Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
With just six games of the main season remaining, this is a vital game for Middlesbrough. After Friday's home loss, Boro are third in the Championship and on Easter Monday they travel to 16th placed Swansea City. Read our match prediction below.
Good Friday didn't live up to its name as Middlesbrough lost 2-1 at home to Millwall. That saw the victors move above them into the second and final automatic promotion spot. A win for Millwall earlier on Monday will take them four points clear of Boro.
Middlesbrough have gone four league games without a win, earning only two points. They have been struggling at home but have earned seven points from their last three away Championship matches.
Seven goals have been scored in their last two away wins..
Swansea City have little to play for as they are 11 points adrift of the final play-off position but 13 above the relegation zone. Friday saw them come from 3-1 down to draw 3-3 at Sheffield United.
The Swans have gone three league games without a win and conceded eight goals in those matches. Only one of their last three home league games have been won. The most recent saw them beaten 3-0 by runaway leaders Coventry.
We tip Middlesbrough to get three vital points.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Swansea v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 | 3.6 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.77 | 3.62 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.98 | 3.74 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.7 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.55 | 1.93 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2026 between Swansea and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.95% for a win of Swansea against Middlesbrough with odds of 3.98 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Middlesbrough is 18.55% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Swansea with odds of 1.96 at Stake.
Swansea - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 42.5% | 1.96 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.15% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Middlesbrough/Middlesbrough | 16.94% | 3 at Bet365 |
Swansea vs Middlesbrough Form
Swansea and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
|
11
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 |
Swansea and Middlesbrough Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
13 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
8 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
13 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
2 Mar 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
2 Mar 2026 - Championship
16 Feb 2026 - Championship
9 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
Swansea vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Mar 2021 - Championship
6 Apr 2019 - Championship
Swansea against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Fisher
DefenderJ. Ward
R. Santos
MidfielderM. Stamenic
L. Walta
R. Pereira Martins
M. Yalcouye
G. Nunes
A. Idah
J. Wildsmith
DefenderF. Munroe
D. Fry
G. Edmundson
MidfielderA. Gilbert
L. McCabe
ForwardS. Hansen
M. Sene
C. Ibeh
Missing players
Z. Inoussa
D. Lenihan
A. Jones
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Z. Vipotnik
(23 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
J. Tymon
(7 Assists)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
Swansea - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Middlesbrough won the reverse fixture 1-0.
- Middlesbrough have won ten away league games this season.
- Middlesbrough have earned seven points from their last three away league matches.
- Swansea have gone three league games without a win, conceding eight goals in those matches.
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Our Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction
This game means so much more to Middlesbrough than their opponents. Boro could be as low as fourth by the time this game gets underway and possibly four points behind the final automatic promotion place.
Home form has been a worry of late but they are still playing well on the road. Swansea have gone three league games without a win and are conceding far too many goals with eight conceded in the last three matches. Our Swansea v Middlesbrough prediction is Swansea wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Middlesbrough
| Swansea vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 3.4 | 3.98 | +17.1% |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.75 | +7.8% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.06 | 1.96 | -4.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.5% and is now 51.0% (2.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
