 :  3
Freiburg

26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Freiburg

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  0
Utrecht

19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Freiburg

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Freiburg
D L W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  0
Utrecht

19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
Hoffenheim

24 Sept 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  1
FC Basel 1893

13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  1
Stuttgart

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Augsburg
W W L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1 :  3
Freiburg

26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Freiburg

5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Freiburg

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Freiburg

20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  3
Freiburg

31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
4 :  1
Freiburg

Union Berlin vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Union Berlin

50 %

Draw

33 %

Freiburg

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (home team)
1.33
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Union Berlin

8 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Freiburg

18 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
2 :  1
Freiburg

13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Union Berlin

13 May 2023 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
4 :  2
Freiburg

13 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4 :  1
Union Berlin

Players list

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Goalkeeper

F. Ronnow

Defender

D. Doekhi

L. Querfeld

D. Leite

T. Rothe

Midfielder

I. Ansah

R. Khedira

A. Kral

A. Schafer

C. Trimmel

Forward

O. Burke

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

N. Atubolu

Defender

P. Treu

M. Ginter

M. Rosenfelder

J. Makengo

Midfielder

M. Eggestein

J. Manzambi

L. Kubler

D. Scherhant

Forward

N. Hofler

I. Matanovic

Substitutes

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Goalkeeper

M. Raab

Defender

T. Rothe

D. Kohn

C. Trimmel

J. Haberer

S. Nsoki

Midfielder

A. Kral

A. Kemlein

J. Woo-yeong

Forward

D. Bogdanov

O. Burke

A. Ilic

I. Ansah

T. Skarke

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

Defender

B. Ogbus

A. Jung

L. Kubler

J. Beste

C. Gunter

Midfielder

Y. Suzuki

N. Hofler

L. Holer

Forward

I. Matanovic

J. Adamu

D. Scherhant

V. Grifo

Missing players

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Defender

A. Markgraf

Midfielder

L. Burcu

Forward

R. Skov

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

P. Lienhart

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

Forward

C. Irie

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Union Berlin
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
Germany I. Ansah (5 Goals)
Netherlands D. Doekhi (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (8 Goals)
Best assists
Serbia A. Ilic (6 Assists)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (3 Assists)
Germany C. Gunter (3 Assists)

Union Berlin - Freiburg Key Points

  1. Five of Freiburg’s last seven competitive matches produced under 2.5 goals.
  2. Three of Freiburg’s last four away competitive trips have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
  3. In three of their last four Bundesliga games, Union Berlin saw fewer than three goals scored.
  4. Union Berlin failed to score in four of their eight league games this season.
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Our Union Berlin vs Freiburg Prediction

There’s little to separate these teams as they look to move out of the mid-table logjam. Union Berlin are yet to display consistency, which was also the case for Freiburg, who have been drawing too many games recently. Both teams have struggled in front of the goal, with their tally of 11 goals each among the lowest in the division this season.

The scoring woes could continue here, which brings into play a low-scoring affair. Our Union Berlin vs Freiburg prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Freiburg

Union Berlin vs Freiburg Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Union Berlin wins 2.5 2.63 +5.2%
Draw 3.6 3.2 -11.1%
Freiburg wins 2.6 2.75 +5.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Union Berlin is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 5.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 38.0% (-2.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Union Berlin vs Freiburg Prediction