Swansea vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions
It's a clash of relegation battlers as 20th-placed Swansea host 22nd-placed Portsmouth in this Championship fixture on Tuesday. Both teams will aim to secure victory and boost their chances of beating the drop. Here is our prediction.
Two first-half goals by Marko Stamenic and Josh Tymon were all Swansea needed as they defeated Oxford Utd 2-0 to secure the maximum three points last weekend. This victory also ended a seven-match winless run for the Welsh club and saw them open a three-point gap off the relegation zone.
Notably, the Jacks have struggled to keep things tight at the back in their recent games, failing to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last 10 fixtures. This poor defensive record has only gotten worse lately as they have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game in their last six matches.
Portsmouth dropped into the relegation zone with 17 points – three behind Swansea – after losing 1-0 to Bristol City in their most recent match. They have lost three of their last four games and are winless in their last seven away games.
John Mousinho's side hasn't kept any clean sheet in their last four matches. These defensive weaknesses have only worsened in their last three away matches as they have conceded at least three goals in each of those games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Swansea v Portsmouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.97 | 3.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.36 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.52 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Portsmouth?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Portsmouth match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/12/2025 between Swansea and Portsmouth in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.71% for a win of Swansea against Portsmouth with odds of 2.03 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Portsmouth is 22.38% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Portsmouth vs Swansea with odds of 4.02 at Betwinner.
Swansea - Portsmouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Portsmouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 40.71% | 2.03 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.01% | 2.05 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Swansea/Swansea | 14.3% | 3.05 at LSbet |
Swansea vs Portsmouth Form
Swansea and Portsmouth's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 |
|
18
|
55 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 |
Swansea and Portsmouth Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
Swansea vs Portsmouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
Swansea against Portsmouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Fisher
DefenderJ. Key
K. Casey
I. Samuels-Smith
MidfielderZ. Inoussa
M. Yalcouye
J. Fulton
ForwardZ. Vipotnik
L. Cullen
J. Bursik
DefenderA. Sizer
J. Williams
L. Le Roux
M. Kosznovszky
A. Segecic
H. Blair
M. Kirk
C. Bishop
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Portsmouth
Z. Vipotnik
(23 Goals)
A. Segecic
(10 Goals)
J. Tymon
(7 Assists)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
Swansea - Portsmouth Key Points
- Swansea have conceded 2.3 goals per game in their last six matches.
- Five of Swansea’s last six matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Portsmouth have conceded at least three goals in each of their last three away matches.
- Three of Portsmouth’s last four matches have produced no fewer than three goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Swansea vs Portsmouth Prediction
Swansea will be looking for their first back-to-back wins in the Championship this season. Meanwhile, this match promises to be a thriller as the two teams square off to strengthen their bid to beat the drop. They are struggling for form and will look to turn things around.
However, their major weaknesses are poor defending and a harvest of goals has been the result, especially in their recent games. Therefore, we expect a goal-fest on Tuesday with at least three goals scored. Our Swansea vs Portsmouth prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Portsmouth
| Swansea vs Portsmouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2.11 | 2.03 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.55 | +6.9% |
| Portsmouth wins | 3.42 | 4.02 | +17.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.4% and is now 49.3% (1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
