Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

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Australia - A-League

Sydney
07/03/2026 03:35
Melbourne Victory FC

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Sydney FC will play host to Melbourne Victory in the A-League on Matchday 20 this Saturday. The Sky Blues and the Big V are third and fifth in the league standings, respectively, after 19 games. Let’s get into the match prediction!

Sydney FC cut the gap to league leaders Newcastle Jets to five points last weekend, thanks to a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Wellington Phoenix on the road. 

The Sky Blues are now unbeaten in their last three games (W2 D1) and have kept clean sheets in their last two matches. They have not kept three shutouts in a row since March last year.

The hosts have the third-best home record in the league this season with 16 points from eight games (W5 D1 L2), and they have won their last two games against this opponent at this venue. 

Meanwhile, after losing three of their first five games in 2026, Melbourne Victory are starting to find some consistency lately, now unbeaten in four after a 1-1 draw to Adelaide United last week (W2 D2). 

Notably, though, the Big V have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches. However, the last opponent they did shut out was Sydney back at AAMI Park at the end of January. 

The visitors have taken 15 points from 10 away games this season (W4 D1 L5), but 10 of those points have come in their last five top-flight matches on the road. 

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Sydney v Melbourne Victory FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.43 3.6 2.7
Melbet
2.52 3.66 2.62
Betwinner
2.46 3.66 2.69
Bet365
2.3 3.5 2.65
Roobet
2.46 3.55 2.58
Check all Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sydney and Melbourne Victory FC?

Our prediction for the Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Sydney and Melbourne Victory FC in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.37% for a win of Sydney against Melbourne Victory FC with odds of 2.52 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC is 20.61% with odds of 3.75 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney with odds of 2.82 at Shangrila.

Sydney - Melbourne Victory FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Sydney Melbourne Victory FC Prediction Probability Odds
Melbourne Victory FC wins 41.02% 2.82 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 50.8% 1.65 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score: No 55.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory FC 24.85% 7 at LSbet

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC Form

Sydney and Melbourne Victory FC's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Melbourne Victory FC
40 26 11 7 8 +11
5 Sydney
39 26 11 6 9 +8

Sydney and Melbourne Victory FC Last Matches

Sydney
Sydney Last matches
W L L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Sydney

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  0
Brisbane Roar

17 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  1
Auckland FC

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  2
Adelaide United

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Sydney

31 Jan 2026 - A-League

Sydney
4 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers
W L W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  0
Brisbane Roar

17 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  1
Auckland FC

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  2
Adelaide United

31 Jan 2026 - A-League

Sydney
4 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

18 Jan 2026 - A-League

Sydney
0 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC
L D W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Sydney

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Sydney

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  3
Sydney

3 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  0
Sydney

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
2 :  0
Sydney
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC Last matches
W L W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
1 :  1
Adelaide United

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

1 Feb 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  0
Sydney
W W L W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
1 :  1
Adelaide United

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

2 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
3 :  2
Perth Glory

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix
D W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

1 Feb 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sydney

40 %

Draw

20 %

Melbourne Victory FC

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
20%
BTTS
1.4
Goals scored
1.4
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  0
Sydney

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
2 :  0
Sydney

28 Dec 2024 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

26 Jan 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
1 :  1
Sydney
Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

Sydney against Melbourne Victory FC Lineups: Starting 11

Sydney

Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2

12
H. Devenish-Meares
23
R. Grant
41
A. Popovic
5
A. Grant
17
B. Garuccio
24
P. Okon-Engstler
20
T. Quintal
70
A. Arslan
7
P. Quispe
80
A. Stamatelopoulos
9
V. Campuzano
9
N. Vergos
64
J. Mata
23
K. Jelacic
8
J. Valadon
34
X. Stella
17
N. Velupillay
11
C. Santos Rodrigues
15
S. Esposito
21
R. Miranda
22
J. Rawlins
40
C. Siciliano

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Melbourne Victory FC

Substitutes

Sydney
Sydney
Goalkeeper

A. Zaverdinos

Defender

M. Tisserand

Midfielder

J. Lacey

R. Youlley

Forward

A. Toure

T. Quintal 70'

A. Walatee

V. Campuzano 90'

M. Macallister

A. Stamatelopoulos 90'

Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
Goalkeeper

J. Duncan

Defender

J. Inserra

R. Miranda 85'

Midfielder

M. Grimaldi

N. Velupillay 68'

D. Genreau

X. Stella 83'

Forward

J. Reec

R. Piscopo

K. Jelacic 83'

C. Nduka

N. Vergos 68'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sydney
CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory FC
Top Goalscorer
Australia A. Toure (5 Goals) , 
Australia T. Quintal (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals)
Best assists
Peru P. Quispe (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Mata (12 Assists)

Sydney - Melbourne Victory FC Key Points

  1. Three of Sydney’s last four home games have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Sydney have only failed to score in one of their eight home league matches this season.
  3. Each of Melbourne Victory’s last four games have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Melbourne Victory have only kept one clean sheet in their last five away league matches.
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Our Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

Sydney FC enter this match off the back of consecutive clean sheets, but those came against Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix, two sides that the Sky Blues were widely expected to get the better of. 

After a slow start to the year, Melbourne Victory are starting to find their form again in recent weeks, and they’ve had a notable upturn in results on the road with 10 points earned in their last five matches. Our Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sydney Melbourne Victory FC

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sydney wins 2.48 2.52 +1.6%
Draw 3.6 3.75 +4.2%
Melbourne Victory FC wins 2.69 2.82 +4.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Melbourne Victory FC is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 37.2% and is now 35.5% (-1.7%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.