Tondela vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
FC Porto suffered a rare defeat in their last outing ahead of their trip to Tondela. Going into this round, Tondela are still in the bottom three, while Porto lead the standings. We have a prediction for this match below.
Back-to-back league wins are a rare occurrence in Tondela’s game. Here, however, they have the chance to register two straight league wins for the first time in three years.
Tondela are coming off a crucial 1-0 win at Gil Vicente, their first win in six matches. Their home record isn’t great, though, and facing Porto doesn’t come with many good guarantees. Tondela are winless in six home games.
Porto already have a reason to celebrate ahead of kickoff. Their two main competitors knocked points off each other, leaving the visitors with a chance to go five points clear.
The visitors will want to quickly forget their 3-1 loss to Vitoria Guimaraes in the cup. They are unbeaten in the league, and extending that will be the target here.
Porto haven't only been about winning but also about keeping clean sheets. They have the best defensive record of the season and will be able to handle a Tondela side with the weakest attack in the league.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Tondela v Porto Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9.8 | 5.4 | 1.3 |
|
|
11 | 6.1 | 1.25 |
|
|
9.1 | 5.65 | 1.3 |
|
|
12 | 6 | 1.19 |
|
|
9.8 | 5.4 | 1.26 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Tondela and Porto?
Our prediction for the Tondela vs Porto match is: Porto to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2025 between Tondela and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 9.77% for a win of Tondela against Porto with odds of 12.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tondela vs Porto is 24.94% with odds of 6.1 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 65.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Tondela with odds of 1.3 at Stake.
Tondela - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tondela Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 65.28% | 1.3 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.87% | 1.88 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 72.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Porto/Porto | 33.38% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Tondela vs Porto Form
Tondela and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
88 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 |
|
17
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 |
Tondela and Porto Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
2 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
29 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jul 2022 - Portugal Super Cup
22 May 2022 - Taca de Portugal
13 Mar 2022 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2021 - Liga Portugal
10 Apr 2021 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2020 - Taca de Portugal
Tondela against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
L. Canizares
DefenderR. Vita
J. Afonso
J. Hodge
R. Lopes
Helder Tavares
A. Castanheira Ceitil
I. Cavaleiro
Y. Rodriguez
C. Ramos
DefenderM. Fernandes
D. Prpic
MidfielderG. Veiga
S. Eustaquio
P. Rosario
B. Sainz
A. Alarcon
D. Gul
Most goals and assists
Tondela
Porto
P. Pereira dos Santos
(6 Goals)
S. Aghehowa
(13 Goals)
M. Aiko
(2 Assists)
G. Veiga
(8 Assists)
Tondela - Porto Key Points
- Tondela have only won once in their last six matches.
- In four of their last six matches, Tondela failed to score.
- In half of Porto’s last 10 matches, they kept clean sheets.
- Porto have won seven of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Porto won all their last 10 matches against Tondela, with five clean sheets.
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Our Tondela vs Porto Prediction
This looks like Porto’s year to return to the summit of Portuguese football. Going into this round, they have already been handed a favor in the Sporting and Benfica drawing. The opportunity to go five points clear has presented itself well.
With a 10-game winning streak against Tondela, Porto will be glad to have this opportunity at this particular moment. They kept clean sheets in half of those wins, and we expect a similar dominance here. Our prediction for Tondela v FC Porto is for Porto to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tondela Porto
| Tondela vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins | 10.75 | 12.5 | +16.3% |
| Draw | 5.2 | 6.1 | +17.3% |
| Porto wins | 1.31 | 1.3 | -0.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 76.9% (0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
