Stoke vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions
We head to the Bet365 Stadium on Tuesday night, when Stoke City will be playing host to Millwall in the Championship. The Potters are 17th in the league standings, while the Lions are in third place after 43 games. Let's get into the match prediction.
Stoke City have endured another disappointing campaign and look set to end the season in the bottom half, having taken only 55 points from their 43 league matches to date.
The Potters suffered a 2-0 defeat to playoff-chasing Wrexham over the weekend and have now won just one of their last five league games - a 2-0 victory over relegated Sheffield Wednesday.
However, the hosts have been in good form at home of late, now unbeaten in their last six matches (W3 D3). Thirty-three of their 55 points this season have come at the Bet365 Stadium.
Meanwhile, with 76 points in 43 games, Millwall are guaranteed a spot in the Playoffs, but they are still in the thick of a four-way battle for second place and automatic promotion to the top flight.
The Lions defeated Queens Park Rangers 2-0 on Saturday, marking their second clean sheet in the league in succession. They have conceded 51 goals this term - the fifth-fewest in the division.
The visitors have avoided defeat in their last seven away league games (W5 D2) and scored two or more goals in each of the five wins during this period.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stoke v Millwall Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.96 | 3.82 | 1.81 |
|
|
3.71 | 3.72 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.9 | 1.76 |
|
|
4 | 3.85 | 1.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Millwall match is: Millwall draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/04/2026 between Stoke and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.6% for a win of Stoke against Millwall with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Millwall is 34.27% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Stoke with odds of 1.95 at LSbet.
Stoke - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 42.13% | 1.95 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.86% | 1.82 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 65% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall | 16.29% | 5.5 at LSbet |
Stoke vs Millwall Form
Stoke and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
83 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Stoke and Millwall Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
10 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
Stoke vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
40 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
30 Jul 2022 - Championship
11 Jan 2020 - Championship
Stoke against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. Simkin
MidfielderG. Kelly
B. Pearson
J. Rak-Sakyi
B. Joon-ho
ForwardM. Cisse
M. Smit
D. Mubama
S. Gallagher
M. Crocombe
DefenderD. McNamara
B. Bannan
L. Cundle
R. Leonard
ForwardZ. Lovelace
M. Langstaff
M. Ivanovic
T. Watson
Missing players
V. Johansson
DefenderA. Cresswell
B. Wilmot
M. Talovierov
MidfielderB. Lawal
A. Ampah
L. Jensen
DefenderJ. Bryan
MidfielderM. Luongo
B. Baker
D. Kelly
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Millwall
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
F. Azeez
(11 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
F. Azeez
(8 Assists)
Stoke - Millwall Key Points
- Stoke have only won one of their last five league games.
- Stoke are winless in their last seven matches against this opponent.
- Millwall have only lost one of their last five league games.
- Millwall are unbeaten in their last seven away league games
- Millwall have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven away league games.
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Our Stoke vs Millwall Prediction
Stoke City have struggled for consistency all season, and with three games to go, they are now playing the rest of the campaign as formality, safe from relegation but out of the Playoff picture.
In contrast, Millwall have everything to play for in their last three games of the season, as they are still in with an excellent opportunity to finish second, failing which, they will still have a shot of promotion via the Playoffs. Our Stoke vs Millwall prediction is Millwall draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Millwall
| Stoke vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 3.1 | 4.1 | +32.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 4 | +21.2% |
| Millwall wins | 2.15 | 1.95 | -9.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 51.3% (4.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
