Swansea vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions
16th-placed Swansea host 14th-placed Stoke in this Championship Matchday 36 clash at the Swansea.com Stadium on Saturday. The Swans will look to bounce back with a win against the Potters after last week’s setback at Ipswich. Here is our prediction for the match.
Swansea suffered a heavy defeat to Ipswich Town away in their last match, conceding three unanswered goals to the hosts. While the Swans boast a series of strong results in their last six games overall, they have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four matches.
Nine of their last 10 games overall have produced between 2–4 total goals. Four of their last five home matches have also produced 2–4 total goals.
Stoke City head into Saturday's contest with a poor run of results. They suffered a 2–1 defeat to Coventry last time out, marking their eighth Championship match without a win in nine overall.
At the heart of this underwhelming performance is their poor defence. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven of those nine matches, six of which ended with 2–4 total goals.
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Swansea v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.35 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.35 | 3.91 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.36 | 3.93 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.35 | 4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Stoke match is: 2–4 total goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Swansea and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.29% for a win of Swansea against Stoke with odds of 2.1 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Stoke is 36.55% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Swansea with odds of 4 at Roobet.
Swansea - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 39.29% | 2.1 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 57.74% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swansea | 19.58% | 5 at Bet365 |
Swansea vs Stoke Form
Swansea and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Swansea and Stoke Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
8 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
8 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
Swansea vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2024 - Championship
12 Dec 2023 - Championship
25 Jan 2020 - Championship
Swansea against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Fisher
DefenderJ. Ward
L. Walta
M. Yalcouye
O. Cooper
J. Fulton
M. Widell
G. Nunes
L. Cullen
F. Fielding
DefenderM. Talovierov
P. Otegbayo
J. Tchamadeu
T. Rigo
G. Kelly
B. Pearson
ForwardM. Manhoef
M. Smit
Missing players
Z. Inoussa
V. Johansson
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Stoke
Z. Vipotnik
(23 Goals)
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
J. Tymon
(7 Assists)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
Swansea - Stoke Key Points
- Nine of Swansea’s last 10 Championship matches have produced 2–4 total goals.
- Four of Swansea’s last five home matches have ended with 2–4 total goals.
- Stoke City have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven of their last nine Championship matches.
- Six of Stoke City’s last eight Championship matches have produced two to four total goals.
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Our Swansea vs Stoke Prediction
This match pits two teams struggling to keep things tight at the back this season; hence we expect a moderate count of goals. Swansea have conceded in three of their last four matches and most of their recent league outings have produced between two and four goals.
Stoke City’s defensive woes have also been evident, with the Potters failing to keep a clean sheet in seven of their last nine Championship matches. Six of those have ended with 2–4 total goals. Our Swansea vs Stoke City prediction is 2–4 total goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Stoke
| Swansea vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.5 | +4.5% |
| Stoke wins | 3.65 | 4 | +9.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 47.6% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
