Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League

Kenya - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
11/01/2026 07:00
Leopards SC

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah in Kenyan Premier League Predictions

Tusker FC meets AFC Leopards in one of the top matches lined up in the Kenyan Premier League this weekend. Going into the game, the Leopards sit atop the standings, three places ahead of their hosts. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Tusker bounced back from their 1-0 loss to Nairobi United in the last game, beating APS Bomet by the same scoreline. With four wins in the last five matches, the Brewers will be confident of overcoming the marauding Leopards.

They’ve, however, failed to win this fixture across the teams’ last two meetings. Home form is also a source of concern for Charles Okere’s side, having lost two of the last three outings they hosted.

Leopards didn’t start the year in the best fashion, losing 1-0 at home to Kakamega Homeboyz. However, they recovered in their most recent outing with a 2-0 victory against Nairobi United.

That was not only their third win in four matches but also the catalyst to their return to the top of the table. Fred Ambani’s side has this season only suffered two defeats, the least across all teams in the league.

They’ve also posted three clean sheets in their last five matches and are unbeaten in the last five games on the road, winning three.

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The Best Betting Odds for Tusker Football Club v Leopards SC Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.43 2.74 3.08
Shangrila
2.45 2.7 3.05
888Starz
2.43 2.74 3.08
LSbet
2.47 2.8 3.05
Check all Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Tusker Football Club and Leopards SC?

Our prediction for the Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between Tusker Football Club and Leopards SC in Kenyan Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.43% for a win of Tusker Football Club against Leopards SC with odds of 2.47 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC is 31.55% with odds of 2.8 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Leopards SC vs Tusker Football Club with odds of 3.08 at Melbet.

Tusker Football Club - Leopards SC Prediction and Best Odds:

Tusker Football Club Leopards SC Prediction Probability Odds
Leopards SC wins 36.02% 3.08 at Melbet
Under 2.5 81.25%
Both Team To Score 31.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leopards SC 18.41%

Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC Form

Tusker Football Club and Leopards SC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Leopards SC
Leopards SC
27 15 7 6 2 6
4
Tusker Football Club
Tusker Football Club
24 15 7 3 5 2

Tusker Football Club and Leopards SC Last Matches

Tusker Football Club
Tusker Football Club Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Aps Bomet FC
0 :  1
Tusker Football Club

17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
0 :  1
Nairobi United FC

14 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Sofapaka FC
0 :  2
Tusker Football Club

5 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
1 :  0
Ulinzi Stars

29 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Mara Sugar FC
0 :  1
Tusker Football Club

22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
1 :  0
Tusker Football Club
D D W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
0 :  1
Nairobi United FC

5 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
1 :  0
Ulinzi Stars

16 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
1 :  2
Kenya Police FC

29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
2 :  1
Kariobangi Sharks

5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
1 :  1
Shabana FC

1 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
0 :  0
Mathare United
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Aps Bomet FC
0 :  1
Tusker Football Club

14 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Sofapaka FC
0 :  2
Tusker Football Club

29 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Mara Sugar FC
0 :  1
Tusker Football Club

22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
1 :  0
Tusker Football Club

7 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Bidco United
0 :  1
Tusker Football Club

2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Kakamega Homeboyz
1 :  1
Tusker Football Club
Leopards SC
Leopards SC Last matches
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Nairobi United FC
0 :  2
Leopards SC

4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
0 :  1
Kakamega Homeboyz

23 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Bidco United
0 :  1
Leopards SC

18 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
2 :  1
Ulinzi Stars

13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Kenya Police FC
0 :  0
Leopards SC

7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
0 :  1
Leopards SC
D W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
0 :  1
Kakamega Homeboyz

18 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
2 :  1
Ulinzi Stars

16 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
0 :  0
Muranga Seal

2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
2 :  0
Mathare United

25 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
2 :  1
Kenya Commercial Bank

15 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
0 :  0
Bandari FC
L D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Nairobi United FC
0 :  2
Leopards SC

23 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Bidco United
0 :  1
Leopards SC

13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Kenya Police FC
0 :  0
Leopards SC

7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
0 :  1
Leopards SC

23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  1
Leopards SC

8 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Mara Sugar FC
2 :  0
Leopards SC

Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Tusker Football Club

33 %

Draw

33 %

Leopards SC

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (home team)
1.33
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
0 :  0
Leopards SC

11 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
4 :  1
Tusker Football Club

10 Mar 2024 - Kenyan Premier League

Tusker Football Club
1 :  0
Leopards SC

Tusker Football Club - Leopards SC Key Points

  1. Leopards have scored 1.06 goals per game this season.
  2. Tusker FC have averaged 0.86 goals per league game so far.
  3. Each of Tusker FC’s last six outings resulted in under 2.5 goals.
  4. Each of Leopards’ last six away matches ended in under 2.5 goals.
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Our Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC Prediction

AFC Leopards come here with the upper hand and have also avoided defeat in their last two matches against Tusker. They have the momentum to extend this unbeaten run, but what they lack is attacking firepower.

The Leopards have scored more than a goal in just two of the last nine games but have been sturdy in defence, recording six clean sheets in 10 games. Tusker have also had similar numbers, with shutouts in five of their last eight matches and under 2.5 goals in eight of 10. Our prediction for Tusker v AFC Leopards is for less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tusker Football Club vs Leopards SC Prediction