Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions
It's a rematch of one of the two ties that produced the biggest winning margins in the first legs of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League first qualifying round, as Levadia Tallinn welcome Caernarfon Town FC to A. Le Coq Arena on Thursday. Levadia eased to a 5–0 victory over the Canaries in Wales last week and have scored at least twice in four of their last six matches, hence our prediction backing the home side for another high-scoring performance.
10-man Caernarfon were one of the two teams to suffer the heaviest defeats in the first leg of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League first qualifying round after a 5–0 loss to Levadia (only Europa FC lost by the same margin to Shkëndija). Things got worse for the Canaries in the game after defender Ben Nash was sent off for a rash challenge on Bubacarr Tambedou.
However, it's worth noting that Levadia had cruised to a four-goal lead before Nash’s dismissal. The thumping first-leg defeat means the 2025-26 Welsh Cup champions have now conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 10 losses.
Meanwhile, Levadia carried their prolific scoring record into the first leg. They have now scored 2+ goals in four of their last six matches and have averaged an impressive three goals per contest across their last 14 matches.
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Levadia Tallinn v Caernarfon Town FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.18 | 6 | 11.75 |
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1.19 | 5.9 | 15 |
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1.13 | 7.4 | 17 |
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1.15 | 6.9 | 16 |
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1.19 | 5.9 | 16 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Levadia Tallinn and Caernarfon Town FC?
Our prediction for the Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC match is: Levadia score between 2–4 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/07/2026 between Levadia Tallinn and Caernarfon Town FC in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.81% for a win of Levadia Tallinn against Caernarfon Town FC with odds of 1.2 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC is 12.73% with odds of 1001 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn with odds of 1001 at Betway.
Levadia Tallinn - Caernarfon Town FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Levadia Tallinn Caernarfon Town FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Levadia Tallinn wins | 62.81% | 1.2 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.27% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Levadia Tallinn/Levadia Tallinn | 36.96% | 1.62 at Shangrila |
Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC Form
Levadia Tallinn and Caernarfon Town FC Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
4 Jul 2026 - Meistriliiga
28 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
20 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
17 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
13 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
20 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
9 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
26 Apr 2026 - Meistriliiga
19 Apr 2026 - Meistriliiga
8 Apr 2026 - Meistriliiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
4 Jul 2026 - Meistriliiga
17 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
13 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
30 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
24 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
12 Apr 2026 - FAW Welsh Cup
3 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
27 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
18 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
12 Apr 2026 - FAW Welsh Cup
27 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
13 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
27 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
21 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
8 Mar 2026 - FAW Welsh Cup
20 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
6 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
Levadia Tallinn - Caernarfon Town FC Key Points
- Levadia have scored at least two times in four of their last six matches.
- Levadia have averaged three goals per game across their last 14 matches.
- Caernarfon conceded five goals in the first leg of this tie.
- Caernarfon have conceded at least twice in each of their last 10 defeats.
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Our Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC Prediction
Caernarfon have one foot out of this competition after shipping five unreplied goals at home in the first leg – a result that exposed their fragile defence and vulnerability to high-quality attacking sides. We aren't expecting much from them heading to Estonia for this second leg.
Meanwhile, Levadia proved their impressive scoring record in domestic league action isn't a fluke with last week's terrific display in Wales. We are backing them to score between two and four goals in the match. Our Levadia vs Caernarfon prediction: Levadia score between 2–4 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Levadia Tallinn Caernarfon Town FC
| Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levadia Tallinn wins | 1.3 | 1.2 | -7.7% |
| Draw | 5.3 | 1001 | +18,786.8% |
| Caernarfon Town FC wins | 8.25 | 1001 | +12,033.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Levadia Tallinn is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 83.3% (6.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
