Stoke vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions
With relegation successfully averted for both Stoke and Portsmouth, their Matchday 44 clash in the Championship presents a tricky game for sports bettors. Stoke, who won the first meeting 1-0, are the favourites. However, The Potters are in much worse form than the visiting Pompey. Come see the best bet in our Stoke vs Portsmouth match prediction.
The Potters are closing out the season ungracefully as they enter the final two games off a four-game winless streak featuring three losses. The latest was the worst as Stoke just lost 3-1 to Millwall in their own backyard. But what’s also interesting is that the Millwall defeat marked just their first home loss since February, making a case for their better odds to win at home.
In contrast, the visitors are unbeaten in five of their last six games, with three wins in the last four games alone. However, that final game might be the most telling of Portsmouth's true form in recent times. They were just handed a 5-1 thrashing away to Coventry, conceding more goals than they did in the previous five games. But in all fairness, Coventry are the champions.
Pompey will particularly be fancying their chances given Stoke’s recent form and the fact that the early-season loss was due to a late own goal. See key stats below.
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Stoke v Portsmouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.28 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.28 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.3 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.25 | 2.58 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Portsmouth?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Portsmouth match is: Stoke or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Stoke and Portsmouth in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.98% for a win of Stoke against Portsmouth with odds of 2.72 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Portsmouth is 27.41% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Portsmouth vs Stoke with odds of 2.67 at Shangrila.
Stoke - Portsmouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Portsmouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 43.98% | 2.72 at Roobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.91 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Stoke/Stoke | 19.35% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Stoke vs Portsmouth Form
Stoke and Portsmouth's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
|
18
|
55 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 |
Stoke and Portsmouth Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
Stoke vs Portsmouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
Stoke against Portsmouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Fielding
DefenderB. Gibson
J. Tchamadeu
B. Jun-ho
J. Rak-Sakyi
S. Nzonzi
L. Baker
ForwardM. Smit
M. Manhoef
B. Killip
R. Poole
M. Alli
I. Bowat
E. Adams
J. Murphy
C. Chaplin
T. Waddingham
J. Brown
Missing players
V. Johansson
DefenderA. Cresswell
B. Wilmot
M. Talovierov
MidfielderT. Rigo
B. Lawal
A. Ampah
Z. Swanson
MidfielderK. Anderson
M. Kosznovszky
T. Devlin
ForwardF. Umeh Chibueze
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Portsmouth
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
A. Segecic
(10 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
Stoke - Portsmouth Key Points
- Stoke has lost just one of its last seven home league games.
- The last time Stoke hosted Portsmouth, The Potters won 6-1.
- Portsmouth are winless in five of its last six away games.
- Stoke (50) has scored more goals than Portsmouth (45) this season.
- Likewise, Stoke (51) has conceded far fewer goals than Portsmouth (62).
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Our Stoke vs Portsmouth Prediction
Stoke may be on poorer form, but the venue of this Saturday's clash makes a strong case for The Potters. While they’ve lost three of their last four games, they’ve lost just one of their last seven at home. And that’s relevant because Stoke hasn’t lost a game to Portsmouth at home in all competitions over their four meetings since 2009.
It’s true that Pompey have been impressive, but they’ve still also presented a slightly weaker offence and much weaker defence than Stoke. Hence, our Stoke vs Portsmouth prediction is Stoke or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Portsmouth
| Stoke vs Portsmouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.74 | 2.72 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.5 | +12.9% |
| Portsmouth wins | 2.64 | 2.67 | +1.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.5% and is now 36.8% (0.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Stoke vs. Portsmouth game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Stoke and Portsmouth when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
