Sunderland vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Sunderland will welcome fellow European hopefuls Liverpool in a midweek English Premier League game this Wednesday. Just three points separate the two coming into this Matchday 26 encounter at the Stadium of Light. The Reds have a slight points advantage and sit sixth in the table, whereas the Black Cats are ninth. This is the second meeting of the season between the two, and here’s our prediction for the match.
The teams played out a 1-1 draw in the reverse game back in December, ending an eight-year hiatus from the last time the fixture was played. Bookmakers have Liverpool as heavy favorites, but that will need some massive effort looking at Sunderland’s home record.
The hosts are the fourth-best performing home team and the only undefeated side at home this season. Both Sunderland and Liverpool are coming off defeats from the top two sides and will, each in their own right, view this as a winnable game.
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Sunderland v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.6 | 3.95 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.46 | 3.9 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.84 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.75 | 1.76 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Liverpool match is: Sunderland wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2026 between Sunderland and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.65% for a win of Sunderland against Liverpool with odds of 4.71 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Liverpool is 33.29% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Sunderland with odds of 1.8 at LSbet.
Sunderland - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 36.05% | 1.8 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.44% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 17.92% | 5 at Bet365 |
Sunderland vs Liverpool Form
Sunderland and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
Sunderland and Liverpool Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
Sunderland vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Jan 2017 - Premier League
26 Nov 2016 - Premier League
Sunderland - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Sunderland have lost twice in their last three EPL outings. They had lost just once in eight matches across all competitions before this run. After a shocking 3-1 loss away to West Ham, Regis Le Bris’ men regrouped in their next match as they welcomed lowly Burnley and won 3-0.
This would, however, be the same treatment they received next as they headed out to league leaders Arsenal this past weekend. The Black Cats have accumulated 36 points thanks to nine wins and nine draws. They are having an exciting return to the top flight despite the inconsistencies and are in the race for a place in Europe.
Sunderland are unbeaten at home in the league this season.
Liverpool are also coming off a loss that has continued their inconsistent run of results. Arne Slot’s men endured a disheartening defeat as they conceded twice in the last six minutes to fall 2-1 at home to Manchester City. They’ve now lost twice in their last four games and managed just four wins in the last 10 fixtures.
By Liverpool’s standards, this is not good enough, and it has jeopardized their top-four hopes. Mathematically in with a chance at challenging for the title, the defending champions’ realistic target is qualification for next season’s Champions League. With 39 points from 11 wins and six draws, the Merseysiders are five points from the top four.
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Sunderland against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Ellborg
DefenderL. Geertruida
D. Cirkin
MidfielderR. Mundle
C. Rigg
L. O'Nien
C. Talbi
W. Isidor
E. Mayenda
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderC. Ramsay
M. Kerkez
J. Gomez
F. Chiesa
C. Jones
T. Nyoni
K. Morrison
ForwardR. Ngumoha
Missing players
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderD. Szoboszlai
Sunderland & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Sunderland captain Granit Xhaka is still sidelined and headlines a three-man injury report that also includes Bertrand Traore and Jocelin Ta Bi. Traore, who hasn’t played since returning from the AFCON with a knee issue, could be available for this match, though.
If the Burkina Faso star is passed fit, it will be a huge addition for the hosts in attack. Brian Brobbey has turned into their reliable option to lead the attack and is the club’s top scorer with five league goals. Wilson Isidor, Chemsdine Talbi, who scored in the reverse game, and Enzo Le Fee are other options in attack for Sunderland.
Hugo Ekitike is Liverpool’s top scorer, netting 10 of his 15 goals in the league.
Liverpool have a far longer list of absentees through injury and suspensions. Joe Gomez did not feature against City but is expected to be available for this trip after being out with a groin issue. Jeremie Frimpong, Alexander Isak, and Conor Bradley will miss this trip but will not be out for much longer.
The big miss for the Reds will be Dominik Szoboszlai, who is suspended after his red card over the weekend. With this suspension, Mohammed Salah may want to play a bigger role here.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Liverpool
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
Sunderland - Liverpool Key Points
- Liverpool have lost twice in their last four outings.
- Liverpool have lost twice in their last three league outings.
- Seven of Sunderland’s nine league wins have been achieved at home.
- Five of Liverpool’s eight league losses have been inflicted on the road.
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Our Sunderland vs Liverpool Prediction
Sunderland have been at their absolute best this season when playing at home. They are unbeaten at their ground in the league, claiming all but two of their victories at the Stadium of Light. Liverpool, on their part, are having an inconsistent campaign, and away from home, their struggles have been glaring.
The majority of their losses have come on the road. The Reds are also set to miss key players, especially in defense, which will be a big stumbling block against Sunderland’s high-intensity style. Our prediction for Sunderland vs Liverpool is that Sunderland wins.
Sunderland vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
In our second prediction, we are settling for over 2.5 goals to be scored in this match. Liverpool are missing key players in defense and, even at full strength, have conceded more than 20 away goals this term. Sunderland, who are a completely different team when playing at home, are likely to score more than once here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Liverpool
| Sunderland vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 5.13 | 4.71 | -8.2% |
| Draw | 3.88 | 4 | +3.1% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.78 | 1.8 | +1.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 55.6% (-0.6%)
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Sunderland vs Liverpool - FAQs
This match will be played on Wednesday, 11 February.
This match will be played at Sunderland’s Stadium of Light in Sunderland, England.
This match is available for live telecast in the UK on TNT Sports. Detailed match updates will be available on Sportytrader for this and the rest of the EPL action this week.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
