Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Vienna

ATP - ATP Vienna

Tommy Paul USA
Tommy Paul ATP 14
27/10/2026 06:30
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev ATP 22

Prediction :

 

Tommy Paul wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Seventh seed Tommy Paul has a potentially difficult match in the first round of the Erste Bank Open. In this indoor hard court tournament that's being played in Vienna, he takes on unseeded Andrey Rublev. The Russian has a good record against Paul but he's not in good form at present. Our prediction is Paul wins.

The winner will take on an unseeded Italian in round two, either Luciano Darderi or Matteo Arnaldi.

Tommy Paul is in good form at present and was a semi-finalist in Lyon's indoor hard court tournament last week. Before that, he had reached the last eight in Shanghai (outdoor hard). He has won five of the last seven matches that he has played.

Andrey Rublev leads his American opponent 5-1 in previous meetings and 1-0 on this surface. However, this is their first match since 2023.

Rublev is the world number 22 and that's eight places below Paul. He has lost each of his last three matches. The most recent defeat was to Adrian Mannarino in Almaty last week. That is the only indoor hard court match he has played so far this year.

Four of his last five matches have gone to a deciding set, a side bet on that happening here may be worthwhile.

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Tommy Paul v Andrey Rublev Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus
Stake
1.70 2.11
1xbet
1.70 2.20
Melbet
1.69 2.18
Betwinner
1.69 2.18
22bet
1.69 2.18
Check all Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev odds

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Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev match is: Tommy Paul wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev game on 27/10/2026 of the current ATP Vienna season:

  • Tommy Paul has a 46.69% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
  • Andrey Rublev has a 53.31% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 2.2 at 1xbet.

Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 46.69 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Tommy Paul46.69 %
Andrey Rublev53.31 %

Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Form

Tommy Paul and Andrey Rublev Last Matches

Tommy Paul Last matches
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

24 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

23 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

21 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open

Benjamin Bonzi
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

16 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Zizou Bergs

12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Valentin Vacherot
Andrey Rublev Last matches
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

21 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

8 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Rei Sakamoto
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Roman Safiullin

1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Tallon Griekspoor
1 :  2
Andrey Rublev

29 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Tommy Paul

0 %

Andrey Rublev

100 %

11 Oct 2023 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

14 Oct 2022 - Gijon, Spain, Qualifying

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev Key Points

  1. Paul is eight places above his opponent in the latest rankings.
  2. Paul was a semi-finalist in Lyon last week.
  3. Rublev has lost his last three matches.
  4. Rublev has lost four of his last six indoor hard court matches.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Andrey Rublev won this tournament six years ago. He's lost the last two matches he has played here and does not look to be in the form to win a second title. Each of his last three matches has been lost and his indoor hard court form is not strong at present.

Tommy Paul made it to the semi-finals in Lyon's indoor hard court tournament last week. He was beaten by Tommy Fritz. His record against Rublev is poor, but they last played each other in 2023. Our Tommy Paul v Andrey Rublev prediction is Tommy Paul wins.

Prediction :

 

Tommy Paul wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.