Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

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Australia - A-League

Sydney
07/03/2026 03:35
Melbourne Victory

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Sydney FC will play host to Melbourne Victory in the A-League on Matchday 20 this Saturday. The Sky Blues and the Big V are third and fifth in the league standings, respectively, after 19 games. Let’s get into the match prediction!

Sydney FC cut the gap to league leaders Newcastle Jets to five points last weekend, thanks to a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Wellington Phoenix on the road. 

The Sky Blues are now unbeaten in their last three games (W2 D1) and have kept clean sheets in their last two matches. They have not kept three shutouts in a row since March last year.

The hosts have the third-best home record in the league this season with 16 points from eight games (W5 D1 L2), and they have won their last two games against this opponent at this venue. 

Meanwhile, after losing three of their first five games in 2026, Melbourne Victory are starting to find some consistency lately, now unbeaten in four after a 1-1 draw to Adelaide United last week (W2 D2). 

Notably, though, the Big V have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches. However, the last opponent they did shut out was Sydney back at AAMI Park at the end of January. 

The visitors have taken 15 points from 10 away games this season (W4 D1 L5), but 10 of those points have come in their last five top-flight matches on the road. 

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Sydney v Melbourne Victory Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.43 3.6 2.7
Melbet
2.52 3.66 2.62
Betwinner
2.46 3.66 2.69
Bet365
2.3 3.5 2.65
Roobet
2.46 3.55 2.58
Check all Sydney vs Melbourne Victory odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sydney and Melbourne Victory?

Our prediction for the Sydney vs Melbourne Victory match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Sydney and Melbourne Victory in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.37% for a win of Sydney against Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.52 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sydney vs Melbourne Victory is 20.61% with odds of 3.75 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Sydney with odds of 2.82 at Shangrila.

Sydney - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:

Sydney Melbourne Victory Prediction Probability Odds
Melbourne Victory wins 41.02% 2.82 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 50.8% 1.65 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score: No 55.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory 24.85% 7 at LSbet

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Form

Sydney and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Melbourne Victory
40 26 11 7 8 +11
5 Sydney
39 26 11 6 9 +8

Sydney and Melbourne Victory Last Matches

Sydney
Sydney Last matches
W L L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Sydney

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  0
Brisbane Roar

17 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  1
Auckland FC

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  2
Adelaide United

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Sydney

31 Jan 2026 - A-League

Sydney
4 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers
W L W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  0
Brisbane Roar

17 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  1
Auckland FC

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  2
Adelaide United

31 Jan 2026 - A-League

Sydney
4 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

18 Jan 2026 - A-League

Sydney
0 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory
L D W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Sydney

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Sydney

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
4 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  3
Sydney

3 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  0
Sydney

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
2 :  0
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
W L W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Adelaide United

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  3
Melbourne Victory

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

1 Feb 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
4 :  0
Sydney
W W L W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Adelaide United

14 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
4 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

2 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  2
Perth Glory

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix
D W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  3
Melbourne Victory

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

1 Feb 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Melbourne Victory

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sydney

40 %

Draw

20 %

Melbourne Victory

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
20%
BTTS
1.4
Goals scored
1.4
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
4 :  0
Sydney

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Sydney

28 Dec 2024 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

26 Jan 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Sydney

Sydney against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11

Sydney

Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2

12
H. Devenish-Meares
23
R. Grant
41
A. Popovic
5
A. Grant
17
B. Garuccio
24
P. Okon-Engstler
20
T. Quintal
70
A. Arslan
7
P. Quispe
80
A. Stamatelopoulos
9
V. Campuzano
9
N. Vergos
64
J. Mata
23
K. Jelacic
8
J. Valadon
34
X. Stella
17
N. Velupillay
11
C. Santos Rodrigus
15
S. Esposito
21
R. Miranda
22
J. Rawlins
40
C. Siciliano

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

Substitutes

Sydney
Sydney
Goalkeeper

A. Zaverdinos

Defender

M. Tisserand

Midfielder

J. Lacey

R. Youlley

Forward

A. Toure

T. Quintal 70'

A. Walatee

V. Campuzano 90'

M. Macallister

A. Stamatelopoulos 90'

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
Goalkeeper

J. Duncan

Defender

J. Inserra

R. Miranda 85'

Midfielder

M. Grimaldi

N. Velupillay 68'

D. Genreau

X. Stella 83'

Forward

J. Reec

R. Piscopo

K. Jelacic 83'

C. Nduka

N. Vergos 68'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sydney
CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
Top Goalscorer
Australia A. Toure (5 Goals) , 
Australia T. Quintal (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals)
Best assists
Peru P. Quispe (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Mata (12 Assists)

Sydney - Melbourne Victory Key Points

  1. Three of Sydney’s last four home games have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Sydney have only failed to score in one of their eight home league matches this season.
  3. Each of Melbourne Victory’s last four games have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Melbourne Victory have only kept one clean sheet in their last five away league matches.
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Our Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Sydney FC enter this match off the back of consecutive clean sheets, but those came against Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix, two sides that the Sky Blues were widely expected to get the better of. 

After a slow start to the year, Melbourne Victory are starting to find their form again in recent weeks, and they’ve had a notable upturn in results on the road with 10 points earned in their last five matches. Our Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sydney Melbourne Victory

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sydney wins 2.48 2.52 +1.6%
Draw 3.6 3.75 +4.2%
Melbourne Victory wins 2.69 2.82 +4.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 37.2% and is now 35.5% (-1.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction