Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
St Pauli can go top of the Bundesliga 2025-26 standings temporarily with a win over Stuttgart on Friday in a matchday four fixture. This match at MHPArena between the 12th-placed Die Roten (three points) and the fourth-placed Kiezkicker (seven points) comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Stuttgart are only two points above the bottom-three teams, although it’s too early to talk about a relegation battle. St Pauli are two points adrift of leaders Bayern Munich and could replace them temporarily if they win here.
A 3-1 away defeat at Freiburg last weekend was a big blow for Stuttgart, as it saw them concede all three goals beyond the 80th minute. The frantic loss ended a two-game winning run, including their win in the DFB Pokal, which came via penalties.
Their league form has seen alternating losses and wins after that Freiburg defeat. Stuttgart won their last two home league games after losing six in a row at this venue.
St Pauli won 2-1 at home against Augsburg last weekend to make it three wins and a draw in their four competitive matches this season. All three league games saw them score at least twice.
Their recent away form has also improved with two wins and two draws, but they will be keen to gather some momentum.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stuttgart v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.9 | 4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.83 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs St. Pauli match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2025 between Stuttgart and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.71% for a win of Stuttgart against St. Pauli with odds of 1.87 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs St. Pauli is 23.2% with odds of 4.2 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.09% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Stuttgart with odds of 5 at Ladbrokes.
Stuttgart - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stuttgart St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 39.09% | 5 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.82% | 2.3 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St. Pauli | 14.1% | 9 at Bet365 |
Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Form
Stuttgart and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
21 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
|
16
|
7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 |
Stuttgart and St. Pauli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - German Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - German Super Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
Players list
A. Nubel
DefenderL. Assignon
F. Jeltsch
J. Chabot
R. Hendriks
MidfielderA. Karazor
A. Stiller
B. El Khannouss
N. Nartey
ForwardC. Fuhrich
B. Bouanani
N. Vasilj
DefenderH. Wahl
E. Smith
L. Ritzka
A. Pyrka
MidfielderJ. Sands
J. Fujita
L. Oppie
M. Kaars
ForwardC. Metcalfe
O. Afolayan
Substitutes
S. Drljaca
DefenderP. Stenzel
J. Vagnoman
R. Hendriks
A. Al-Dakhil
MidfielderC. Fuhrich
B. Bouanani
N. Nartey
A. Karazor
B. Voll
DefenderJ. Robatsch
L. Ritzka
C. Metcalfe
A. Pyrka
E. Ahlstrand
N. Schmidt
ForwardO. Afolayan
M. Kaars
Missing players
F. Bredlow
DefenderL. Stergiou
L. Jaquez
ForwardJ. Diehl
D. Undav
D. Nemeth
K. Mets
MidfielderR. Jade-Jones
J. Irvine
ForwardA. Ceesay
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart
St. Pauli
E. Demirovic
(5 Goals)
J. Leweling
(4 Assists)
D. Sinani
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Saliakas
(1 Assists)
, 
C. Metcalfe
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Smith
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Fujita
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Pereira Lage
(1 Assists)
Stuttgart - St. Pauli Key Points
- Stuttgart scored three goals in this league campaign and only four clubs have netted fewer.
- Five of St. Pauli’s last eight league matches saw under 2.5 goals.
- In eight of their last 11 away league matches, St. Pauli saw fewer than three goals scored.
- Last season’s two Bundesliga matches between these sides saw just one goal scored.
- Four of the last five competitive matches between these sides produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Prediction
St Pauli start this round unbeaten and only two points adrift of the top spot. The visitors have been clinical with their game and have managed to edge out opponents after starting the season with a draw against Dortmund. Stuttgart have just one win so far and will need to get their campaign back on track. They have won their last two home league games, but six defeats in a row prior to that suggest they have a task on their hands.
This match could be low on goals, and our Stuttgart vs St. Pauli prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart St. Pauli
| Stuttgart vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 1.53 | 1.8 | +17.6% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 3.9 | -9.9% |
| St. Pauli wins | 5.5 | 4 | -27.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- St. Pauli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 27.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 18.2% and is now 25.0% (6.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Stuttgart vs. St. Pauli game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
