Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions
15th-placed Stoke hosts bottom-placed Sheffield Wednesday in this Championship Round 40 fixture on Friday. Can the Potters overcome the Owls to keep tabs on the race for a playoff spot? Let's get into our prediction for the game.
Stoke City are on a thin line between hope and disappointment in their race for a play-off finish. They have picked up just four points in their last five matches, including a 3–1 defeat to Preston last time out.
This poor recent run has left them 12 points adrift of the playoff places. Notably, most of their recent games have produced decent scorelines ranging between two and four total goals. Six of their last seven home matches have also witnessed a similar goal range.
Sheffield Wednesday have only their pride on the line coming into this clash as they stand relegated with seven games left. Henrik Pedersen's men are rock bottom of the standings with –6 points.
The Owls' last nine matches have produced between two and four total goals. 10 of their last 11 away matches have also produced between two and four total games. Hence, our tip for the prediction.
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Stoke v Sheffield Wednesday Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 8.4 |
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|
|
1.43 | 4.34 | 8 |
|
|
|
1.32 | 5.1 | 8.8 |
|
|
|
1.39 | 4.33 | 8 |
|
|
|
1.43 | 4.4 | 7.2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Sheffield Wednesday?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday match is: between two and four total goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2026 between Stoke and Sheffield Wednesday in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.52% for a win of Stoke against Sheffield Wednesday with odds of 1.45 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday is 17.47% with odds of 5.1 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke with odds of 10 at LSbet.
Stoke - Sheffield Wednesday Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Sheffield Wednesday Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 63.52% | 1.45 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.29% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Stoke/Stoke | 43.01% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday Form
Stoke and Sheffield Wednesday's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
|
24
|
0 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | -60 |
Stoke and Sheffield Wednesday Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
22 Feb 2026 - Championship
8 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
20 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2019 - Championship
Stoke against Sheffield Wednesday Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
T. Simkin
DefenderS. Agina
B. Gibson
B. Joon-ho
T. Rigo
B. Pearson
L. Baker
M. Smit
S. Gallagher
L. Stretch
DefenderT. Adaramola
C. McGhee
MidfielderO. Kobacki
N. Chalobah
D. Moses
J. Ndala
Z. Silcott-Duberry
W. Grainger
Missing players
V. Johansson
DefenderB. Wilmot
M. Talovierov
MidfielderA. Ampah
L. Cooper
G. Siqueira
E. Weaver
ForwardG. Brown
Most goals and assists
Stoke - Sheffield Wednesday Key Points
- Seven of Stoke City’s last eight matches have produced between two and four total goals.
- Between two and four total goals have been scored in six of Stoke City's last seven home matches.
- Sheffield Wednesday’s last nine matches have ended with between two and four total goals.
- 10 of Sheffield Wednesday’s last 11 away matches have ended with two and four total goals.
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Our Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction
This match pits two teams that have been struggling to keep clean sheets this season and we are likely to see goals on Friday. Notably, both sides have seen their recent matches produce mostly moderate scorelines.
Seven of Stoke City's last eight matches have produced between two and four total goals and Sheffield Wednesday's last nine matches have witnessed a similar goal benchmark. Our Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction is between two and four total goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Sheffield Wednesday
| Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 1.31 | 1.45 | +10.7% |
| Draw | 5.2 | 5.1 | -1.9% |
| Sheffield Wednesday wins | 9.2 | 10 | +8.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 69.0% (-7.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.