Sturm Graz vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions
It’s a chance for Rennes to make the most of their recent form when they begin their league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League campaign on matchday one against Sturm Graz. This match on Wednesday at the Merkur-Arena in Graz between the ‘Blacks’ and the ‘Red and Blacks’ could be an exciting encounter with over 2.5 goals, our prediction.
Sturm were beaten in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Champions League and dropped down to the Europa League. Rennes qualified directly for the league phase after finishing sixth in Ligue last season.
Sturm won 2-1 at home against LASK last weekend for a second consecutive victory. The ‘Blacks’ now have three wins from their last five games (D1, L1) but need to bounce back from the disappointment of failing to qualify for the Champions League.
The Austrians have been a tough team to play here, with three wins from their last five home matches (D1, L1).
Rennes won 1-0 at home against Marseille last Friday to continue their strong start to the season. The visitors are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season with three wins out of four (D1), the only exception being a draw against PSG which preceded their string of victories. They even won five of their last seven away games (L2), making them a strong player here.
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Sturm Graz v Rennes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.65 | 3.75 | 1.96 |
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3.79 | 3.94 | 1.95 |
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3.62 | 3.88 | 1.93 |
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3.64 | 3.78 | 1.94 |
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3.7 | 3.84 | 1.91 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Rennes?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Rennes match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Sturm Graz and Rennes in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.34% for a win of Sturm Graz against Rennes with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Rennes is 18.51% with odds of 3.94 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Sturm Graz with odds of 1.98 at Betsson.
Sturm Graz vs Rennes Form
Sturm Graz and Rennes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - ÖFB Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
15 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
15 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
21 Jul 2026 - Champions League
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - ÖFB Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
8 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Aug 2026 - Champions League
1 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
28 Jul 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
Sturm Graz vs Rennes last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Helac
DefenderP. Koller
L. Balbo
P. Petrovic
MidfielderL. Weinhandl
O. Kiteishvili
F. Rozga
B. Beganovic
ForwardO. Diakite
N. Lemaitre
DefenderA. Ait Boudlal
Q. Merlin
B. Reynolds
MidfielderS. Szymanski
ForwardE. Mayenda
B. Dia
M. Altamari
H. Do Marcolino
Sturm Graz - Rennes Key Points
- Nine of Rennes’ last ten UEFA matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- In ten of their last 11 competitive matches, Rennes have seen three or more goals scored.
- Sturm’s last three matches have seen at least three goals scored.
- Rennes have seen at least three goals scored in their last 11 away matches in all competitions.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Rennes Prediction
Rennes are back in Europe after a two-season absence and bring strong form into this fixture. They have three wins in as many matches coming here, which could also sway their way if they retain their scoring edge. Sturm came close to qualifying for the Champions League but will instead continue their Europa League journey and could bank on their home form.
The visitors are in cracking form this season, and their scoring record could drive goals here. That’s why our Sturm Graz vs Rennes prediction is over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.