Stoke vs Leicester Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Stoke City welcomes troubled Leicester City in their next Championship assignment, both targeting three crucial points. With 14 matches to go, Leicester are in the bottom three while Stoke are 14th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Stoke have lost crucial ground in the push for at least a promotion playoff place. Not all is lost, though, if they can navigate around their ballooning injury list.
The Potters are on 43 points, just five below the top six, and will be looking to cover some ground in a very congested race.
The past few weeks haven't been great, with Stoke failing to win any of their last seven games. That run culminated in elimination from the FA Cup in a 2-1 loss to Fulham.
Leicester posted a thumping win the last time they visited Stoke City. The Foxes recorded a 5-0 win on their way to getting promoted. They are back in the Championship and in poor form but still beat Stoke in the reverse fixture.
The game, back in November, ended 2-1 as they registered a fourth straight win against Stoke. They aren’t in the shape to replicate the performance, having failed to win any of their last seven outings.
Leicester, recently docked six points, have lost five of those seven matches. They are coming off elimination from the FA Cup as well, at the hands of Southampton.
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Stoke v Leicester Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.48 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.24 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.28 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Leicester match is: draw & under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Stoke and Leicester in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.24% for a win of Stoke against Leicester with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Leicester is 21.34% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Stoke with odds of 3 at LSbet.
Stoke - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester wins | 40.42% | 3 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% | 2.05 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leicester | 15.07% | 7 at LSbet |
Stoke vs Leicester Form
Stoke and Leicester's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
|
23
|
46 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | -10 |
Stoke and Leicester Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
5 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
Stoke vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
3 Feb 2024 - Championship
7 Oct 2023 - Championship
9 Jan 2021 - FA Cup
24 Feb 2018 - Premier League
4 Nov 2017 - Premier League
Stoke against Leicester Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Fielding
DefenderM. Talovierov
B. Gibson
P. Otegbayo
MidfielderJ. Rak-Sakyi
G. Kelly
S. Nzonzi
J. Osei
M. Manhoef
J. Stolarczyk
DefenderL. Thomas
O. Aluko
K. Gray
MidfielderW. Marcal Madivadua
J. Aribo
L. Page
ForwardS. Thomas
D. Richards
Missing players
V. Johansson
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Leicester
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
J. James
(11 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
I. Fatawu
(7 Assists)
Stoke - Leicester Key Points
- Stoke City have failed to win in seven of their last 10 home games.
- Leicester have scored an average of 1.3 goals in their last 10 outings.
- Leicester City are winless in their last six Championship away matches.
- At home in the last 10 matches, Stoke City scored on average 1.0 goals.
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Our Stoke vs Leicester Prediction
Though Leicester City seem to be in deeper trouble ahead of this game, both sides are struggling. Hosts Stoke have failed to win any of their last five Championship matches at home and are winless in seven of their overall 10 home games. They are winless in seven matches ahead of this and scored just three in that period.
Leicester aren’t doing well either. The Foxes carry into this game a seven-match winless stretch, having lost five. They don’t have a great run-in attack, and our prediction for Stoke City v Leicester City is a draw & under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Leicester
| Stoke vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.39 | 2.55 | +6.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.35 | -1.5% |
| Leicester wins | 3.05 | 3 | -1.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leicester is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.8% and is now 33.3% (0.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
