Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Stuttgart will aim to consolidate their Bundesliga top-four bid when they host mid-table side Freiburg in a matchday 20 fixture on Sunday. This match in Stuttgart between the fifth-placed ‘Reds’ and the seventh-placed ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ comes with our prediction of a home win and BTTS.
With 36 points from 19 matches (W11, D3, L5), Stuttgart started this round three points behind third but only ahead of fifth on goal difference. Freiburg have 27 points (W7, D6, L6) and are five points adrift of top-six teams.
A 3-2 home win over BSC Young Boys saw Stuttgart confirm their play-off spot in the Europa League. In the league, they are unbeaten in six games (W4, D2) after a 3-0 win away at Gladbach last weekend.
Their home form has tapered off in recent weeks with only one win from their last four league games here (D2, L1), but five wins in a row prior to that sequence is an indicator of their strengths.
Freiburg lost 1-0 away at Lille on Thursday in the Europa League, but they qualified directly for the round of 16. League form will be under focus, as the visitors have won 2-1 at home against Koln last weekend, making it three wins from their last five Bundesliga games. Away form is still a concern with three defeats across five league trips.
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Stuttgart v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.2 | 4.94 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.2 | 4.94 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Freiburg match is: Stuttgart wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Stuttgart and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.87% for a win of Stuttgart against Freiburg with odds of 1.7 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Freiburg is 24.58% with odds of 4.32 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Stuttgart with odds of 5.13 at 888Starz.
Stuttgart - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stuttgart Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 55.87% | 1.7 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.63 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stuttgart | 26.71% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Form
Stuttgart and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 |
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
Stuttgart and Freiburg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
Stuttgart against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Drljaca
DefenderA. Al-Dakhil
L. Assignon
L. Jaquez
M. Mittelstadt
B. Bouanani
Chema Andres
C. Fuhrich
E. Demirovic
F. Muller
DefenderB. Ogbus
A. Jung
C. Gunter
MidfielderN. Hofler
P. Osterhage
V. Grifo
C. Irie
L. Holer
Missing players
D. Zagadou
ForwardT. Tomas
L. Jovanovic
L. Kubler
P. Lienhart
MidfielderD. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart
Freiburg
D. Undav
(19 Goals)
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
J. Leweling
(8 Assists)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
,
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
Stuttgart - Freiburg Key Points
- Stuttgart won six of their last matches in all competitions.
- Stuttgart won ten of their last 13 matches at home in all competitions.
- Freiburg saw both teams score goals in four of their last five away league games.
- Freiburg lost three of their last five away league games.
- Three of the last four Bundesliga matches between these sides saw both teams score goals.
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Our Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction
Stuttgart got themselves in the top-four reckoning and started this round just three points behind third. While the upcoming DFB Pokal game could cast a shadow over their team selection, a chance to regain consistency at home is something they are unlikely to let go. Freiburg are unlikely to be a pushover, as they remain in the hunt for European qualification places. That said, the visitors have usually struggled on the road, although they were able to consistently score goals.
The hosts are likely to keep winning, and our Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction is Stuttgart wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Freiburg
| Stuttgart vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 1.75 | 1.7 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 4.32 | 4.32 | 0% |
| Freiburg wins | 4.73 | 5.13 | +8.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stuttgart is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 58.8% (1.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
