Stoke vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ian John | in Championship Predictions
Stoke City host Oxford United in an important Championship match for both sides. Mark Robins Potters have struggled for wins of late, while Matt Bloomfield's U's have struggled near the foot of the table all season. Our prediction for this match will need to consider many factors, so let us begin by seeing where both teams stand in the current table.
Hosts Stoke City currently lie 16th in the table on 44 points from 33 game. They are eleven points clear of the drop zone but only seven outside the playoff places. In contrast, struggling Oxford United come into this game in 23rd position in the table abd they are five points from safety having taken 29 points from their 33 games.
Neither side has particularly good recent form. Stoke have not won in seven league games. Recent results include a 2-0 home defeat to Southampton, a 0-0 draw on the road at West Brom, a 1-0 defeat at Charlton Athletic and most recently, a 2-2 home draw with Leicester City on Saturday.
Oxford United have gone five games without a win, losing 2-0 at home to Birmingham City and then 3-1 at Sheffield United to start that run. They did earn a good point in a 0-0 draw away to Coventry City, but were then beaten 3-0 at home by Norwich before earning another 0-0 draw away to Middlesbrough at the weekend.
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Stoke v Oxford United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.88 | 3.4 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.35 | 4.28 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.34 | 4.28 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.4 | 4.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Oxford United?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Oxford United match is: A draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/02/2026 between Stoke and Oxford United in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.62% for a win of Stoke against Oxford United with odds of 1.9 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Oxford United is 37.23% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Stoke with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
Stoke - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Oxford United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.23% | 3.55 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.29% | 2.17 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.37% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Stoke vs Oxford United Form
Stoke and Oxford United's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
|
22
|
47 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -14 |
Stoke and Oxford United Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
Stoke vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2024 - Championship
Stoke against Oxford United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Fielding
DefenderP. Otegbayo
S. Agina
B. Gibson
MidfielderT. Seko
B. Joon-ho
G. Kelly
B. Pearson
ForwardM. Smit
M. Ingram
DefenderR. Roosken
M. Helik
H. Ter Avest
MidfielderY. Konak
O. Romeny
A. Emakhu
N. Prelec
M. Harris
Missing players
V. Johansson
B. De Keersmaecker
T. Goodhram
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Oxford United
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
W. Lankshear
(11 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
M. Helik
(4 Assists)
,
S. Mills
(4 Assists)
Stoke - Oxford United Key Points
- Stoke have drawn four of their last seven Championship matches.
- Oxford United have drawn four of their last eight games.
- Stoke have not won a home league game since December 13th (D3, L3).
- Three of the last six games between the two teams have finished as a draw.
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Our Stoke vs Oxford United Prediction
Our prediction for the Stoke City vs. Oxford United Championship match is: A draw.
Neither of these teams data provides us with any confidence that they can win this game. Stoke's poor recent form has seen them drop out of the playoffs and right down the table. Oxford have struggled for wins all season and their recent form is equally unimpressive. However, one theme is that both teams have drawn a significant number of matches of late and as such, that makes backing the draw here a value option.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Oxford United
| Stoke vs Oxford United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 1.85 | 1.9 | +2.7% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.55 | +1.4% |
| Oxford United wins | 4.4 | 4.5 | +2.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 28.2% (-0.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
