Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two
England - League Two
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra will lock horns at County Ground on matchday ten of League Two. Swindon have seen their last three league games produce under 2.5 goals and our prediction is leaning towards another low-scoring affair.
Swindon Town have been in dreadful form as they enter this clash winless in their last six matches across all competitions since a 3-1 home win over Colchester in September.
In their recent match, they succumbed to a 1-0 away league defeat against Rochdale. That result not only marked their fourth match winless but has left them sitting in 13th place in the table.
The lack of creativity in the final third has been their undoing, as they failed to score in three of those encounters. However, the Robins have been a tougher proposition at home, remaining unbeaten in their last four and scoring in every match.
Crewe Alexandra are one of three teams that have yet to taste defeat in League Two this season. This has them sitting in third place with 15 points.
The Railwaymen were unlucky in their recent match against Blackpool, losing 4-2 on penalties in the EFL Trophy, a result that has left them in second place in Group 2.
Before this, they put an end to their six-match draw streak in the league courtesy of a commanding 3-1 home win over Bristol Rovers.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.55 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
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2.46 | 3.40 | 2.59 |
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2.57 | 3.38 | 2.49 |
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2.57 | 3.38 | 2.49 |
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2.57 | 3.38 | 2.49 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra?
Our prediction for the Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.67% for a win of Swindon Town against Crewe Alexandra with odds of 2.65 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra is 37% with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town with odds of 2.62 at Betsson.
Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37% | 3.50 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.32% | 1.90 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 65.63% | 1.57 at 1xbet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 17.82% | 6.00 at Bet365 |
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Form
Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
21 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
|
14
|
16 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 |
Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - League Two
26 Sept 2026 - League Two
22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy
19 Sept 2026 - League Two
15 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy
12 Sept 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - League Two
22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy
15 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy
5 Sept 2026 - League Two
1 Sept 2026 - League Two
22 Aug 2026 - League Two
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - League Two
19 Sept 2026 - League Two
12 Sept 2026 - League Two
29 Aug 2026 - League Two
15 Aug 2026 - League Two
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - EFL Trophy
3 Oct 2026 - League Two
26 Sept 2026 - League Two
22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy
19 Sept 2026 - League Two
12 Sept 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - League Two
22 Sept 2026 - EFL Trophy
19 Sept 2026 - League Two
5 Sept 2026 - League Two
1 Sept 2026 - League Two
22 Aug 2026 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - EFL Trophy
26 Sept 2026 - League Two
12 Sept 2026 - League Two
29 Aug 2026 - League Two
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
15 Aug 2026 - League Two
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Feb 2026 - League Two
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
11 Jan 2025 - League Two
24 Aug 2024 - League Two
Players list
C. Ripley
DefenderS. Negru
S. Inwood
D. Butler
M. Clarke
MidfielderA. Munda
O. Clarke
J. Thomson
ForwardT. Nichols
A. Drinan
A. Hackford
T. Booth
DefenderL. Billington
J. Stephenson
MidfielderO. Lunt
K. Ure
J. White
L. Offord
ForwardJ. Tabiner
A. Thibaut
J. Gibson
J. March
Substitutes
L. Ward
DefenderB. Kirkman
MidfielderJ. Snowdon
J. Ball
M. Virtue
ForwardL. Millard
D. Butterworth
I. Lawlor
DefenderS. Dancey
MidfielderM. Holicek
C. Agius
L. Moore
C. Thomas
ForwardC. McNiell
Most goals and assists
Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra Key Points
- Swindon Town have seen their last three league games end with under 2.5 goals.
- Crewe Alexandra have seen four of their last five league games end 1-1.
- Swindon Town have failed to score in three of their last four league games.
- Crewe Alexandra have seen their last four away league games end with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction
Swindon Town are in poor form in League Two, and not much can be expected from them in this one. Their inability to find the back of the net will be their demise in this clash, having failed to score in three of their last four outings. It's worth noting that three of those encounters were low-scoring affairs.
Crewe Alexandra have been plagued with draws more than wins on the road. They've drawn their last three and could be set for another share of the spoils. Our Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra prediction: under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra
| Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town wins | 2.43 | 2.65 | +9.1% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.50 | +2.9% |
| Crewe Alexandra wins | 2.55 | 2.62 | +2.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 28.6% (-0.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.