Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Stadium of Light sets the stage for a Saturday showdown, as Sunderland prepare for battle against Brighton & Hove Albion on Matchday 30 in the Premier League. The Black Cats are 11th in the league standings, while the Seagulls are in 14th place after 29 games. Check out our match prediction below!
MD29 was a massive one for Regis Le Bris’ side, as a victory at Elland Road saw them reach the 40-point mark - a milestone widely considered the threshold to avoid relegation. Sunderland are now 12 clear of the drop and still in the picture for Europe, especially with the possibility that there could be seven or more continental competition spots up for grabs this term.
With a nine-point cushion above the dotted line, Fabian Hurzeler’s team are not in immediate danger of the drop, but they aren’t out of the woods entirely either. However, given how stacked the mid-table is, a victory here could see the Seagulls soar into the top half of the standings, provided results elsewhere go in their favour. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Sunderland v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.32 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.32 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.1 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.2 | 2.14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Brighton match is: Sunderland or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Sunderland and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.48% for a win of Sunderland against Brighton with odds of 3.61 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Brighton is 32.39% with odds of 3.46 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Sunderland with odds of 2.25 at LSbet.
Sunderland - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 35.48% | 3.61 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 57.89% | 2.35 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sunderland | 16.71% | 7.75 at LSbet |
Sunderland vs Brighton Form
Sunderland and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
Sunderland and Brighton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Sunderland vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Sunderland - Brighton: Form Analysis
Sunderland dug deep to secure a hard-fought 1-0 victory over fellow newly-promoted outfit Leeds United on MD29 to bring an end to their four-match winless run in the top flight (D1 L3).
Unfortunately, the euphoria of reaching the crucial 40-point mark in the EPL was short-lived, as they were sent crashing out of the FA Cup over the weekend, losing 1-0 to third-tier Port Vale on the road.
The hosts’ greatest strength this season has been their form at the Stadium of Light, where they’ve earned 26 of their 40 points. However, they have lost their last two games at this venue after going unbeaten in their first 13 this season.
Sunderland have conceded the third-fewest goals at home in the EPL this season (13)!
Meanwhile, after back-to-back wins against Nottingham Forest and Brentford, Brighton & Hove Albion’s momentum was halted last time out when they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Arsenal at home.
Still, the Seagulls will be optimistic in their chances of bouncing back in this match, as they are unbeaten in their last 11 games against newly promoted teams (W5 D6). They also kept five clean sheets in their last six such matches.
However, the visitors’ away record is a concern, as they have only taken 13 points from 14 league matches and have recorded just one win in their last seven on the road since December.
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Sunderland against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Moore
DefenderD. Cirkin
J. Jones
MidfielderJ. Whittaker
H. Jones
J. Jones
L. O'Nien
E. Mayenda
W. Isidor
J. Steele
DefenderM. De Cuyper
J. Veltman
O. Boscagli
MidfielderM. O'Riley
Y. Ayari
H. Howell
S. March
ForwardG. Rutter
Missing players
R. Roefs
DefenderR. Mandava
MidfielderE. Le Fee
R. Mundle
J. Bi
ForwardB. Traore
N. Angulo
A. Webster
MidfielderK. Mitoma
ForwardS. Tzimas
Sunderland & Brighton Squad Analysis
Granit Xhaka's presence in midfield was sorely missed against Port Vale, but the skipper has now made four appearances off the bench since returning from injury and should be in contention to start this weekend.
Brian Brobbey’s absence has also been a major blow for the Black Caps. Eliezer Mayenda had a very poor outing in the last match, which could prompt Le Bris to consider giving Wilson Isidor the nod to start this match up top.
Brobbey is one of several players ruled out at present for the hosts, along with Ryan Mundle, Nordi Mukiele, Dennis Cirkin, Jocelin Ta Bi and Reinildo.
Danny Welbeck to return to lead the line for the Seagulls?
Hurzeler raised a few eyebrows by opting to start Georginio Rutter against the Gunners. Welbeck had scored in back-to-back games before that fixture, and many expect the Englishman to be brought back into the run-on side this week.
Yankuba Minteh is another who Seagulls’ fans are crying out to get a starting role. He has the second-most carries into the penalty area in the EPL this season (61), only behind Jeremy Doku.
Kaoru Mitoma picked up a knock in the last match and is expected to be sidelined for a few weeks. Solly March, Stefanos Tzimas and Adam Webster are also ruled out through injury for the visitors.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Brighton
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
Sunderland - Brighton Key Points
- Sunderland have only lost two home league games this season.
- Sunderland have conceded the third-fewest goals at home in the EPL this season.
- Brighton have only won two of their last nine matches in all competitions.
- Brighton have only won three of their 14 away league games this season.
- Brighton failed to score in two of their last three away matches.
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Our Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction
Barring their last two league games, Sunderland’s home form this season has been exceptional, and they will be determined to make amends for their poor performance in the FA Cup in front of their home fans this weekend.
Brighton are well capable of taking three points from this match, but their away record has been very poor this season, averaging less than a point per 90. This should be a close contest, but we fancy the hosts to avoid defeat. Our Sunderland vs Brighton prediction is Sunderland or draw.
Sunderland vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Less than 2.5 goals
Five of Sunderland’s last six games have ended with under 2.5 goals, while five of Brighton’s last seven matches have seen fewer than three goals scored. Additionally, the reverse fixture ended goalless back in December.
Sunderland wins
Sunderland have only lost two of 14 league games at the Stadium of Light this season (W7 D5) and have conceded the third-fewest goals at home in the top flight to date.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Brighton
| Sunderland vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 3.07 | 3.61 | +17.6% |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.46 | +1.2% |
| Brighton wins | 2.52 | 2.25 | -10.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sunderland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.6% and is now 27.7% (-4.9%)
Sunderland vs Brighton - FAQs
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Brighton will take place on March 14 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Brighton will be played at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland.
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Brighton will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
