Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Prediction & Betting Tips - K-League
South Korea - K-League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
The Hyundai Derby returns on Saturday with second-place Ulsan HD and fourth-place Jeonbuk renewing rivalry in a blockbuster South Korean K League 1 clash. Tigers and Green Warriors have shared all nine K League titles between them since 2017. With only one point separating them in the standings, the outcome of this match could determine who gains more ground in the race for the next crown. The last 18 meetings between these two sides have been tight, low-scoring contests, but defending champions Jeonbuk arrive in better recent form. This is why our prediction favors the away team in another low-scoring encounter.
Three consecutive wins had kept Ulsan HD firm in the race for the league title before a sudden drop-off in form left them eight points adrift of league leaders Seoul. Last weekend, Kim Hyun-seok's men squandered a one-goal lead and settled for a 1–1 draw against bottom-placed Gwangju FC, making it two matches without a win and five consecutive outings producing fewer than four goals.
Jeonbuk fell 2–1 to third-place Gangwon last week, but will be confident of a strong showing on Saturday. Prior to last week's setback, the 10-time league champions had been on an impressive six-match run without a loss (W4, D2). They haven't tasted defeat in their last four away matches and have won their last three meetings with Ulsan HD, all of which ended with under 4.5 goals.
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Ulsan HD FC v Jeonbuk FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.2 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.45 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.32 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.3 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.45 | 2.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC?
Our prediction for the Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC match is: Jeonbuk win or draw + under 4.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/07/2026 between Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC in K-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.35% for a win of Ulsan HD FC against Jeonbuk FC with odds of 601 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC is 22.32% with odds of 101 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Jeonbuk FC vs Ulsan HD FC with odds of 2.63 at Bet365.
Ulsan HD FC - Jeonbuk FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ulsan HD FC Jeonbuk FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk FC wins | 45.33% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 63.23% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Jeonbuk FC | 18.12% | 6.5 at LSbet |
Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Form
Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC's standings in the K-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
44 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +5 |
|
3
|
43 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +11 |
Ulsan HD FC and Jeonbuk FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2026 - K-League
17 May 2026 - K-League
13 May 2026 - K-League
10 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - K-League
10 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
26 Apr 2026 - K-League
19 Apr 2026 - K-League
15 Apr 2026 - K-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2026 - K-League
17 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
22 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
4 Apr 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - K-League
17 May 2026 - K-League
13 May 2026 - K-League
10 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - K-League
17 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
26 Apr 2026 - K-League
21 Apr 2026 - K-League
4 Apr 2026 - K-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - K-League
10 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
18 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
21 Mar 2026 - K-League
Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Apr 2026 - K-League
30 Aug 2025 - K-League
31 May 2025 - K-League
1 Mar 2025 - K-League
20 Jul 2024 - K-League
1 Jun 2024 - K-League
Ulsan HD FC against Jeonbuk FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Ju-ho
DefenderT. Oude Kotte
M. Trojak
MidfielderB. In-woo
L. Min-hyuk
J. Si young
S. Myung-Guan
Marcao
L. Heui-kyun
J. Lee
DefenderL. Sang-myung
C. Wi-je
K. Ha-jun
MidfielderL. Yeong-jae
Joao Gamboa
L. Seung-woo
K. Ye-geon
G. Paulauskas
Most goals and assists
Ulsan HD FC
Jeonbuk FC
Y. Cariello
(13 Goals)
L. Seung-woo
(8 Goals)
L. Dong-gyeong
(9 Assists)
L. Dong-Jun
(5 Assists)
Ulsan HD FC - Jeonbuk FC Key Points
- Ulsan HD have failed to win their last two matches.
- Ulsan HD’s last six matches have ended with under 4.5 goals.
- Jeonbuk have avoided defeat in six of their last seven matches, six of those produced fewer than five goals.
- Jeonbuk have won their last three matches against Ulsan HD and are unbeaten in their last four road trips.
- The last 18 meetings between Jeonbuk and Ulsan HD have ended with under 4.5 goals.
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Our Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC Prediction
For the first time since 2017, Ulsan HD and Jeonbuk could see their nine-year monopoly of the South Korean topflight come to an end. The two teams have sizeable point margins separating them from Seoul at the top and will look to reduce that gap on Saturday.
Notably, Ulsan HD's sudden drop-off leaves them on the back foot here against a Jeonbuk side that is unbeaten in recent road trips. Meanwhile, both teams' recent matches have been low-scoring affairs. Our Ulsan HD vs Jeonbuk prediction : Jeonbuk win or draw + under 4.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ulsan HD FC Jeonbuk FC
| Ulsan HD FC vs Jeonbuk FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan HD FC wins | 2.5 | 601 | +23,940.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 101 | +2,960.6% |
| Jeonbuk FC wins | 2.5 | 2.63 | +5.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Jeonbuk FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 38.0% (-2.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
