Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two

England - League Two

Swindon Town
10/10/2026 07:30
Crewe Alexandra

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra will lock horns at County Ground on matchday ten of League Two. Swindon have seen their last three league games produce under 2.5 goals and our prediction is leaning towards another low-scoring affair.

Swindon Town have been in dreadful form as they enter this clash winless in their last six matches across all competitions since a 3-1 home win over Colchester in September.

In their recent match, they succumbed to a 1-0 away league defeat against Rochdale. That result not only marked their fourth match winless but has left them sitting in 13th place in the table.

The lack of creativity in the final third has been their undoing, as they failed to score in three of those encounters. However, the Robins have been a tougher proposition at home, remaining unbeaten in their last four and scoring in every match.

Crewe Alexandra are one of three teams that have yet to taste defeat in League Two this season. This has them sitting in third place with 15 points.

The Railwaymen were unlucky in their recent match against Blackpool, losing 4-2 on penalties in the EFL Trophy, a result that has left them in second place in Group 2.

Before this, they put an end to their six-match draw streak in the league courtesy of a commanding 3-1 home win over Bristol Rovers.

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Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.55 3.40 2.55
1xbet
2.46 3.40 2.59
Melbet
2.57 3.38 2.49
Betwinner
2.57 3.38 2.49
22bet
2.57 3.38 2.49
Check all Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra?

Our prediction for the Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra in League Two :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.67% for a win of Swindon Town against Crewe Alexandra with odds of 2.65 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra is 37% with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town with odds of 2.62 at Betsson.

Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra Prediction and Best Odds:

Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 37% 3.50 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 50.32% 1.90 at Stake
Both Team To Score 65.63% 1.57 at 1xbet
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 17.82% 6.00 at Bet365

Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Form

Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra's standings in the League Two

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Crewe Alexandra
21 13 5 6 2 0
14 Swindon Town
16 13 4 4 5 -3

Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra Last Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town Last matches
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - League Two

Rochdale
1 :  0
Swindon Town

26 Sept 2026 - League Two

Swindon Town
1 :  1
Accrington Stanley

22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy

Swindon Town
0 :  2
Newport County

19 Sept 2026 - League Two

Salford City
1 :  0
Swindon Town

15 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy

Swindon Town
1 :  2
Crystal Palace FC

12 Sept 2026 - League Two

York City FC
4 :  0
Swindon Town
W W W L L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - League Two

Swindon Town
1 :  1
Accrington Stanley

22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy

Swindon Town
0 :  2
Newport County

15 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy

Swindon Town
1 :  2
Crystal Palace FC

5 Sept 2026 - League Two

Swindon Town
3 :  1
Colchester

1 Sept 2026 - League Two

Swindon Town
3 :  1
Port Vale

22 Aug 2026 - League Two

Swindon Town
2 :  1
Cheltenham Town
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - League Two

Rochdale
1 :  0
Swindon Town

19 Sept 2026 - League Two

Salford City
1 :  0
Swindon Town

12 Sept 2026 - League Two

York City FC
4 :  0
Swindon Town

29 Aug 2026 - League Two

Oldham Athletic
3 :  0
Swindon Town

15 Aug 2026 - League Two

Northampton Town
0 :  0
Swindon Town

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
3 :  2
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra Last matches
D D W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Oct 2026 - EFL Trophy

Blackpool
2 :  2
Crewe Alexandra

3 Oct 2026 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
3 :  1
Bristol Rovers

26 Sept 2026 - League Two

Rotherham
1 :  1
Crewe Alexandra

22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy

Crewe Alexandra
4 :  1
Aston Villa FC

19 Sept 2026 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  1
Shrewsbury Town

12 Sept 2026 - League Two

Colchester
1 :  1
Crewe Alexandra
W D D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
3 :  1
Bristol Rovers

22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy

Crewe Alexandra
4 :  1
Aston Villa FC

19 Sept 2026 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  1
Shrewsbury Town

5 Sept 2026 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  1
York City FC

1 Sept 2026 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
2 :  2
Walsall

22 Aug 2026 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  0
Northampton Town
W L D D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Oct 2026 - EFL Trophy

Blackpool
2 :  2
Crewe Alexandra

26 Sept 2026 - League Two

Rotherham
1 :  1
Crewe Alexandra

12 Sept 2026 - League Two

Colchester
1 :  1
Crewe Alexandra

29 Aug 2026 - League Two

Port Vale
0 :  0
Crewe Alexandra

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
3 :  2
Crewe Alexandra

15 Aug 2026 - League Two

Crawley Town
0 :  1
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Swindon Town

25 %

Draw

50 %

Crewe Alexandra

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
25%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - League Two

Swindon Town
1 :  2
Crewe Alexandra

30 Aug 2025 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
0 :  3
Swindon Town

11 Jan 2025 - League Two

Swindon Town
0 :  0
Crewe Alexandra

24 Aug 2024 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
0 :  0
Swindon Town
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction

Players list

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Goalkeeper

C. Ripley

Defender

S. Negru

S. Inwood

D. Butler

M. Clarke

Midfielder

A. Munda

O. Clarke

J. Thomson

Forward

T. Nichols

A. Drinan

A. Hackford

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
Goalkeeper

T. Booth

Defender

L. Billington

J. Stephenson

Midfielder

O. Lunt

K. Ure

J. White

L. Offord

Forward

J. Tabiner

A. Thibaut

J. Gibson

J. March

Substitutes

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Goalkeeper

L. Ward

Defender

B. Kirkman

Midfielder

J. Snowdon

J. Ball

M. Virtue

Forward

L. Millard

D. Butterworth

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
Goalkeeper

I. Lawlor

Defender

S. Dancey

Midfielder

M. Holicek

C. Agius

L. Moore

C. Thomas

Forward

C. McNiell

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Swindon Town
CD Huachipato Crewe Alexandra
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland A. Drinan (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Gibson (5 Goals)

Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra Key Points

  1. Swindon Town have seen their last three league games end with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Crewe Alexandra have seen four of their last five league games end 1-1.
  3. Swindon Town have failed to score in three of their last four league games.
  4. Crewe Alexandra have seen their last four away league games end with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction

Swindon Town are in poor form in League Two, and not much can be expected from them in this one. Their inability to find the back of the net will be their demise in this clash, having failed to score in three of their last four outings. It's worth noting that three of those encounters were low-scoring affairs.

Crewe Alexandra have been plagued with draws more than wins on the road. They've drawn their last three and could be set for another share of the spoils. Our Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra prediction: under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra

Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Swindon Town wins 2.43 2.65 +9.1%
Draw 3.40 3.50 +2.9%
Crewe Alexandra wins 2.55 2.62 +2.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 28.6% (-0.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.