Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Prediction & Betting Tips - K-League

South Korea - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
11/07/2026 06:30
Jeonbuk FC

Prediction :

 

Jeonbuk win or draw + under 4.5 goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions

The Hyundai Derby returns on Saturday with second-place Ulsan HD and fourth-place Jeonbuk renewing rivalry in a blockbuster South Korean K League 1 clash. Tigers and Green Warriors have shared all nine K League titles between them since 2017. With only one point separating them in the standings, the outcome of this match could determine who gains more ground in the race for the next crown. The last 18 meetings between these two sides have been tight, low-scoring contests, but defending champions Jeonbuk arrive in better recent form. This is why our prediction favors the away team in another low-scoring encounter. 

Three consecutive wins had kept Ulsan HD firm in the race for the league title before a sudden drop-off in form left them eight points adrift of league leaders Seoul. Last weekend, Kim Hyun-seok's men squandered a one-goal lead and settled for a 1–1 draw against bottom-placed Gwangju FC, making it two matches without a win and five consecutive outings producing fewer than four goals. 

Jeonbuk fell 2–1 to third-place Gangwon last week, but will be confident of a strong showing on Saturday. Prior to last week's setback, the 10-time league champions had been on an impressive six-match run without a loss (W4, D2). They haven't tasted defeat in their last four away matches and have won their last three meetings with Ulsan HD, all of which ended with under 4.5 goals.

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Ulsan HD FC v Jeonbuk FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.65 3.25 2.55
1xbet
2.63 3.3 2.57
Melbet
2.63 3.3 2.57
Betwinner
2.63 3.3 2.57
22bet
2.63 3.3 2.57
Check all Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC?

Our prediction for the Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC match is: Jeonbuk win or draw + under 4.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/07/2026 between Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC in K-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.5% for a win of Ulsan HD FC against Jeonbuk FC with odds of 2.65 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC is 22.26% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Jeonbuk FC vs Ulsan HD FC with odds of 2.63 at Bet365.

Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Form

Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC's standings in the K-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Ulsan HD FC
27 16 8 3 5 +2
4 Jeonbuk FC
26 16 7 5 4 +8

Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC Last Matches

Ulsan HD FC
Ulsan HD FC Last matches
L W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2026 - K-League

Gwangju FC
1 :  1
Ulsan HD FC

17 May 2026 - K-League

Gangwon FC
2 :  0
Ulsan HD FC

13 May 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
2 :  1
Jeju United

10 May 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
1 :  0
Bucheon FC

5 May 2026 - K-League

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 :  2
Ulsan HD FC

2 May 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
0 :  1
Pohang Steelers
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
2 :  1
Jeju United

10 May 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
1 :  0
Bucheon FC

2 May 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
0 :  1
Pohang Steelers

26 Apr 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
1 :  4
Daejeon Citizen

19 Apr 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
5 :  1
Gwangju FC

15 Apr 2026 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
1 :  4
FC Seoul
L W D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2026 - K-League

Gwangju FC
1 :  1
Ulsan HD FC

17 May 2026 - K-League

Gangwon FC
2 :  0
Ulsan HD FC

5 May 2026 - K-League

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 :  2
Ulsan HD FC

22 Apr 2026 - K-League

FC Anyang
1 :  1
Ulsan HD FC

11 Apr 2026 - K-League

Incheon United
1 :  2
Ulsan HD FC

4 Apr 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
2 :  0
Ulsan HD FC
Jeonbuk FC
Jeonbuk FC Last matches
W W D D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
1 :  2
Gangwon FC

17 May 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
1 :  0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

13 May 2026 - K-League

Bucheon FC
0 :  0
Jeonbuk FC

10 May 2026 - K-League

FC Anyang
1 :  1
Jeonbuk FC

5 May 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
4 :  0
Gwangju FC

2 May 2026 - K-League

Jeju United
0 :  2
Jeonbuk FC
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
1 :  2
Gangwon FC

