Turkiye vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions
Turkey’s hopes for a return to the World Cup after more than two decades remain alive as they prepare to host Bulgaria. This match in Group E has Turkey in second place and Bulgaria at the bottom. Read on for our prediction.
Turkey have banked nine points after only losing to Spain in their four matches in this group. They need to only avoid defeat on Saturday to secure the second spot.
Heading into the final two rounds, Turkey still have an outside chance of finishing on top, as they face leaders Spain next week. The Crescent-Stars blanked Georgia 4-1 last time out, building on an earlier 6-1 win over Bulgaria.
With two wins and 10 goals, Turkey responded to their 6-0 loss to Spain. Now it is time for Bulgaria to have their response to the 6-1 defeat to Turkey.
Right after that loss, they fell 4-0 to Spain in what’s their latest outing. Bulgaria have been the whipping boys in this group, losing all their four matches.
This run builds on a nine-match winless streak, with seven defeats in the process. In their last five games, Bulgaria scored just once. It may give them some hope that the sole goal was scored against Turkey.
In each of those five games, however, Bulgaria conceded 3+ goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Turkiye v Bulgaria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.09 | 12 | 19 |
|
|
|
1.1 | 9.5 | 26 |
|
|
|
1.08 | 10 | 26 |
|
|
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1.09 | 9.5 | 23 |
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|
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1.13 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Turkiye and Bulgaria?
Our prediction for the Turkiye vs Bulgaria match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2025 between Turkiye and Bulgaria in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 79.62% for a win of Turkiye against Bulgaria with odds of 1.15 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Turkiye vs Bulgaria is 8.21% with odds of 13 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Bulgaria vs Turkiye with odds of 40 at Shangrila.
Turkiye - Bulgaria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Turkiye Bulgaria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Turkiye wins | 79.62% | 1.15 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.34% | 1.42 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 2.7 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Turkiye | 35.9% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Turkiye vs Bulgaria Form
Turkiye and Bulgaria's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -16 |
Turkiye and Bulgaria Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Turkiye vs Bulgaria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Turkiye against Bulgaria Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
C. Uzun
Most goals and assists
Turkiye - Bulgaria Key Points
- Turkey scored 10 times in their last two matches.
- Bulgaria’s last four away matches produced 14 goals.
- 15 goals were scored in Turkey’s last three home matches.
- Each of Turkey’s last four matches produced over 3.5 goals.
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Our Turkiye vs Bulgaria Prediction
Turkey have all to play for in this particular encounter. It is highly likely they will finish second in this group, but a top finish is a remote possibility as well. How that unfolds is a matter of time, but we expect a high-scoring outcome here.
In their latest two matches, Turkey scored 10 goals, with the games having a total of 12 goals. Each of their last four matches returned at least 3.5 goals, and we are expecting the same here. Our prediction for Turkey v Bulgaria is for more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Turkiye Bulgaria
| Turkiye vs Bulgaria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkiye wins | 1.11 | 1.09 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 8.5 | 12 | +41.2% |
| Bulgaria wins | 15 | 19 | +26.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Turkiye is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.1% and is now 91.7% (1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Turkiye vs. Bulgaria game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.