Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
After qualifying for the Champions League with the last attack of the very last game, Mourinho’s Benfica will surely believe anything is possible. The Eagles trail Porto by ten points in the Liga Portugal. But with half the season to go, Benfica are still in the title race. But can they beat Tondela in the next game? Let's find out in this match prediction.
Tondela, or Auriverdes (Gold and Greens), as fans call them, are locked in a relegation battle. They sit at 17th, and just seven points off AVS in last place. Tondela needed three points to just draw level with Casa Pia in the relegation playoff zone and another six points to escape it entirely.
Unfortunately, their next challenge is a “high and hungry” Benfica, who already thrashed them 3-0 this season. Mourinho proved why he's the special one yet again after beating a star-studded Real Madrid side 4-2 in the Champions League.
Now, he returns to Portugal with another agenda: keeping the pressure on Porto. Just like Porto, Benfica are yet to lose a league game this season. But numerous draws have seen The Eagles win ten points fewer. The aim is to win and keep winning from now on, making the game against Tondela a do-or-die affair for Benfica.
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Tondela v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9 | 5 | 1.33 |
|
|
9.7 | 5.45 | 1.3 |
|
|
8.7 | 5.8 | 1.3 |
|
|
9 | 5 | 1.27 |
|
|
8.8 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Tondela and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Both Teams To Score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Tondela and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.41% for a win of Tondela against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 11.25 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon is 13.45% with odds of 5.8 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 68.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Tondela with odds of 1.35 at Tonybet.
Tondela - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tondela Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 68.15% | 1.35 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.55% | 2.02 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon | 27.73% | 3.8 at LSbet |
Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Tondela and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
17
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 |
Tondela and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2022 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2021 - Liga Portugal
30 Apr 2021 - Liga Portugal
8 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal
Tondela against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Canizares
DefenderT. Manso
J. Afonso
H. Felix
Helder Tavares
X. Huarte
J. Rodriguez
ForwardA. Van Der Heide
P. Pereira dos Santos
D. Ferreira
DefenderT. Araujo
S. Lopes Cabral
E. Barrenechea
M. Silva
F. Ivanovic
ForwardBruma
A. Cabral
R. Silva
Missing players
O. Kokcu
J. Veloso
Most goals and assists
Tondela
Benfica Lisbon
P. Pereira dos Santos
(6 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
M. Aiko
(2 Assists)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
Tondela - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Tondela lost its last three games without scoring a single goal.
- Tondela has scored the fewest league goals this season (12).
- Benfica has conceded the third-fewest goals this season (11).
- Benfica has kept the joint-second-most clean sheets (10).
- Benfica has kept a clean sheet in its last two league games and in four of its last six.
- There have been seven clean sheets in the last nine appearances between these two teams.
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Our Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
You look at the stats and can only come to the conclusion that one team will finish the game without scoring. Tondela’s offence is the worst in the league so far, while Benfica's defence is arguably the second best (or second tightest at least).
Even if Benfica doesn't win the game like last time, we don't see Tondela scoring. So, just as in seven of their last nine meetings, at least one team should keep a clean sheet. Hence, our Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon prediction is Both Teams To Score - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tondela Benfica Lisbon
| Tondela vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins | 9.5 | 11.25 | +18.4% |
| Draw | 5.1 | 5.8 | +13.7% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.34 | 1.35 | +0.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.6% and is now 74.1% (-0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
