Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
With one foot already in the league phase of the 2025-26 Champions League, Bodo/ Glimt head to the Merkur Arena to finish off the job against Sturm Graz in their Playoff round second leg clash on Tuesday. Superlaget ran riot in Norway last week and have a massive 5-0 lead over Die Schwoazn heading into this deciding leg. Check out our match prediction below!
While this looks like a David vs. Goliath fixture on paper, in truth, this feels a little more as though David will need more than a sling to stop Goliath from entering the UCL main draw. Indeed, comebacks of this scale are the stuff of folklore - no team has ever overturned a deficit this large in the second leg of a Champions League qualifier!
Still, football cliches exist for a reason, and in this case, “it’s not over until it’s over” will be the one that this week’s hosts will rally behind. Can they pull off the unthinkable? To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Bodoe/Glimt Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.75 | 2.32 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Bodoe/Glimt?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt match is: Bodo/Glimt draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/08/2025 between Sturm Graz and Bodoe/Glimt in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.84% for a win of Sturm Graz against Bodoe/Glimt with odds of 3.28 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt is 21.63% with odds of 3.8 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Bodoe/Glimt vs Sturm Graz with odds of 2.45 at Bet365.
Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt Form
Sturm Graz and Bodoe/Glimt Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
10 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
25 Jul 2025 - ÖFB Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
1 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
25 Jul 2025 - ÖFB Cup
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
15 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
9 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
3 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
30 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
26 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
9 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
30 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
26 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
12 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
29 Jun 2025 - Eliteserien
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
3 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
19 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
16 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
5 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
1 Jun 2025 - Eliteserien
Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
Sturm Graz - Bodoe/Glimt: Form Analysis
It took just 25 minutes before the writing was on the wall for Sturm Graz last week in Norway. Indeed, they were 3-0 down by the half-hour mark and never looked likely to muster a comeback.
Overlooking Die Schwoazn’s Austrian Cup win against third division side Bischofshofen, they have made an underwhelming start to the 2025-26 season, losing two of their last four matches.
The hosts lost their first home game this season against Rapid Wien earlier this month and only won two of their six matches at Merkur Arena during the pre-season. Notably, they did win two home games by five clear goals last term.
Sturm Graz did not score more than two goals in a European home game last season!
Meanwhile, after bowing out in this round in their last two UCL qualification attempts, Bodo/ Glimt are now 90 minutes from securing their seat at the table among Europe’s elite for the first time.
Den Gule Horde have been rampant recently, having now scored five goals in their last two matches and a combined tally of 26 in their last seven games across all competitions.
Of those 26 goals mentioned above, Glimt have netted 12 in their last three away games alone. They are also unbeaten in their last six matches on the road and have kept clean sheets in half of those fixtures.
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Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Sturm Graz & Bodoe/Glimt Squad Analysis
Jurgen Samuel will be forced into a few changes this week, starting at right-back, where Scottish international Max Johnston is expected to depart the club for Derby County imminently.
Arjan Malic is the most likely to replace Johnston in the hosts’ backline, while Axel Kayombo (ankle), Alexandar Borkovic (knee) and Daniil Khudyakov (hand) are ruled out through injury.
Bodo/ Glimt had five separate players on the scoresheet last week!
Kasper Hogh opened the scoring in the first leg and is enjoying a purple patch in front of goal, having now netted five times in his last four games. He also has eight goal contributions in his last six.
Centre-back Haitan Aleesami sustained an injury in the first leg and is unlikely to feature here, and he will be joined on the sidelines this week by Ole Didrik Blomberg and Jostein Gundersen.
Isak Dybvik Maatta was hooked just before the interval at the Aspmyra Stadion, and it is unclear if he will be part of the squad.
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Bodoe/Glimt
O. Kiteishvili
(3 Goals)
W. Boving Vick
(2 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Bodoe/Glimt Key Points
- Sturm Graz have lost three of their last four matches across all competitions.
- Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Bodo/Glimt have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven games.
- Bodo/Glimt are on a four-match win streak in away matches.
- Bodo/Glimt have scored 12 goals in their last three away games.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt Prediction
Given the scoreline here, Sturm Graz cannot afford a slow start, even if that means throwing caution to the wind. After all, whether they lose by the current five goals or more - a loss is still a loss.
Bodo/Glimt have a massive lead to protect here, and while they can afford to concede a couple, they have been in stellar form lately and will want to keep the momentum going as we approach the League Phase. With favourable odds available, we’ll opt for the safety of our money back on the draw result. Our Sturm Graz vs Bodo/Glimt prediction is Bodo/Glimt draw no bet.
Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 & BTTS
Seven of Sturm Graz’s and Bodo/Glimt’s last eight matches across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals, and four of their games in that time saw both teams scoring.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sturm Graz vs. Bodoe/Glimt game!
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Sturm Graz vs Bodoe/Glimt match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Sturm Graz and Bodo/Glimt will take place on August 26 at 19:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Sturm Graz and Bodo/Glimt will be played at the Merkur Arena in Austria.
The Champions League match between Sturm Graz and Bodo/Glimt will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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