Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Toulouse
19/09/2026 14:45
Le Havre

Prediction :

 

Toulouse to win and under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Dangerman Jacen Russell-Rowe has another chance to add to his two-goal haul for Toulouse when they welcome Le Havre. Both sides are struggling early in Ligue 1, winless and stuck in the drop zone with two points apiece. Toulouse winning three of their last five home games in this fixture points our prediction towards a home win.

While Toulouse have the upper hand here, this is expected to be a cagey affair as both teams target a first win. In their last outing Toulouse brought out their fighting attributes in a 2-2 draw at Lorient.

Les Violets battled from 2-0 down, with an impressive second-half fightback. Jens Askou’s men will find much inspiration from that.

Injury-ravaged Le Havre come into this encounter with the best defence among the bottom-half teams. They’ve conceded an average of one goal per game but only scored twice – the second-lowest tally in the league.

Missing up to five players here won’t be helpful as Le Club Doyen tries to change fortunes. The visitors failed to score for a second game this season as they drew 0-0 with Angers last time out.

In 2025/26 they collected four points from this fixture, which gives them hope of at least avoiding defeat here. However, that might be negated by a run of one win in 13 away league games.

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Toulouse v Le Havre Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.75 3.7 4.6
1xbet
1.82 3.87 4.83
Melbet
1.75 3.72 4.64
Betwinner
1.75 3.72 4.64
22bet
1.75 3.7 4.7
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Le Havre?

Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Le Havre match is: Toulouse to win and under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Toulouse and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.18% for a win of Toulouse against Le Havre with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Le Havre is 32.14% with odds of 3.87 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Toulouse with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Form

Toulouse and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16 Le Havre
2 4 0 2 2 -2
17 Toulouse
2 4 0 2 2 -3

Toulouse and Le Havre Last Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
L L L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
3 :  0
Toulouse
W D W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  1
Rodez Aveyron Football

10 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  1
Lyon
L L W L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
3 :  0
Toulouse

3 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Toulouse

21 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Lens
4 :  1
Toulouse

17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  2
Toulouse
Le Havre
Le Havre Last matches
L W L D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Angers

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Brest

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Le Havre

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Monaco

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Mans FC
0 :  1
Le Havre

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
1 :  0
Le Havre
L L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Angers

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Brest

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Monaco

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Havre
2 :  1
Red Star

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Havre
1 :  2
Amiens SC

10 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Marseille
D D W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Le Havre

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Mans FC
0 :  1
Le Havre

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
1 :  0
Le Havre

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  2
Le Havre

3 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Le Havre

18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  1
Le Havre

Toulouse vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Toulouse

33 %

Draw

17 %

Le Havre

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Toulouse

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Le Havre

23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  4
Toulouse

15 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  0
Le Havre

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  0
Toulouse

5 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Le Havre
Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction

Toulouse vs Le Havre last Lineups

Toulouse

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

60
M. Niflore
22
R. Messali
3
M. McKenzie
5
S. Koumbassa
12
C. Tape
23
C. Casseres Jr
31
N. Schmidt
9
S. Hidalgo
8
T. Jorgensen
37
I. Azizi
13
J. Russell-Rowe
25
A. Samatta
9
J. Maja
17
K. Mizuta
7
A. Richardson
30
S. Nakamura
26
S. Ebonog
20
D. Ouziad
5
A. Touba
15
A. Seko
12
E. Jelert Kristensen
93
G. Gallon

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Le Havre

Substitutes

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

T. Collin

Defender

N. Sigur

D. Odogu

I. Diallo

Midfielder

M. Amougou

A. Vossah

Forward

C. Tengstedt

S. Oppong

J. Vignolo

Le Havre
Le Havre
Goalkeeper

A. Teixeira

Defender

V. Sasso

Midfielder

D. Mosengo

G. Zohouri

R. N'Diaye

I. Bouneb

Forward

H. Dongopandji

E. Koffi Vinette

R. Fofana

Missing players

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

G. Restes

Defender

R. Nicolaisen

Midfielder

A. Francis

Forward

A. Donnum

Le Havre
Le Havre
Goalkeeper

L. Mpasi

P. Argney

Defender

T. Pembele

S. Zagadou

Midfielder

R. N'Diaye

J. Mwanga

Forward

F. Mambimbi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Toulouse
CD Huachipato Le Havre
Top Goalscorer
Canada J. Russell-Rowe (1 Goals)
Ivory Coast C. Tape (1 Goals)
Denmark C. Tengstedt (1 Goals)
Denmark T. Jorgensen (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Tanzania A. Samatta (1 Goals) France R. Fofana (1 Goals)
Best assists
Venezuela C. Casseres Jr (3 Assists)
Best assists
Mali F. Doucoure (1 Assists)

Toulouse and Le Havre Stats in Ligue 1

Toulouse
Toulouse
Le Havre
Le Havre
0%
Wins
0%
50%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
50%
2.75
Average goals per match
1.5
1
Goals scored per match
0.5
1.75
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Under 2.5 goals
75%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
0%
No goals conceded
25%
50%
BTTS
50%

Toulouse - Le Havre Key Points

  1. Le Havre have won once in 13 away league games, losing six.
  2. Toulouse have won three of their last five home games against Le Havre.
  3. Only six goals have been scored in Toulouse’s season-opening four games.
  4. Each of Le Havre’s last five away league outings had under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction

Both Toulouse and Le Havre seek a rise in Ligue 1. Playing at home, Toulouse will feel they have the advantage. At Stade de Toulouse they have picked up three wins in the last five meetings with Le Havre. That run will build optimism that they can improve on their back-to-back home defeats.

The only downside is that they’ve failed to score at home this season. The fact that they face a poor-scoring side as well, points us to a possible low-scoring game. With that, our prediction for Toulouse v Le Havre is for Toulouse to win and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Toulouse to win and under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.