Swansea vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Swansea
05/04/2025 10:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Matthew Newman | in Championship Predictions

Derby County will make a visit to south Wales on Saturday afternoon as they travel to the Liberty Stadium to take on Swansea. The Rams are currently 20th in the Championship prior to the match while the Swans are 16th. Let's get stuck into a prediction.

Swansea are not safe yet but they have a five-point gap between themselves and the drop. They have a couple of wins in their last three at home, taking a loss to Burnley in their most recent game here but there is no disgrace in that.

Inconsistency has plagued their season, picking up a point away at Leeds the last time that they played after a run of four games where they scored one goal in total. 

A win at home to Preston on Wednesday has Derby on the right side of the relegation line but only by one point. Just Oxford and Plymouth have won fewer away games than the Rams so far in the league.

They have hit form at the right time, winning four straight after a run of 13 in all competitions without picking up a success. Three of those four wins have come at Pride Park though, their only road success at bottom of the league Plymouth.

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Swansea vs Derby County Form

Swansea and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Swansea
61 46 17 10 19 -5
19 Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8

Swansea and Derby County Last Matches

Swansea
Swansea Last matches
W D W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  2
Swansea

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  2
Burnley

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Swansea

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Swansea

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Blackburn
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  2
Burnley

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Blackburn

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  2
Coventry City

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Sheffield United
L W L D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  2
Swansea

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Swansea

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Swansea

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Swansea

9 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Swansea

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Norwich
5 :  1
Swansea
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Preston North End

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  3
Derby County

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall
L D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Preston North End

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  3
Derby County

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County

14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Derby County

Swansea vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Swansea

50 %

Draw

50 %

Derby County

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

27 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Swansea

1 May 2019 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Derby County

Swansea against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11

Swansea

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

22
L. Vigouroux
2
J. Key
5
B. Cabango
6
H. Darling
28
H. Delcroix
14
J. Tymon
17
G. Franco
4
J. Fulton
8
L. O'Brien
35
R. Pereira Martins
20
L. Cullen
19
K. Jackson
18
M. Harness
16
L. Thompson
28
H. Armstrong
32
E. Adams
3
C. Forsyth
25
M. Clarke
12
N. Phillips
6
S. Langas
2
K. Wilson
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Derby County

Substitutes

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

J. Mclaughlin

Defender

S. Parker

K. Naughton

C. Christie

R. Pereira Martins 90'

Midfielder

O. Cooper

E. Ji-sung

H. Delcroix 63'

F. Bianchini

J. Allen

J. Fulton 77'

Forward

Z. Vipotnik

G. Franco 62'

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

E. Pieters

J. Rooney

K. Robinson

Midfielder

K. Goudmijn

S. Langas 83'

J. Hendrick

N. Mendez

E. Adams 83'

Forward

L. Wheeldon

K. Jackson 89'

T. Barkhuizen

L. Thompson 83'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Swansea
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
Wales L. Cullen (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil R. Pereira Martins (5 Assists)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists) , 
England J. Yates (4 Assists) , 
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)

Swansea - Derby County Key Points

  1. Swansea won 2-1 at Derby at the end of November.
  2. In their 10 away games between Derby’s two away wins, they failed to score five times.
  3. Over their last five at home, Swansea have failed to score in three but kept clean sheets in the other two.
  4. Derby averages 0.79 goals scored per away game.
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Our Swansea vs Derby County Prediction

Derby arrives in flying form but primarily that has come at home. Their 3-2 win at Plymouth was an outlier in terms of their away form, the first time they have scored three in 21 away games in all competitions this season. 

Swansea have been inconsistent at home, capable of clean sheets with seven at home in the league this season but also failing to score in 26% of their home games. Our Swansea vs Derby prediction is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Swansea vs Derby County Prediction