Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two
England - League Two
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by Ian John | in Football Predictions
There's important League Two action on Saturday affecting the promotion and playoff positions. Swindon Town host Crewe Alexandra with both teams having genuine hopes of promotion or at least the playoffs. Will the Robins continue their good recent for or can the Railwaymen take the main line to success? Check out our prediction for the match below.
The current L2 table sees Ian Holloway's Swindon occupying second spot in the table, with 61 points from 33 games. They are three behind leaders Bromley but have played a game more. Crewe are currently eighth spot in the table, just outside the playoff spots, with 50 points from their 33 games played so far.
Heading into this game Swijndon have been in good form. A 3-0 win over Oldham Athletic at home was followed by a 2-0 win over Newport County also at home. Their one blemish on that recent run was a 3-1 defeat away to Shrewsbury last weekend, but in midweek they bounced back earning a 2-1 win away to Barnet.
Crewe have been solid defensively of late which has led to improved form. A 1-1 draw at Barnet was followed by a 1-0 away win over Crawley and last weekend they beat Gillingham 1-0 at home. However, they went down to a surprising 1-0 defeat at home to Fleetwood in midweek.
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Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.01 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.45 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra?
Our prediction for the Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra match is: Swindon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.6% for a win of Swindon Town against Crewe Alexandra with odds of 2.02 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra is 22.07% with odds of 3.55 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town wins | 57.6% | 2.02 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.18% | 2 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swindon Town | 29.68% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Form
Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
75 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | +11 |
|
11
|
67 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | +6 |
Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League Two
14 Feb 2026 - League Two
11 Feb 2026 - League Two
7 Feb 2026 - League Two
3 Feb 2026 - League Two
31 Jan 2026 - League Two
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - League Two
7 Feb 2026 - League Two
31 Jan 2026 - League Two
17 Jan 2026 - League Two
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
20 Dec 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League Two
14 Feb 2026 - League Two
3 Feb 2026 - League Two
27 Jan 2026 - League Two
24 Jan 2026 - League Two
20 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League Two
14 Feb 2026 - League Two
7 Feb 2026 - League Two
3 Feb 2026 - League Two
31 Jan 2026 - League Two
27 Jan 2026 - League Two
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League Two
14 Feb 2026 - League Two
31 Jan 2026 - League Two
17 Jan 2026 - League Two
10 Jan 2026 - League Two
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - League Two
3 Feb 2026 - League Two
27 Jan 2026 - League Two
24 Jan 2026 - League Two
29 Dec 2025 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
11 Jan 2025 - League Two
24 Aug 2024 - League Two
Players list
C. Ripley
DefenderJ. Batty
J. Knight-Lebel
MidfielderJ. Snowdon
O. Clarke
J. Ball
G. Kilkenny
ForwardF. Holman
J. Scanlon
T. Nichols
A. Drinan
I. Lawlor
DefenderL. Billington
M. Demetriou
J. Connolly
R. Hutchinson
A. Pond
MidfielderM. Holicek
C. Agius
T. O'Reilly
J. Powell
ForwardJ. March
Substitutes
L. Ward
DefenderJ. McGregor
MidfielderJ. Hoilett
A. Borland
ForwardM. Olakigbe
O. Palmer
T. Booth
DefenderS. Dancey
MidfielderC. Finney
L. Moore
O. Taylor
ForwardA. Thibaut
O. Bogle
Most goals and assists
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
A. Drinan
(21 Goals)
J. March
(11 Goals)
Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra Key Points
- Swindon have won five out of their last six league games.
- Crewe have scored just four goals in their last five league games.
- Crewe have failed to score in any of their last three games against Swindon.
- Swindon were 3-0 winners when the teams met earlier this season in Crewe.
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Our Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction
Our prediction for the Swindon Town vs. Crewe Alexandra League Two match is: Swindon wins.
Swindon come into this game having come through a sticky spell and put together a good run of form which kept them in touch with Bromley at the top of the table. Crewe's excellent defensive record has seen them earn three 1-0 wins of late but that may not be enough against a freescoring Swindon side, that also have home advantage. As such, the data suggests Swindon should take the win here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra
| Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town wins | 1.98 | 2.02 | +2.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.55 | +4.4% |
| Crewe Alexandra wins | 3.35 | 3.6 | +7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swindon Town is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.5% and is now 49.5% (-1.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
