Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Barcelona
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Unseeded pair Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez meet in the Barcelona Open first round. A tough task could await the winner as the scheduled second round opponent is either a qualifier or top seed Carlos Alcaraz. Read our match prediction below.
Tomas Machac is 47th in the live rankings and that's ten places above his opponent. Machac started the year with a hard court title win in Adelaide. He hasn't reached a quarter-final since and has a 2-2 record on clay this year.
He made it to round three in Monte Carlo last week, losing to Jannik Sinner but he did take a set off him. This is his second match against Baez, the other was played on this surface last year with Mahac winning in three sets.
He's played a tie-break in each of his last two matches, so a side bet on one here is an idea.
Sebastian Baez will be aiming to get back to the clay court form he showed earlier this year. He reached the semi-finals in both Buenos Aires and Santiago but he's failed to reproduce that form in Europe.
He lost in round two in both Bucharest and Monte Carlo. Four of his last six matches have ended in defeat.
We tip Machac to win this match.
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Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 2.25 |
|
|
1.69 | 2.18 |
|
|
1.57 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.62 | 2.2 |
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|
1.62 | 2.2 |
|
Who will win the Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez match is: Tomas Machac wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez game on 14/04/2026 of the current ATP Barcelona season:
- Tomas Machac has a 61.16% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.69.
- Sebastian Baez has a 38.84% probability of winning facing Tomas Machac ⭐ with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tomas Machac has a 61.16 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | 61.16 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 38.84 % |
Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Form
Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
3 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania
31 Mar 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Machac is ten places above Baez in the live rankings.
- Baez has lost four of his last six matches.
- Machac won the one previous meeting between these two players and that was on clay.
- Machac took a set off Sinner on clay last week.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Tomas Machac has never lost a match on court in the Barcelona Open. He won a match in 2024 and then withdrew from his next match due to injury. He takes on Sebastian Baez in round one of this year's tournament.
He's had difficult draws on clay this year, losing to eventual Marrakech champion Rafael Jodar and then Jannik Sinner in Monte Carlo. Sebastian Baez has seen his form dip in recent weeks. Our Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez prediction is Tomas Machac wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
