Austria - Austrian Bundesliga
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by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
A massive three points are on the line at Merkur Arena this weekend, when Sturm Graz play host to Wolfsberger in the Austrian Bundesliga. Die Schwoazn lead the league standings heading into the final day, while WAC are in third place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Sturm Graz are in pole position coming into the final game of the season, but need to take at least a point from this match to defend their title, with Austria Wien trailing them by three.
The Blackies have been doing it the hard way, though, having lost their last match 3-1 to Rapid Vienna last week, marking their third defeat in their last five matches since mid-April.
However, the hosts have been excellent at home this term, winning 11 of their 15 league matches at Merkur Arena to date, while only losing two of the remaining four games.
Meanwhile, this is a big game for Wolfsberger as well, as a victory over the title favourites will secure them a spot in the Europa League qualifiers ahead of Salzburg next season.
WAC were building up good momentum in recent weeks with an eight-match unbeaten run before losing 2-1 to Austria Vienna at home last weekend.
Still, they are unbeaten in their last four away league games (W2 D2 L0), and have only lost once in their last nine outings, which was against the Red Bulls ahead of the March international break.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Wolfsberger Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
2 | 3.2 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.12 | 3.84 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger match is: Sturm Graz draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2025 between Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger in Austrian Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.24% for a win of Sturm Graz against Wolfsberger with odds of 2.05 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger is 29.41% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolfsberger vs Sturm Graz with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger Form
Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger's standings in the Austrian Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
39 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 27 |
|
3
|
36 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 22 |
Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
21 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
1 May 2025 - ÖFB Cup
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
1 May 2025 - ÖFB Cup
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Apr 2025 - ÖFB Cup
16 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
40 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
3 Mar 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Jul 2022 - Austrian Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger
M. Biereth
(13 Goals)
, 
O. Kiteishvili
(13 Goals)
D. Zukic
(10 Goals)
M. Johnston
(6 Assists)
T. Ballo
(6 Assists)
,
D. Zukic
(6 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger Key Points
- Sturm Graz have won 19 of their 31 league matches this season.
- Sturm Graz have only lost two home league games this season.
- Sturm Graz have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home league matches.
- Sturm Graz have won two of their last three home games against this opponent.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger Prediction
After back-to-back bottom-half finishes in the last two seasons, Wolfsberger have been one of the most improved teams in the league this term and have a golden opportunity to secure a Europa League qualifier spot this weekend.
Sturm Graz are a tough side to beat at home and will be right up for this one, given that they are playing for the title. However, they have been some way below their best in recent weeks, so we will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger prediction is Sturm Graz draw no bet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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