Sydney vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Matchday 21 in the A-League will conclude with Sydney FC taking on Melbourne City at the Sydney Football Stadium on Tuesday. The Sky Blues are third in the league standings, while the City Blues are in 10th place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Sydney were unable to cut the gap to second-placed Auckland last weekend when they squandered a two-goal lead and were forced to settle for a 2-2 draw against Melbourne Victory.
However, the Sky Blues are still unbeaten in their last four games (W2 D2) and kept clean sheets in two of their last three. They have conceded just 20 goals this term - the fewest in the top flight.
The hosts are also unbeaten in their last three home games (W1 D2) but are winless in their last three against this opponent at this venue (D2 L1).
Meanwhile, Melbourne City will be hoping to bounce back after exiting their AFC Champions League on penalties in the RO16 against Buriram United on Tuesday night.
City have now won only one of their last nine matches across all competitions and are winless in their last five in the A-League. They have scored 20 league goals this season - the fewest in the division.
The visitors have failed to win any of their last four away league games and conceded 12 goals across this period. They have also scored the fewest away goals in the top flight this term (10).
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Sydney v Melbourne City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.35 | 3.5 | 2.85 |
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|
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2.45 | 3.56 | 2.75 |
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|
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2.38 | 3.58 | 2.83 |
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|
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2.5 | 3.6 | 2.57 |
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|
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2.38 | 3.55 | 2.68 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sydney and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Sydney vs Melbourne City match is: Sydney FC draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/03/2026 between Sydney and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.48% for a win of Sydney against Melbourne City with odds of 2.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sydney vs Melbourne City is 37.77% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Sydney with odds of 2.95 at LSbet.
Sydney - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sydney Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.77% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.48% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.46% | 6 at Bet365 |
Sydney vs Melbourne City Form
Sydney and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
39 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +8 |
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Sydney and Melbourne City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
31 Jan 2026 - A-League
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
11 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
11 Jan 2026 - A-League
6 Jan 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
11 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
Sydney vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
24 Feb 2024 - A-League
3 Nov 2023 - A-League
19 May 2023 - A-League
Sydney against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Hoefsloot
DefenderJ. King
A. Grant
R. Youlley
M. Macallister
A. Toure
A. Walatee
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderH. Shillington
H. Delbridge
MidfielderE. Durakovic
Z. Schreiber
M. Memeti
E. Rashani
Most goals and assists
Sydney - Melbourne City Key Points
- Sydney are unbeaten in their last four league games.
- Sydney have conceded the fewest goals in the league this season.
- Sydney have scored two or more goals in five of their nine home games this season.
- Melbourne City are winless in their last five league matches.
- Melbourne City have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away league matches.
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Our Sydney vs Melbourne City Prediction
Continental competition has clearly impacted Melbourne City’s performance this season, and while they are now out of AFC Champions League, they are returning from a trip to Thailand in the last week.
Sydney FC are in the midst of a mighty tussle in the upper echelons of the table and need to get a result here to maintain pressure on the top two teams in the standings. We fancy the hosts in this one, but will opt for some safety in the event of a draw result. Our Sydney FC vs Melbourne City prediction is Sydney FC draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sydney Melbourne City
| Sydney vs Melbourne City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney wins | 2.3 | 2.5 | +8.7% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| Melbourne City wins | 2.75 | 2.95 | +7.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 27.8% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sydney vs. Melbourne City game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.