Stuttgart vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Stuttgart’s chances of staying in the Champions League qualification spots could be tested by a relegation-threatened Hamburg in this Bundesliga matchday 29 fixture on Sunday. This match in Stuttgart between the fourth-placed Swabians and the 12th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ comes with our prediction of Stuttgart winning and BTTS.
Stuttgart have 53 points (W16, D5, L7) and are level on points with third and three points above fifth. Hamburg have 31 points (W7, D10, L11) and are six points above the relegation zone.
The hosts lost 2-0 at home against Borussia Dortmund last weekend, a result that ended their six-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga (W4, D2). They are still in control of their top four charge but need to get back to winning ways.
It’s their home form that gives the Swabians an edge, as they have ten wins from their 14 league matches played at home this season, losing only two.
Hamburg drew 1-1 at home against Augsburg last weekend, which kept their win count to just one from their last seven league games (D3, L3). They are still not away from the relegation threat, although a six-point buffer is comforting.
The ‘Red Shorts’ lost 3-2 away at Borussia Dortmund last away matchday, but eight points in four league trips (W2, D2) prior to that defeat highlight their threat.
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Stuttgart v Hamburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.33 | 6.2 | 8 |
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1.33 | 5.6 | 8.2 |
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1.3 | 5.75 | 8.8 |
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1.33 | 5.75 | 8.5 |
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1.31 | 5.6 | 8.2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Hamburg match is: Stuttgart wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Stuttgart and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.64% for a win of Stuttgart against Hamburg with odds of 1.35 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Hamburg is 18.39% with odds of 6.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Stuttgart with odds of 9.15 at 888Starz.
Stuttgart - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stuttgart Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 48.64% | 1.35 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.28% | |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stuttgart | 16.97% | 4.5 at LSbet |
Stuttgart vs Hamburg Form
Stuttgart and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Stuttgart and Hamburg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Stuttgart vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
0 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Jun 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Jun 2023 - Bundesliga
28 May 2020 - 2. Bundesliga
26 Oct 2019 - 2. Bundesliga
Stuttgart against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
F. Bredlow
DefenderJ. Vagnoman
L. Jaquez
D. Zagadou
F. Jeltsch
MidfielderN. Nartey
B. El Khannouss
T. Tomas
J. Arevalo
H. Hermann
DefenderS. Nandja
G. Gocholeishvili
N. Katterbach
MidfielderN. Capaldo
Philipas Otele
D. Downs
O. Stange
R. Glatzel
Missing players
A. Karazor
F. Dickes
DefenderM. Muheim
MidfielderJ. Dompe
A. Sambi Lokonga
ForwardY. Poulsen
A. Rossing Lelesiit
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart - Hamburg Key Points
- Stuttgart won four of their last five home league games.
- Five of Stuttgart’s last eight Bundesliga matches saw both teams score goals.
- Seven of Hamburg’s last eight league games have seen both teams score goals.
- Ten of the last 11 competitive matches between Stuttgart and Hamburg saw both teams score goals.
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Our Stuttgart vs Hamburg Prediction
Hamburg have kept just six clean sheets in this Bundesliga campaign, which underlines their defensive struggles. That’s one of the reasons why they are still unable to move away from relegation concerns. Stuttgart, on the other hand, are well in control of their Champions League qualification. That said, they can’t afford to drop points and lose control of their top four chances. Stuttgart may have lost their recent home game but have four consecutive wins prior to that.
The history of this fixture suggests there should be goals, and our Stuttgart vs Hamburg prediction is Stuttgart wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Hamburg
| Stuttgart vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 1.52 | 1.35 | -11.2% |
| Draw | 4.93 | 6.2 | +25.8% |
| Hamburg wins | 6.4 | 9.15 | +43.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stuttgart is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.8% and is now 74.1% (8.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.