Sweden vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

Sweden
04/06/2026 13:00
Greece

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

Sweden’s turbulent preparations for the upcoming FIFA World Cup will need finetuning as they prepare to host Greece in a friendly in Solna on Thursday. This match between the World Cup-bound ‘Blue and Yellow’ and the non-participating ‘Azure & White’ could expose Sweden’s defensive problems, backing our prediction of both teams scoring.

The Swedes have successfully navigated the playoffs to secure their place in the World Cup, where they will compete in Group F. The Greeks have failed to come through the qualifiers and will have only the UEFA Nations League to look forward to.

After coming through the playoffs, where they defeated Ukraine 3-1 and Poland 3-2. Sweden were brought crashing down on Monday. A 3-1 loss to Norway was the 10th consecutive game where they failed to keep a clean sheet.

Even their recent home record was indifferent, with Sweden losing two of their last four home games (W1, D1).

Greece’s last international games were the friendlies in March, where they lost 1-0 to Paraguay and drew 0-0 with Hungary. That made it three consecutive games where the Greeks failed to score a goal. In fact, with only one win from their last seven matches (D2, L4), Greece are struggling to trouble teams. It’s not different on the road, where Greece have no wins from their last four away games (D2, L2).

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Sweden v Greece Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.9 3.35 3.65
Melbet
1.93 3.58 3.9
Betwinner
1.83 3.75 4.17
Bet365
1.75 3.7 4
Roobet
1.89 3.6 3.85
Check all Sweden vs Greece odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Greece?

Our prediction for the Sweden vs Greece match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/06/2026 between Sweden and Greece in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.89% for a win of Sweden against Greece with odds of 2 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sweden vs Greece is 20.4% with odds of 3.8 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Greece vs Sweden with odds of 4.17 at Betwinner.

Sweden - Greece Prediction and Best Odds:

Sweden Greece Prediction Probability Odds
Sweden wins 44.89% 2 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 53.39% 1.94 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sweden 23.3% 5.25 at LSbet

Sweden vs Greece Form

Sweden and Greece Last Matches

Sweden
Sweden Last matches
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo
W W L L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  2
Switzerland

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Sweden
4 :  3
Algeria

25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Sweden
5 :  1
Northern Ireland
W D L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
2 :  0
Sweden

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
2 :  2
Sweden

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  2
Sweden
Greece
Greece Last matches
L L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  0
Greece

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Paraguay

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Greece
3 :  2
Scotland

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Denmark
3 :  1
Greece

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Scotland
3 :  1
Greece
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Paraguay

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Greece
3 :  2
Scotland

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Greece
0 :  3
Denmark

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Greece
5 :  1
Belarus

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Greece
4 :  0
Bulgaria

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Greece
4 :  1
Slovakia
W W L L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  0
Greece

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Denmark
3 :  1
Greece

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Scotland
3 :  1
Greece

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
0 :  3
Greece

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  2
Greece

Sweden vs Greece Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sweden

50 %

Draw

0 %

Greece

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 Oct 2021 - World Cup

Sweden
2 :  0
Greece

8 Sept 2021 - World Cup

Greece
2 :  1
Sweden
Sweden vs Greece Prediction

Players list

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

K. Nordfeldt

Defender

G. Lagerbielke

A. Bernhardsson

D. Svensson

I. Hien

G. Gudmundsson

Midfielder

B. Nygren

Y. Ayari

M. Svanberg

Forward

A. Isak

V. Gyokeres

Greece
Greece
Goalkeeper

K. Tzolakis

Defender

L. Rota

K. Koulierakis

K. Tsimikas

K. Mavropanos

P. Retsos

Midfielder

C. Zafeiris

D. Kourbelis

Forward

C. Tzolis

A. Tetteh

V. Pavlidis

Substitutes

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

J. Widell Zetterstrom

V. Johansson

Defender

E. Stroud

G. Gudmundsson 64'

H. Johansson

E. Smith

G. Lagerbielke 64'

C. Starfelt

I. Hien 64'

H. Ekdal

D. Svensson 80'

Midfielder

S. Nanasi

L. Bergvall

A. Isak 64'

B. Zeneli

Y. Ayari 64'

K. Sema

J. Karlstrom

M. Svanberg 64'

Forward

A. Elanga

V. Gyokeres 64'

G. Nilsson

B. Nygren 64'

T. Ali

A. Bernhardsson 64'

Greece
Greece
Goalkeeper

C. Mandas

K. Tzolakis 80'

O. Vlachodimos

Defender

K. Kostoulas

A. Tetteh 63'

G. Vagiannidis

L. Rota 62'

N. Triantis

D. Kourbelis 62'

A. Ntoi

P. Chatzidiakos

P. Retsos 62'

G. Kyriakopoulos

Midfielder

S. Kontouris

C. Mouzakitis

C. Zafeiris 81'

A. Androutsos

K. Koulierakis 81'

Forward

A. Kyziridis

A. Douvikas

V. Pavlidis 62'

G. Masouras

C. Tzolis 80'

Sweden - Greece Key Points

  1. Seven of Sweden’s last ten matches have seen both teams score goals.
  2. Four of Sweden’s last six home games have also seen both teams score.
  3. Greece scored in five of their last seven international friendlies.
  4. Three of Greece’s last six matches have seen both teams score.
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Our Sweden vs Greece Prediction

Sweden made the most of their Nations League route to advance to the playoffs, defeating Ukraine and Poland to book their ticket to the World Cup. That said, the 3-1 defeat at the hands of Norway on Monday was a stark reminder of how far they still have to go before being a competitor in a group that features the Netherlands, Japan, and Tunisia. Greece have no World Cup to look forward to but will look to get some momentum before the Nations League in September.

It’s likely to be an open game, so our Sweden vs Greece prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sweden Greece

Sweden vs Greece Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sweden wins 1.68 2 +19.0%
Draw 3.75 3.8 +1.3%
Greece wins 5.25 4.17 -20.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sweden is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 19.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 50.0% (-9.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.