Sturm Graz vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Sturm Graz
16/09/2026 15:00
Rennes

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions

It’s a chance for Rennes to make the most of their recent form when they begin their league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League campaign on matchday one against Sturm Graz. This match on Wednesday at the Merkur-Arena in Graz between the ‘Blacks’ and the ‘Red and Blacks’ could be an exciting encounter with over 2.5 goals, our prediction.

Sturm were beaten in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Champions League and dropped down to the Europa League. Rennes qualified directly for the league phase after finishing sixth in Ligue last season.

Sturm won 2-1 at home against LASK last weekend for a second consecutive victory. The ‘Blacks’ now have three wins from their last five games (D1, L1) but need to bounce back from the disappointment of failing to qualify for the Champions League.

The Austrians have been a tough team to play here, with three wins from their last five home matches (D1, L1).

Rennes won 1-0 at home against Marseille last Friday to continue their strong start to the season. The visitors are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season with three wins out of four (D1), the only exception being a draw against PSG which preceded their string of victories. They even won five of their last seven away games (L2), making them a strong player here.

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Sturm Graz v Rennes Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.65 3.75 1.96
1xbet
3.79 3.94 1.95
Melbet
3.62 3.88 1.93
Betwinner
3.64 3.78 1.94
22bet
3.7 3.84 1.91
Check all Sturm Graz vs Rennes odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Rennes?

Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Rennes match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Sturm Graz and Rennes in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.34% for a win of Sturm Graz against Rennes with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Rennes is 18.51% with odds of 3.94 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Sturm Graz with odds of 1.98 at Betsson.

Sturm Graz vs Rennes Form

Sturm Graz and Rennes Last Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Last matches
L W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
LASK Linz

5 Sept 2026 - ÖFB Cup

Voitsberg
1 :  4
Sturm Graz

30 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
3 :  1
Sturm Graz

22 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  1
Austria Lustenau

15 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
SCR Altach

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
LASK Linz

22 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  1
Austria Lustenau

15 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
SCR Altach

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin
W D L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - ÖFB Cup

Voitsberg
1 :  4
Sturm Graz

30 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
3 :  1
Sturm Graz

8 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

5 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
2 :  0
Sturm Graz

1 Aug 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Wattens
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

28 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
0 :  2
Sturm Graz
Rennes
Rennes Last matches
L L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  2
Rennes

30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  2
Le Mans FC

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  2
PSG

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
2 :  1
Rennes

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  4
Brentford
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  2
Le Mans FC

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  2
PSG

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  4
Brentford

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  1
Club Brugge

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
3 :  1
Guingamp
W L L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  2
Rennes

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
2 :  1
Rennes

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Galatasaray
3 :  3
Rennes

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  1
Rennes

3 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
4 :  2
Rennes

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  3
Rennes
Sturm Graz vs Rennes Prediction

Sturm Graz vs Rennes last Lineups

Sturm Graz

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

53
D. Khudyakov
23
A. Malic
5
A. Vallci
2
J. Quarshie
28
J. Heil
43
J. Hodl
19
S. Seidl
4
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
78
V. Matoshi
15
G. Mamageishvili
20
S. Jatta
90
I. Soumare
9
E. Lepaul
10
L. Blas
28
A. Thomasson
21
V. Rongier
45
M. Camara
18
M. Nagida
24
A. Rouault
4
C. Cresswell
95
P. Frankowski
30
B. Samba

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Rennes

Substitutes

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Goalkeeper

A. Helac

Defender

P. Koller

L. Balbo

P. Petrovic

Midfielder

L. Weinhandl

O. Kiteishvili

F. Rozga

B. Beganovic

Forward

O. Diakite

Rennes
Rennes
Goalkeeper

N. Lemaitre

Defender

A. Ait Boudlal

Q. Merlin

B. Reynolds

Midfielder

S. Szymanski

Forward

E. Mayenda

B. Dia

M. Altamari

H. Do Marcolino

Sturm Graz - Rennes Key Points

  1. Nine of Rennes’ last ten UEFA matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. In ten of their last 11 competitive matches, Rennes have seen three or more goals scored.
  3. Sturm’s last three matches have seen at least three goals scored.
  4. Rennes have seen at least three goals scored in their last 11 away matches in all competitions.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Rennes Prediction

Rennes are back in Europe after a two-season absence and bring strong form into this fixture. They have three wins in as many matches coming here, which could also sway their way if they retain their scoring edge. Sturm came close to qualifying for the Champions League but will instead continue their Europa League journey and could bank on their home form.

The visitors are in cracking form this season, and their scoring record could drive goals here. That’s why our Sturm Graz vs Rennes prediction is over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.