Swindon Town vs Chesterfield Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two
England - League Two
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by Ian John | in Football Predictions
The County Ground will be rocking for a season-defining clash as Swindon Town face Chesterfield with the Robins knowing this is a game they must win to reach the playoffs. However, Ian Holloway's team face Paul Cook's Chesterfield with the Spireites in excellent form and leading the Robins by one point in that final playoff spot. This is a key prediction for a key match that will define the season for either of these two playoff candidates.
With these two teams facing each other, it means Grimsby Town are safe in the playoffs, and Barnet cannot make the top seven. Chesterfield are seventh with 76 points and a +14 goal difference. Swindon are eighth with 75 points and a +12 goal difference. A draw or win is enough for Chesterfield, while a win is a must for the home side.
The problem for Swindon is that their recent form is poor. A 2-1 win at Walsall saw them safely in the playoffs, but a 3-0 defeat at Colchester, a 2-2 home draw with Accrington Stanley and then a 4-0 thrashing away at Grimsby saw Swindon drop out the top seven last weekend.
In contrast, Chesterfield's form is excellent of late, Paul Cook's team have won five and drawn two of their last seven games in the league home and away. They have also been strong defensively, conceding just three goals across those seven unbeaten games.
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Swindon Town v Chesterfield Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.31 |
|
|
3.26 | 3.61 | 2.06 |
|
|
2.79 | 3.64 | 2.27 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.65 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swindon Town and Chesterfield?
Our prediction for the Swindon Town vs Chesterfield match is: Double Chance - Draw/Chesterfield.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Swindon Town and Chesterfield in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.43% for a win of Swindon Town against Chesterfield with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swindon Town vs Chesterfield is 36.86% with odds of 3.65 at Roobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Chesterfield vs Swindon Town with odds of 2.4 at Bet365.
Swindon Town - Chesterfield Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swindon Town Chesterfield Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield wins | 39.71% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 55.75% | 2.17 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chesterfield | 18.47% | 6 at Bet365 |
Swindon Town vs Chesterfield Form
Swindon Town and Chesterfield's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
79 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | +15 |
|
9
|
75 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | +11 |
Swindon Town and Chesterfield Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
10 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
2 Apr 2026 - League Two
28 Mar 2026 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
28 Mar 2026 - League Two
14 Mar 2026 - League Two
28 Feb 2026 - League Two
21 Feb 2026 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
10 Apr 2026 - League Two
2 Apr 2026 - League Two
21 Mar 2026 - League Two
17 Mar 2026 - League Two
7 Mar 2026 - League Two
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
14 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
14 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
17 Mar 2026 - League Two
7 Mar 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
21 Mar 2026 - League Two
14 Mar 2026 - League Two
28 Feb 2026 - League Two
21 Feb 2026 - League Two
Swindon Town vs Chesterfield Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - League Two
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
9 Aug 2024 - League Two
Players list
C. Ripley
DefenderJ. Batty
J. Knight-Lebel
J. McGregor
T. Wilson-Brown
R. Tafazolli
MidfielderJ. Hoilett
B. Middlemas
ForwardF. Holman
T. Nichols
A. Drinan
R. Boot
DefenderS. Swinkels
S. Curtis
L. Gordon
K. McFadzean
MidfielderS. Braybrooke
A. Dobra
R. Stirk
ForwardL. Bonis
L. Mandeville
D. Markanday
Substitutes
L. Ward
DefenderD. Oldaker
MidfielderJ. Snowdon
A. Borland
ForwardM. Olakigbe
O. Palmer
Z. Hemming
DefenderJ. Donacien
T. Pearce
MidfielderT. Naylor
ForwardJ. Berry
W. Dickson
W. Grigg
Most goals and assists
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
A. Drinan
(21 Goals)
L. Bonis
(12 Goals)
Swindon Town - Chesterfield Key Points
- Swindon have drawn three of their last six league games (D2, L1).
- Chesterfield have won five and drawn two of their last seven league games.
- Swindon Town have won just one of their last six at home (D3, L2).
- Chesterfield have won four of the last eight matches between the two teams (L2, D2).
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Our Swindon Town vs Chesterfield Prediction
Our prediction for the Swindon Town vs. Chesterfield League Two match is: Double Chance - Draw/Chesterfield.
It would be cruel for Swindon to miss out on the playoffs, given the Robins have been in amongst those key places all season, but their recent form has manager Ian Holloway worried his team will miss out. They must win this game and given their poor home form, and their opponents excellent form of late, that looks a tall order. Picking a result is tough, but keep the odds in your favour by going for the Double Chance bet with the Draw and Chesterfield being the picks to back.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swindon Town Chesterfield
| Swindon Town vs Chesterfield | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town wins | 2.6 | 3.35 | +28.8% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.65 | +2.8% |
| Chesterfield wins | 2.5 | 2.4 | -4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chesterfield is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 41.7% (1.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
