Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen will look to ride on their recent form and win against a struggling Union Berlin as the teams meet in a Bundesliga matchday 23 fixture on Saturday. This match in Berlin between the 10th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ and the sixth-placed ‘Factory XI’ comes with our prediction of an away win.
Ahead of this round, Union’s 25 points from 22 matches (W6, D7, L9) keep them just six points above the relegation zone. Leverkusen have 39 points from 21 matches (W12, D3, L6) and are three points outside the top four.
Union were beaten 3-2 away at Hamburg last weekend, extending their wait for a win in 2026 (D4, L3). That included three defeats in their last four matches as they struggle to steer clear of the relegation zone.
The challenge is equally difficult when playing at home, as Union have just one win from their last eight matches here in all competitions (D4, L3).
Leverkusen won the reverse fixture 2-0 and also won 2-0 in the midweek Champions League fixture. That result made it six wins and a draw from their last seven competitive matches.
The Factory XI have three wins from four Bundesliga matches (D1), but need to improve their away form. Leverkusen have just three wins from their last seven away league games (D1, L3).
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Union Berlin v Bayer Leverkusen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.28 | 2.37 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.36 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.2 | 2.36 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Bayer Leverkusen wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.32% for a win of Union Berlin against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 3.2 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen is 24.19% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.65 at 888Starz.
Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 54.49% | 2.65 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.39% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 58.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen | 24.87% | 3.8 at LSbet |
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 |
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Raab
DefenderC. Trimmel
A. Markgraf
MidfielderT. Skarke
L. Burcu
A. Kral
D. Preu
I. Ansah
O. Burke
J. Omlin
DefenderJ. Quansah
T. Oermann
L. Vazquez
E. Palacios
J. Hofmann
M. Terrier
E. Poku
P. Schick
Missing players
J. Juranovic
D. Leite
T. Rothe
ForwardR. Skov
M. Flekken
ForwardN. Tella
E. Ben Seghir
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
P. Schick
(16 Goals)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
A. Garcia
(8 Assists)
Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Union lost three of their last four Bundesliga matches.
- At home, Union were beaten in three of their last six competitive matches.
- Leverkusen have won ten of their last 15 away matches in all competitions.
- Leverkusen have won four of their last five Bundesliga matches against Union Berlin.
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Our Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Union start this round six points above the relegation zone, and that lead is looking porous as ever. They have three defeats from their last four league games and are struggling to get a win in their corner. In fact, they are yet to win a league match in 2026 and have four draws plus three defeats in the Bundesliga. Leverkusen bring contrasting form, as they have six wins and a draw from their last seven competitive matches.
That included five victories with a clean sheet in tow, so our Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is Bayer Leverkusen wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Bayer Leverkusen
| Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 2.27 | 2.65 | +16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.1% and is now 37.7% (-6.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
