Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Premier League Predictions
This Premier League Matchday 34 fixture sees Sunderland host Nottingham Forest at the Stadium of Light on Friday night. The Black Cats are 11th in the standings with 46 points, while Forest are 16th at 36 points. Let's get into further details and our prediction.
Despite a seven-goal thriller defeat to Aston Villa at the weekend, Sunderland still remain firm in the race for a European spot. With five matches remaining in the season, a win here could see Régis Le Bris' charges narrowing the gap to the top six to just one point, strengthening their European bid. They stunned Nottingham Forest 1–0 away in the reverse fixture earlier in the season, thanks to defender Omar Alderete's 38th-minute goal.
On the other side of the spectrum, Nottingham Forest have struggled in the Premier League this season. Despite a commanding victory over fellow relegation-battlers Burnley at the weekend, the Tricky Trees are still deep in the battle to beat the drop with just a five-point cushion above the relegation zone. However, they could make a big leap towards survival with a win on Friday. Stay tuned as we take a closer look at the numbers and detailed stats.
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Sunderland v Nottingham Forest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.14 | 2.76 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.18 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest match is: Sunderland or draw
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/04/2026 between Sunderland and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.62% for a win of Sunderland against Nottingham Forest with odds of 2.84 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest is 22.65% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
Sunderland - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 43.72% | 2.85 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.35% | 2.23 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nottingham Forest | 17.72% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Form
Sunderland and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
|
16
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
Sunderland and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Sunderland - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
It has been a run of mixed results for Sunderland after the March international break. They fell 1–0 to Brighton in their first fixture after the break, but bounced back with unlikely back-to-back wins against Newcastle United (2–1) and Tottenham (1–0). Tammy Abraham's stoppage-time winner condemned them to a dramatic 4–3 defeat to Aston Villa last weekend.
Notably, the Europa League hopefuls had gone unbeaten in their first 12 Premier League home matches (W7, D5) his season before three consecutive defeats against Liverpool, Fulham, and Brighton. They ended that losing streak with the 1–0 win against Tottenham in their last home fixture.
Sunderland have conceded just 14 goals at home – the third-best record in the league this season, behind only Manchester City (12) and Arsenal (11)
Morgan Gibbs-White's hat-trick and Igor Jesus' stoppage-time strike saw Nottingham Forest thrash 19th-placed Burnley 4–1 last week, strengthening their hopes of beating the drop. However, Vítor Pereira's charges have dropped points in eight of their last 10 Premier League matches (D5, L3).
They saw off Tottenham Hotspur 3–0 in their last Premier League road trip, but have failed to win three of their last four EPL away games. Both of their recent competitive matchups with Sunderland have ended in defeat.
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Sunderland against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
M. Ellborg
DefenderD. Cirkin
L. Geertruida
R. Mandava
H. Jones
C. Talbi
L. O'Nien
ForwardW. Isidor
E. Mayenda
S. Ortega
DefenderL. Netz
Morato
N. Dominguez
J. McAtee
R. Yates
D. Bakwa
D. Ndoye
T. Awoniyi
Missing players
S. Moore
MidfielderR. Mundle
J. Bi
ForwardB. Traore
N. Angulo
W. Boly
N. Savona
MidfielderMurillo
ForwardC. Hudson-Odoi
Sunderland & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
Omar Alderete remains a doubt for this game after being forced off the Aston Villa match with a muscle injury. Daniel Ballard replaced the Paraguayan center-back and is expected to return to the defense for Sunderland, this time in the starting XI.
Nilson Angulo (muscle injury), Romaine Mundle (hamstring), Jocelin Ta Bi (ankle blow), and Bertrand Traore (knee) remain sidelined for the Black Cats. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest will have to keep an eye on French midfielder Enzo Le Fée who boasts a team-leading 9 G/A for Sunderland in the Premier League this season, as well as six-goal forward Brian Brobbey.
Sunderland midfielder Granit Xhaka will make his 255th Premier League appearance against Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest are without key centre-back Murillo, who limped off the Burnley clash in the first half with an apparent hamstring issue. His absence was felt immediately with Burnley exploiting the gap to race into the lead. The Tricky Trees are set for another tough task keeping their lines against Sunderland with the Brazilian remaining a doubt.
They will also miss seven G/A Callum Hudson-Odoi, who has been ruled out of the season after undergoing thigh surgery. Notably, Sunderland will have to checkmate Morgan Gibbs-White who scored a hat-trick against Burnley, taking his Premier League tally for Nottingham Forest to a team-high 12 this season.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
M. Gibbs-White
(15 Goals)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
O. Hutchinson
(5 Assists)
Sunderland - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Sunderland have avoided defeat in 13 in their 16 Premier League home matches this season.
- The Black Cats have won both of their recent competitive matches against Forest.
- Nottingham Forest have failed to win eight of their last 10 Premier League matches.
- Forest have lost or drawn three of their last four Premier League away matches.
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Our Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Sunderland have not only been hard to beat at the Stadium of Light, but have made it one of the toughest grounds for opponents to find the net. Interestingly, Mackems finally ended their three-game deadlock at the venue in style last time out and will look to build on that.
Nottingham Forest have been promising lately, but their uninspiring recent Premier League record and dwindling fortunes on the road are potent reasons to be more cautious of their chances. We are backing Sunderland to win or draw. Our Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Sunderland or draw.
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Alternative Predictions
Draw
This is a double-edged tie for Nottingham Forest. They have both vengeance and survival hopes on the line. However, a European-spot seeking Sunderland is likely to prove a difficult team for Vítor Pereira's side to beat at the Stadium of Light. With the stakes high for both sides, we are tipping for a draw in the 1X2 market.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Nottingham Forest
| Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 3 | 2.84 | -5.3% |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.3 | -0.6% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 2.63 | 2.85 | +8.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nottingham Forest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 35.1% (-2.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
