Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Tusker FC will next entertain Mara Sugar as the Kenyan Premier League enters the 29th round of matches. The Brewers host this game sitting seventh in the league standings, four places ahead of Mara Sugar. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Following a slow start to the season, Tusker, who have been forced to a coaching change, will not be in the title race. They trail league leaders Gor Mahia by 17 points with six matches to go.
The Ruaraka-based side posted a 0-0 draw with bottom-placed Sofapaka last time out, leaving them with 41 points from 28 games.
Mara Sugar will be out to frustrate their hosts even more, and they arrive in Nairobi on a high. The Millers are unbeaten in the last three matches, winning two back to back.
This will mark the fifth straight game against a side from the capital, and they are looking to build on identical 1-0 wins over Kariobangi Sharks and Posta Rangers.
With 37 points from their opening 28 matches, the visitors have opened up an 11-point buffer from the relegation zone.
Avoiding a defeat this week will pass as another giant step towards survival, with six matches remaining in the season. Mara Sugar lost 1-0 in the reverse meeting with Tusker in November.
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Tusker Football Club v Mara Sugar FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.18 | 2.7 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.32 | 2.38 | 4 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.62 | 4.32 |
|
|
2.47 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.06 | 2.62 | 4.27 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Tusker Football Club and Mara Sugar FC?
Our prediction for the Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC match is: Tusker wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/04/2026 between Tusker Football Club and Mara Sugar FC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.76% for a win of Tusker Football Club against Mara Sugar FC with odds of 2.47 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC is 41.98% with odds of 2.85 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Football Club with odds of 4.32 at Betwinner.
Tusker Football Club - Mara Sugar FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tusker Football Club Mara Sugar FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.98% | 2.85 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 69.82% | 1.6 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.17% | 3.75 at LSbet |
Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC Form
Tusker Football Club and Mara Sugar FC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | -5 |
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Tusker Football Club and Mara Sugar FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
28 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
28 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Tusker Football Club - Mara Sugar FC Key Points
- Mara Sugar won just one of their last 10 away league matches.
- Tusker posted four wins in their last five competitive home matches.
- Mara Sugar have never beaten Tusker before, and lost on their last visit.
- Tusker are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
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Our Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction
This match marks the fourth meeting between these two sides. As Mara Sugar looks to stay up for a third straight season, they will also be gunning for a first win ever against Tusker. That could prove tough for the Millers as they come here with just one win in their last 10 away matches.
It also makes things tough for them that Tusker are on four wins in their last five home matches while being unbeaten in six straight. The last time Mara Sugar played against Tusker on the road, they lost 2-1. Our prediction for Tusker FC v Mara Sugar is that Tusker wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tusker Football Club Mara Sugar FC
| Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker Football Club wins | 2.33 | 2.47 | +6.0% |
| Draw | 2.9 | 2.85 | -1.7% |
| Mara Sugar FC wins | 3.35 | 4.32 | +29.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 35.1% (0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
