Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Bundesliga Predictions
It’s a battle of two inconsistent teams as Union Berlin and Freiburg meet in the matchday nine fixture of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday between the 10th-placed ‘Die Eisernen’ and the 11th-placed ‘Breisgau-Brasilianer’ comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
With ten points (W3, D1, L4), Union start this round three points outside the European qualification places. Freiburg are just a point behind them (W2, D3, L3) and are five points above the bottom three teams.
Union defeated Arminia Bielefeld via an extra-time goal in the DFB Pokal competition this week. It was a welcome relief, as they have now won two of their last three games.
The challenge for Union is to find some consistency in the Bundesliga form. They lost 1-0 away at Werder last matchday, although their record of just one defeat in four league matches at home (W2, D1, L1) makes them a tough nut.
Freiburg also had a successful week, winning 3-1 over Fortuna Dusseldorf in the midweek cup competition game. That result made it five wins from their last ten matches (W5, D4, L1), although the spate of draws is a concern.
With two losses and just one win from their four league trips this season, Freiburg face a challenge of improving their record on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v Freiburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.35 | 2.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Freiburg match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Union Berlin and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.9% for a win of Union Berlin against Freiburg with odds of 2.64 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Freiburg is 28.09% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.8 at Betfred.
Union Berlin vs Freiburg Form
Union Berlin and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 |
|
11
|
9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 |
Union Berlin and Freiburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
13 May 2023 - Bundesliga
13 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Freiburg last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Markgraf
MidfielderA. Kemlein
L. Burcu
ForwardR. Skov
P. Lienhart
MidfielderD. Kyereh
P. Osterhage
ForwardC. Irie
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Freiburg
I. Ansah
(4 Goals)
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
A. Ilic
(5 Assists)
V. Grifo
(2 Assists)
,
C. Gunter
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(2 Assists)
Union Berlin and Freiburg Stats in Bundesliga
Union Berlin - Freiburg Key Points
- Five of Freiburg’s last seven competitive matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Freiburg’s last four away competitive trips have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
- In three of their last four Bundesliga games, Union Berlin saw fewer than three goals scored.
- Union Berlin failed to score in four of their eight league games this season.
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Our Union Berlin vs Freiburg Prediction
There’s little to separate these teams as they look to move out of the mid-table logjam. Union Berlin are yet to display consistency, which was also the case for Freiburg, who have been drawing too many games recently. Both teams have struggled in front of the goal, with their tally of 11 goals each among the lowest in the division this season.
The scoring woes could continue here, which brings into play a low-scoring affair. Our Union Berlin vs Freiburg prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
