Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Dubai Open
ATP - ATP Dubai Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Match cancelled after Machac withdrew
It's not been a great February for Tomas Machac. He hopes for some improvement when facing fellow unseeded player Denis Shapovalov in round one of the Dubai Tennis Championships. Find out more in our match prediction.
Round two of this outdoor hard court tournament will see the winner face either eighth-seed Jiri Lehecka or Arthur Fils.
Tomas Machac began 2026 well by winning the Adelaide title and making it to round three of the Australian Open. His win in round two of the Grand Slam is the last match he's won. Losses have followed against Lorenzo Musetti, Arthur Gea (via retirement) and Jannik Sinner.
He's now 32nd in the live rankings, just three above Shapovalov.
These two players have had one previous meeting. That was in Dallas on this surface last year with Shapovalov winning 7-6 6-0. Shapovalov went on to win that tournament and reached the last four there this year, losing to Ben Shelton in three sets.
That was his best performance of 2026 after a slow start that saw him win only one of his first three matches. In both 2021 and 2022, Shapovalov was a semi-finalist in this tournament. His opponent is yet to get past round one of this ATP 500 tournament.
We tip Shapovalov to win.
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Tomas Machac v Denis Shapovalov Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.75 | 2.07 |
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1.75 | 2.07 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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|
1.72 | 2.02 |
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1.72 | 2.02 |
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Who will win the Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov match is: Denis Shapovalov wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov game on 23/02/2026 of the current ATP Dubai Open season:
- Tomas Machac has a 50.34% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.75.
- Denis Shapovalov has a 49.66% probability of winning facing Tomas Machac ⭐ with odds of 2.12 at Shangrila.
Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tomas Machac has a 50.34 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | 50.34 % |
| Denis Shapovalov | 49.66 % |
Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Tomas Machac and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
15 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
13 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
12 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
10 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
7 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Shapovalov won the only previous match played between these two players.
- Machac has lost his last three matches.
- Shapovalov was a semi-finalist in Dallas in his last tournament.
- Machac has never won a main draw match in Dubai, his opponent is a two-time semi-finalist.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
It is Denis Shapovalov who comes into this match with some momentum. 2026 began slowly for the Canadian but he put in some impressive performances in his most recent tournament in Dallas. reaching the last four.
Tomas Machac was a title winner in January but comes into this match having lost three in a row. He lost to Shapovalov in straight sets last year, failing to win a game in set two. This is likely to be closer but our Tomas Machac v Denis Shapovalov prediction is Denis Shapovalov wins.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Tomas Machac or Denis Shapovalov, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
