Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The final curtain on Matchday 24 of the Premier League comes from the Stadium of Light, where Sunderland will be playing host to fellow newly-promoted outfit Burnley on Monday night. The Black Cats are 11th in the league standings, while the Clarets are in 19th place after 23 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Regis Le Bris’ side have defied all expectations this season, currently on 33 points after 23 matches and 13 points clear of the drop. They are the clear favourites of the newly-promoted teams to avoid relegation this season, and they are still only four points behind Chelsea in the Europa League qualification spot.
Despite winning the EFL Championship last season, Scott Parker’s team are the worst-performing of the newly promoted sides this season. With only 15 points to date, the Clarets are 10 points from safety and need a massive end to the season if they are to avoid returning to the second tier. Let's get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sunderland v Burnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.96 | 3.35 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.3 | 4.34 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.3 | 4.34 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.3 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Burnley match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/02/2026 between Sunderland and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.76% for a win of Sunderland against Burnley with odds of 1.97 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Burnley is 41.51% with odds of 3.38 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Sunderland with odds of 4.5 at Stake.
Sunderland - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 47.76% | 1.97 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.69% | 2.11 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sunderland | 23.13% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Sunderland vs Burnley Form
Sunderland and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Sunderland and Burnley Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
Sunderland vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Jan 2025 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Mar 2023 - Championship
18 Mar 2017 - Premier League
17 Jan 2017 - FA Cup
Sunderland - Burnley: Form Analysis
Sunderland dropped out of the top half of the EPL standings last weekend when they conceded three first-half goals to relegation candidates West Ham United and ended up losing the match 3-1.
Despite that loss, the Black Cats have still only conceded 26 goals this season, a record only bettered by four of the top five teams in the division - Arsenal (17), Man City (21), Aston Villa (25) and Chelsea (25).
The hosts’ greatest strength this season has been their record at the Stadium of Light, where they have yet to taste defeat in the top flight this term, winning six and drawing five of their 11 matches.
Sunderland is the only team in the EPL with an unbeaten home record this season!
Meanwhile, Burnley have shown in recent weeks that even if they do suffer the drop, they will not go down without a fight. In their last three games, they have held Man United, Liverpool and Spurs to draws.
However, if the Clarets are to remain in the top flight, they will need to improve defensively. They have shipped 44 goals this term - the second most in the league - and have only kept one clean sheet in their last 15 EPL matches.
The visitors have been very poor on the road this season, earning just five points from 11 away games (W1 D2 L8). Their only away win this season came against basement club Wolves in late October.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sunderland against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
S. Moore
DefenderJ. Jones
D. Cirkin
L. Geertruida
R. Mundle
L. O'Nien
C. Rigg
ForwardW. Isidor
E. Mayenda
M. Weiss
DefenderJ. Worrall
MidfielderH. Mejbri
Z. Flemming
J. Laurent
J. Ward Prowse
ForwardA. Broja
L. Tchaouna
J. Bruun Larsen
Missing players
B. Traore
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
Sunderland & Burnley Squad Analysis
Brian Brobbey is enjoying his best run of form since arriving at Wearside, having scored three goals in his last four league matches, including the winner against Palace and an equaliser against Spurs this month.
Granit Xhaka has been immense for the Black Cats this season and was sorely missed in their defeat to the Hammers last week. Le Bris confirmed this week that the team’s skipper will remain sidelined for at least another three weeks.
Reinildo Mandava and Romaine Mundle both started the last match but are expected to make way for Chemsdine Talbi and Dennis Cirkin this week. Bertrand Traore is the only other injury absentee for the hosts.
Nordi Mukiele has provided assists in each of his last two games!
After an impressive Africa Cup of Nations campaign for South Africa, Lyle Foster came off the bench to score the second goal against Tottenham last week and could return to the starting lineup in place of Armando Broja this weekend.
Jaidon Anthony has failed to score in his last 10 starts for the Clarets, but he is still the team’s top scorer this season and notched up an assist and a goal in the reverse fixture back in August.
The visitors have several players sidelined through injury at present, including Mike Tresor, Zian Flemming, Joe Worrall, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts and Zeki Amdouni for this match.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Burnley
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
Sunderland - Burnley Key Points
- Four of Sunderland’s last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Sunderland have only failed to score in one league home game this season.
- Each of Burnley’s last four games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Burnley have conceded two or more goals in nine of their 11 away matches this season.
- Burnley have the highest xGA in the EPL this season (2.05).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction
Sunderland have been mightily impressive this season, especially at the Stadium of Light, and they enter this match as the only team in the top flight still unbeaten at home after 11 matches, including six wins and five draws.
As a result, the Black Cats are big favourites for this clash, but Burnley have been extremely resilient in the last few weeks, having taken a point off Spurs, Liverpool and Man United in their last three matches. Therefore, our Sunderland vs Burnley prediction is BTTS.
Sunderland vs Burnley Alternative Predictions
Burnley over 0.5
Burnley are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions and scored a combined 10 goals in that period. They have also netted in all but one of their last 10 away games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Burnley
| Sunderland vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 1.7 | 1.97 | +15.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.38 | -0.6% |
| Burnley wins | 5.2 | 4.5 | -13.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sunderland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 50.8% (-8.1%)
Sunderland vs Burnley - FAQs
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Burnley will take place on February 2 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Burnley will be played at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland.
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Burnley will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
