England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
With a rare defensive record in sight, Arsenal travel to Sunderland on Saturday for a matchday 11 fixture in the 2025-26 English Premier League. This match on Saturday between the fourth-placed Black Cats and the top-placed Gunners comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Sunderland’s 18 points (W5, D3, L2) see them start the round one point behind second-placed Manchester City. Arsenal’s 25 points (W8, D1, L1) give them a six-point lead over the chasing pack led by Manchester City. What makes the Gunners imperious this season is their defensive record of having conceded just three goals. They also have a chance to post a ninth consecutive clean sheet in all competitions.
Sunderland can’t be entirely ruled out, looking at their home performances this season. They can surprise any team on their day and have been defensively solid, conceding only eight goals. This game could hence be low on goals, but will there be an upset from the Black Cats? Or, will Arsenal end up creating a new defensive record? Read on for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sunderland v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.5 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.2 | 1.44 |
|
|
7.5 | 4 | 1.44 |
|
|
7 | 4 | 1.5 |
|
|
8 | 4.3 | 1.42 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Arsenal match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Sunderland and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.79% for a win of Sunderland against Arsenal with odds of 8 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Arsenal is 19.28% with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Sunderland with odds of 1.5 at Betway.
Sunderland - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 59.93% | 1.5 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 60.31% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal | 26.69% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Sunderland vs Arsenal Form
Sunderland and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Sunderland and Arsenal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Sunderland vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2021 - Carabao Cup
16 May 2017 - Premier League
29 Oct 2016 - Premier League
Sunderland - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Sunderland drew 1-1 at home against Everton on the last matchday, where they had to come back from a goal down. That result continued their impressive form, with the Black Cats now losing only one of their last eight league games (W4, D3, L1).
Playing at home has brought the best out of Sunderland, who haven’t lost their five league games (W3, D2) at this venue. That said, they have scored in each of those five matches, giving hope of testing the visitors.
This is the first league game between the sides since May 2017!
Arsenal won 2-0 on that occasion and are also coming off a win, a 3-0 success against Slavia Prague in the Champions League. That result made it ten consecutive wins for the Gunners in all competitions, the last eight coming with a clean sheet.
Six of those have come on the road, and five of those victories were accompanied by a clean sheet. With six of their last eight away competitive matches producing two or fewer goals, this match could also end up low on goals.
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Sunderland against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
D. Cirkin
A. Alese
L. Hjelde
MidfielderR. Mundle
H. Diarra
M. Odegaard
ForwardG. Jesus
K. Havertz
N. Madueke
G. Martinelli
V. Gyokeres
Sunderland & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Sunderland will take a late call on the availability of Omar Alderete, who missed the last two games due to concussion. The other regular absentees include Habib Diarra and Leo Hjelde.
The Black Cats have shown flexibility to line up in 3-4-3, 4-2-3-1, or 4-3-3 systems. They have lined up in a defensively solid 5-4-1 formation against Chelsea, and there’s no reason why they can’t do that here. That system will have Wilson Isidor leading the line and former Arsenal player Granit Xhaka manning the midfield.
Isidor has four goals in his seven Premier League matches this season.
The midweek Champions League win came with a price for Arsenal, with Viktor Gyokeres set to miss out due to a hamstring injury. His absence could open the doors for Mikel Merino, who scored a brace against Slavia Prague.
Arsenal are going to stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation with Merino likely to lead the line. Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka are likely to provide the spark on the flanks. Ricardo Calafiori and Eberechi Eze could get a recall and be in the starting XI.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Arsenal
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
B. Saka
(6 Goals)
, 
V. Gyokeres
(6 Goals)
G. Xhaka
(3 Assists)
L. Trossard
(4 Assists)
,
D. Rice
(4 Assists)
Sunderland - Arsenal Key Points
- Six of Sunderland’s last seven league games produced under 2.5 goals.
- Sunderland’s matches average 2.00 goals per game this season and only Aston Villa averaged fewer before this round.
- Arsenal are not far off with only 2.10 goals per game scored this season.
- Sunderland’s last three home league games produced exactly two goals.
- In six of Sunderland’s last eight competitive matches, fewer than three goals were scored.
- Five of Arsenal’s last six league games produced two or fewer goals.
- In four of their last five away league games, Arsenal saw less than three goals scored.
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Our Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal are proving to be difficult to breach, as their recent run of eight consecutive clean sheets suggests. Even in the league, they have been the best defensive unit with only three goals conceded. Sunderland have been part of low-scoring games consistently all season long. Even at home, their fixtures have been low on goals. It won’t be an easy game for Arsenal, as Sunderland have been gritty at home.
With a new record for the number of clean sheets up for grabs, our Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Sunderland vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Bukayo Saka to score anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Arsenal
| Sunderland vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 6.25 | 7.5 | +20.0% |
| Draw | 5 | 4.33 | -13.4% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.42 | 1.44 | +1.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 69.4% (-1.0%)
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Sunderland vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Sunderland vs Arsenal English Premier League match will be shown live on the Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League TV channels. It will also be streamed on the Sky Go App.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
Arsenal are on a spree of clean sheets, managing eight in a row spanning 776 minutes. Another clean sheet here will see the Gunners set a new English record of nine consecutive shutouts.
Sunderland will welcome Arsenal to their Stadium of Light for the first time since October 2016. One has to go all the way back to November 2009 to find the last instance of Sunderland defeating Arsenal in a Premier League fixture, ominously coming at this venue. Darren Bent scored the only goal of that game.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
