Stuttgart vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions
Stuttgart will look to make the most of their strong home form as Porto visit in the first leg of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League (UEL) round of 16. This match on Thursday in Stuttgart between the Swabians and the Dragons comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.
The teams followed different routes to this round. Stuttgart finished 11th in the league phase (W5, L3) and had to navigate a knockout phase play-off against Celtic. A 4-2 aggregate win in that tie was led by a 4-1 win in the first leg, so the Reds will hope to stay on course for progression. Porto finished fifth with 17 points (W5, D2, L1) and earned a direct ticket to the last-16 round.
Stuttgart will hope to maintain their impressive recent form at this venue to carry an edge to next week’s second leg in Portugal. That said, Porto won’t be pushovers, considering their European pedigree. They may still be pushed, as their recent record on the road hasn't been encouraging. Will the hosts continue to extend their home dominance? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Stuttgart v Porto Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.99 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.44 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.44 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Porto?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Porto match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2026 between Stuttgart and Porto in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.95% for a win of Stuttgart against Porto with odds of 2.03 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Porto is 28.33% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Stuttgart with odds of 4.16 at 888Starz.
Stuttgart - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stuttgart Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 45.95% | 2.03 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.85% | 2.45 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stuttgart | 18.87% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Stuttgart vs Porto Form
Stuttgart and Porto Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
Stuttgart - Porto: Form Analysis
Stuttgart were held to a 2-2 away draw last weekend by Mainz in the Bundesliga. The Reds are still stuck in a tight top-four battle in Germany, but their European run gives them hope. Stuttgart have five wins out of their last seven UEL games, although they lost their most recent game in that run.
That defeat came at home, but Stuttgart, otherwise, have been in great form at this venue. The Swabians have four wins out of their last five competitive home games (L1), impressively scoring 11 goals in those victories.
Seven of Stuttgart’s last 11 home competitive matches saw over 3.5 total goals.
Porto had an eventful 2-2 away draw against Benfica last weekend in the Portuguese league. While that’s not ideal preparation for this knockout tie, the Dragons have been stubborn in Europe this season.
Three wins out of their last four UEL games (D1) make Porto a tough team to face, although their away form isn’t too great. The visitors are winless in their last three away games in this competition (D2, L1), which adds a new dimension to this trip.
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Stuttgart against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Hellstern
F. Bredlow
DefenderL. Assignon
A. Al-Dakhil
L. Jaquez
M. Mittelstadt
B. Bouanani
Chema Andres
C. Fuhrich
T. Tomas
J. Costa
C. Ramos
DefenderF. Moura
M. Fernandes
D. Prpic
J. Kiwior
MidfielderG. Veiga
A. Varela
V. Froholdt
D. Gul
T. Andrade
Pepe
Missing players
D. Zagadou
J. Vagnoman
ForwardJ. Diehl
L. Jovanovic
Stuttgart & Porto Squad Analysis
Centre-back Jeff Chabot is available for Stuttgart after suspension, as they look to make their home advantage count. The Reds usually line up in the 4-2-3-1 system, which could continue unless they would want to make it two forwards and go 3-4-1-2.
Deniz Undav could be leading the line, as he aims to add to his tally of three goals in his last four competitive games. Keep an eye on Bilal El Khannouss, who sat out the weekend’s game due to the accumulation of yellow cards.
Bilal El Khannouss has five goals in the UEL campaign this year.
Porto have no fresh injuries, but the absence of striker Samu Aghehowa is a big loss. Luuk de Jong and Nehuen Perez are also set to miss out for the visitors. That may need the visitors to make up for the loss of Samu up front, who has scored three UEL goals in this season.
Oskar Pietuszewski has managed to hold his own recently, as the Porto forward scored two goals in his last three matches. The visiting fans will hope for action from Gabri Veiga, the Porto midfielder scoring two UEL goals this season.
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart
Porto
B. El Khannouss
(5 Goals)
W. Gomes
(4 Goals)
D. Undav
(5 Assists)
B. Sainz
(3 Assists)
Stuttgart - Porto Key Points
- Stuttgart averaged 1.9 goals per game in their ten UEL matches this season from the league phase onwards.
- Stuttgart scored 11 goals in their last five home UEL matches this season.
- Seven of Stuttgart’s last eight matches in all competitions produced over 2.5 total goals.
- In three of Porto’s last four UEL games, there have been three or more goals scored.
- Porto averaged 1.63 goals per game in their UEL campaign from the league phase.
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Our Stuttgart vs Porto Prediction
This is an interesting game between two teams that have different attacking philosophies. Stuttgart have enjoyed playing on the front foot, especially at home. They have netted at least three goals in four of their last seven home matches in all competitions. On the other end, Porto tend to stifle their opponents. The visitors have limited their opponents to at most one goal in five of their last six matches in all competitions.
Stuttgart will look to continue their scoring record, and that’s why our Stuttgart vs Porto prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Stuttgart vs Porto Alternative Predictions
Stuttgart wins
Stuttgart have won four of their last five home matches in all competitions. The lone defeat in that sequence came in the Europa League, but Stuttgart had four wins out of four at this venue before that loss to Celtic. A home win could be on the cards, especially with the stakes so high ahead of next week’s trip to Portugal.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Porto
| Stuttgart vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 2.19 | 2.03 | -7.3% |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.55 | -3.0% |
| Porto wins | 3.52 | 4.16 | +18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stuttgart is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.7% and is now 49.3% (3.6%)
Stuttgart vs Porto - FAQs
The Stuttgart vs Porto UEFA Europa League match is set to be shown on TNT Sports. In Germany, RTL and Sky are the official broadcasters, while Sport TV and DAZN are the broadcasters in Portugal.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Europa League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
