Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Nacional Montevideo face a challenging task to make it an all-Uruguayan contest in the round of 16 in the 2026 Copa Sudamericana, as they aim to overturn a 3-0 deficit against Tigre. This second leg match of the knockout round playoffs in Buenos Aires between ‘El Matador’ and ‘El Bolso’ is likely to be a low-scoring one, with our prediction backing under 2.5 goals.
The winner of this two-legged tie will play Montevideo City Torque in the round of 16. The last time Tigre went deeper in this competition was in 2011-12, when they were the losing finalists. Nacional have reached the quarter-final stage in two of their last three appearances in this competition.
Tigre lost 1-0 away at Estudiantes last weekend, their second defeat in three competitive games since the restart (W1). The only victory in that sequence was in the first leg, where two goals before half-time sealed the deal. Consecutive 2-0 wins at home give them strong reason to push for a win.
Nacional’s first-leg defeat was their second loss in a row, putting their chances of a comeback under threat. The Uruguayans have won just one of their last five games (D1, L3) and have also struggled on the road with four defeats from their last six competitive trips (W1, D1).
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Tigre v Nacional Montevideo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.04 | 3.45 | 3.35 |
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2.17 | 3.51 | 3.64 |
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2.09 | 3.4 | 3.56 |
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2.09 | 3.4 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.38 | 3.54 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tigre and Nacional Montevideo?
Our prediction for the Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/07/2026 between Tigre and Nacional Montevideo in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.03% for a win of Tigre against Nacional Montevideo with odds of 2.17 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo is 20.52% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Nacional Montevideo vs Tigre with odds of 3.64 at 1xbet.
Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo Form
Tigre and Nacional Montevideo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2026 - Copa Argentina
28 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Apr 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Apr 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2026 - Copa Argentina
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Jul 2026 - Primera Division
11 Jul 2026 - Primera Division
6 Jun 2026 - Primera Division
31 May 2026 - Primera Division
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Jul 2026 - Primera Division
6 Jun 2026 - Primera Division
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 May 2026 - Primera Division
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2026 - Primera Division
31 May 2026 - Primera Division
15 May 2026 - Primera Division
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Primera Division
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Fuster
DefenderV. Moreno
G. Requena
N. Banegas
L. Minniti
J. Laso
MidfielderS. Lezcano
J. Elias
G. Martinez
ForwardI. Peluffo
I. Russo Cordero
S. Lopez
L. Mejia
DefenderP. Calione
A. Rogel
MidfielderB. Núñez
J. Garcia
R. Martinez
L. Rodriguez
N. Lodeiro
ForwardP. Nunez
T. Correa
J. De los Santos
T. Veron Lupi
Tigre and Nacional Montevideo Stats in Copa Sudamericana
Tigre - Nacional Montevideo Key Points
- Tigre’s last seven home competitive matches have all produced under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Tigre’s last seven Copa Sudamericana games have seen two or fewer goals.
- Nacional have failed to score in three of their last five games in all competitions.
- Nacional have failed to score in three of their last four away matches.
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Our Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction
The commanding 3-0 advantage from the first leg gives Tigre a great chance to progress in the competition. The Uruguayans have struggled on the road in recent times, which puts a question mark on their previous record. Nacional have never lost a Sudamericana knockout tie against Argentinian opposition, but that record is at risk here.
Tigre are likely to keep things tight and bank on a defensive performance to progress in the competition, feasting on Nacional’s poor away record. Our Tigre vs Nacional Montevideo prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