17 May 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
1 :  0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

5 May 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
4 :  0
Gwangju FC

26 Apr 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
3 :  2
Pohang Steelers

21 Apr 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
1 :  2
Incheon United

4 Apr 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
2 :  0
Ulsan HD FC
W L D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - K-League

Bucheon FC
0 :  0
Jeonbuk FC

10 May 2026 - K-League

FC Anyang
1 :  1
Jeonbuk FC

2 May 2026 - K-League

Jeju United
0 :  2
Jeonbuk FC

18 Apr 2026 - K-League

Gangwon FC
1 :  1
Jeonbuk FC

11 Apr 2026 - K-League

FC Seoul
1 :  0
Jeonbuk FC

21 Mar 2026 - K-League

Daejeon Citizen
0 :  1
Jeonbuk FC

Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ulsan HD FC

33 %

Draw

0 %

Jeonbuk FC

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
2 :  0
Ulsan HD FC

30 Aug 2025 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
0 :  2
Jeonbuk FC

31 May 2025 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
3 :  1
Ulsan HD FC

1 Mar 2025 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
1 :  0
Jeonbuk FC

20 Jul 2024 - K-League

Jeonbuk FC
2 :  0
Ulsan HD FC

1 Jun 2024 - K-League

Ulsan HD FC
1 :  0
Jeonbuk FC
Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Prediction

Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC last Lineups

Ulsan HD FC

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

21
J. Hyeon-woo
66
M. Trojak
19
K. Young-gwon
15
S. Jung
77
S. Sang-min
24
L. Gyu-sung
6
D. Bojanic
26
C. Hyun taek
14
L. Jin-hyun
99
Y. Cariello
17
K. Sang-woo
99
B. Mota
11
K. Seung-sub
8
O. Alionco de Lima
7
L. Dong-Jun
28
L. Yeong-jae
6
M. Seong-ung
66
C. Woo-jin
2
K. Yeong-bin
5
J. Park
23
K. Tae hwan
1
J. Lee

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Jeonbuk FC

Substitutes

Ulsan HD FC
Ulsan HD FC
Goalkeeper

C. Ju-ho

Defender

L. Jae-Ik

Midfielder

L. Dong-gyeong

B. In-woo

L. Min-hyuk

J. Si young

Forward

B. Michel

Marcao

L. Heui-kyun

Jeonbuk FC
Jeonbuk FC
Goalkeeper

C. Dae-young

Defender

K. Tae hyeon

K. Ha-jun

L. Sang-myung

J. Yeon

Midfielder

H. Seok-jin

K. Ye-geon

L. Seung-woo

Joao Gamboa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ulsan HD FC
CD Huachipato Jeonbuk FC
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Y. Cariello (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
South Korea L. Seung-woo (4 Goals) Brazil O. Tiago (4 Goals)
Best assists
South Korea L. Gyu-sung (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil B. Mota (2 Assists)
South Korea K. Sang-Yun (2 Assists)

Ulsan HD FC - Jeonbuk FC Key Points

  1. Ulsan HD have failed to win their last two matches.
  2. Ulsan HD’s last six matches have ended with under 4.5 goals.
  3. Jeonbuk have avoided defeat in six of their last seven matches, six of those produced fewer than five goals.
  4. Jeonbuk have won their last three matches against Ulsan HD and are unbeaten in their last four road trips.
  5. The last 18 meetings between Jeonbuk and Ulsan HD have ended with under 4.5 goals.
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Our Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Prediction

For the first time since 2017, Ulsan HD and Jeonbuk could see their nine-year monopoly of the South Korean topflight come to an end. The two teams have sizeable point margins separating them from Seoul at the top and will look to reduce that gap on Saturday. 

Notably, Ulsan HD's sudden drop-off leaves them on the back foot here against a Jeonbuk side that is unbeaten in recent road trips. Meanwhile, both teams' recent matches have been low-scoring affairs. Our Ulsan HD vs Jeonbuk prediction : Jeonbuk win or draw + under 4.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Jeonbuk win or draw + under 4.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.