Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Austrian Bundesliga
Austria - Austrian Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Salzburg will look to keep in touch with the Austrian Bundesliga leaders when they travel to top-six contenders Sturm Graz for a matchday 12 fixture on Sunday. This match at Merkur-Arena in Graz between the 4th-placed ‘Blacks’ and the 2nd-placed ‘Die Roten Bullen’ could prove to be a low-scoring encounter, with under 3.5 goals being our match prediction.
Sturm have 19 points this season (W5, D4, L2) and are seven points above seventh, secure in the championship round spots. Salzburg’s 27 points (W8, D3) keep them just three points behind leaders SK Rapid ahead of this round, while being five points above LASK.
A 3-2 home defeat to Celje on Thursday kept Sturm winless in four matches (D2, L2) in all competitions. That included back-to-back draws in the league, and they have lost just once in six matches (W3, D2). Their season has been underlined by an impressive performance at home, where they are unbeaten in five league games (W3, D2).
Salzburg lost 2-0 away at Anderlecht on Thursday in the Europa League, ending a three-game winning run. They remain unbeaten in the division this season and have four wins from their last four Bundesliga fixtures (D1), including three in a row. Yet, Salzburg haven’t dominated on the road, drawing three of their five league fixtures (W2) away from home this season.
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Sturm Graz v Salzburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.95 | 4.00 | 2.08 |
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2.93 | 3.86 | 2.13 |
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2.93 | 3.86 | 2.13 |
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2.96 | 3.92 | 2.10 |
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2.93 | 3.86 | 2.13 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Salzburg?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Salzburg match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2026 between Sturm Graz and Salzburg in Austrian Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.57% for a win of Sturm Graz against Salzburg with odds of 3.05 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Salzburg is 28.49% with odds of 4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Salzburg vs Sturm Graz with odds of 2.15 at Bet365.
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Form
Sturm Graz and Salzburg's standings in the Austrian Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +23 |
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 |
Sturm Graz and Salzburg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2026 - Europa League
1 Nov 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
29 Oct 2026 - ÖFB Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2026 - Europa League
25 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
13 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
29 Oct 2026 - ÖFB Cup
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
10 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - ÖFB Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2026 - Europa League
1 Nov 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
28 Oct 2026 - ÖFB Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
18 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2026 - Europa League
28 Oct 2026 - ÖFB Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
10 Oct 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Stejskal
E. Lorenz
DefenderP. Petrovic
A. Vallci
MidfielderM. Grgic
J. Halwachs
G. Mamageishvili
B. Beganovic
A. Kayombo
J. Hodl
ForwardJ. Peinhart
N. Sarcevic
C. Fruchtl
DefenderS. Lainer
A. Chase
MidfielderS. Diabate
J. Lindstrom
U. Tohumcu
ForwardA. Camara
D. Redzic
K. Konate
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
O. Diakite
(7 Goals)
H. Tabakovic
(7 Goals)
S. Seidl
(8 Assists)
S. Kitano
(4 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Salzburg Key Points
- Salzburg have conceded a league-low six goals this season.
- Ten of Salzburg’s last 15 league games have produced under 3.5 goals.
- Eight of Sturm’s last 11 league games have produced fewer than four goals.
- Sturm Graz have scored only 19 goals in their 11 league games this season.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Prediction
This is an intriguing match between two of the top three defensive sides in the division. Salzburg have the best record conceding just six, while Sturm have only conceded 13. The hosts have also struggled on the offensive front and have netted just 19 in this league campaign. Considering these stats, this fixture may also end up being a low scorer.
The last five league matches between these sides have finished with at most three goals, and that trend looks likely to continue this weekend. That’s why our Sturm Graz vs Salzburg prediction is under 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
