Stoke vs Fulham Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

England - FA Cup

Stoke
15/02/2026 09:00
Fulham

Prediction :

 

Fulham wins

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in FA Cup Predictions

Stoke City and Fulham are set to renew acquaintances for the first time since January 2022. This time, both sides are set to clash at Bet365 Stadium in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Here's our match prediction. 

Stoke City are enduring a rough patch and hopes this won't stand in the way of a positive result in this upcoming encounter. The home team are winless in six matches.

Last time out, they made the trip to the Valley to lock horns with Charlton in the EFL Championship. The final result was a narrow 1-0 away defeat.

Despite their struggles, the Potters can still draw confidence from certain aspects of their FA Cup performances. Their recent match in this competition was a surprise 1-0 home victory over Coventry in the third round.

It has been a turbulent run so far for Fulham, who come into this match riding a three-match losing streak. Defensive shortcomings have been their undoing as they conceded eight goals during this period. 

Their most recent loss was a 3-0 away defeat against Manchester City. They could have bagged a consolation goal, but that proved sufficient due to their lack of creativity in the final third. 

The Cottagers turn to the FA Cup in search of redemption. They began their campaign in the third round and had no trouble seeing off the threat of Middlesbrough, winning 3-1 at home.

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Stoke v Fulham Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.9 3.85 1.68
Melbet
5.05 3.96 1.66
Betwinner
5.07 3.88 1.64
Bet365
4.75 3.9 1.62
Roobet
5 3.85 1.66
Check all Stoke vs Fulham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Fulham?

Our prediction for the Stoke vs Fulham match is: Fulham wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Stoke and Fulham in FA Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.5% for a win of Stoke against Fulham with odds of 5.1 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Fulham is 23.3% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 46.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Fulham vs Stoke with odds of 1.7 at Tonybet.

Stoke - Fulham Prediction and Best Odds:

Stoke Fulham Prediction Probability Odds
Fulham wins 46.2% 1.7 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 51.68% 1.84 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fulham 21.45% 4.5 at Bet365

Stoke vs Fulham Form

Stoke and Fulham Last Matches

Stoke
Stoke Last matches
D L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Stoke

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Stoke

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Stoke

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
QPR
D L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
QPR

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Stoke
1 :  0
Coventry City

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Sheffield United

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End
L W W D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Stoke

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Stoke

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Stoke

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Stoke

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke
Fulham
Fulham Last matches
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Fulham

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton

1 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Fulham

24 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Brighton

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Fulham

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Middlesbrough
W D W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton

24 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Brighton

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

7 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Chelsea

4 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  2
Liverpool

22 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest
L W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Fulham

1 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Fulham

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Fulham

1 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Fulham

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  1
Fulham

17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  1
Fulham

Stoke vs Fulham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stoke

0 %

Draw

0 %

Fulham

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

22 Jan 2022 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  3
Fulham

Stoke against Fulham Lineups: Starting 11

Stoke

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
T. Simkin
16
B. Wilmot
26
A. Phillips
40
M. Talovierov
17
E. Bocat
12
T. Seko
19
T. Rigo
49
M. Smit
10
B. Jun-Ho
7
S. Thomas
29
M. Cisse
9
R. Muniz
22
Kevin
24
J. King
14
O. Bobb
17
A. Iwobi
6
H. Reed
33
A. Robinson
15
J. Cuenca
31
I. Diop
21
T. Castagne
23
B. Lecomte

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Fulham

Substitutes

Stoke
Stoke
Goalkeeper

F. Fielding

Defender

P. Otegbayo

B. Gibson

A. Cresswell

E. Bocat 89'

Midfielder

J. Rak-Sakyi

M. Smit 78'

R. Curley

S. Nzonzi

T. Seko 89'

B. Pearson

T. Rigo 78'

Forward

M. Manhoef

B. Jun-Ho 89'

Fulham
Fulham
Goalkeeper

B. Leno

Defender

J. Andersen

C. Bassey

K. Tete

Midfielder

S. Berge

H. Reed 90'

E. Smith Rowe

J. King 77'

R. Sessegnon

Forward

H. Wilson

O. Bobb 86'

R. Jimenez

R. Muniz 77'

Missing players

Stoke
Stoke
Fulham
Fulham
Midfielder

T. Cairney

S. Chukwueze

Stoke - Fulham Key Points

  1. Stoke City have lost their last two home games.
  2. Fulham won the last matchup between these two sides 3-2 on the road.
  3. Stoke City have lost their last three games against Fulham.
  4. Fulham won 3-0 against Stoke City in their last FA Cup meeting in 2007.
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Our Stoke vs Fulham Prediction

Neither side is enjoying a good run of results heading into this clash. However, Stoke City, who've lacked the cutting edge in the final third in their recent games, could find themselves on the receiving end of an unfavorable outcome. 

Fulham should be able to get the job done and secure an important win on the road. It's worth noting that they've won three consecutive matches against this opponent and also triumphed 3-0 in their last FA Cup meeting in 2007. Our Stoke City vs Fulham prediction: Fulham wins.

Prediction :

 

Fulham wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Fulham

Stoke vs Fulham Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Stoke wins 4.55 5.1 +12.1%
Draw 3.65 4.1 +12.3%
Fulham wins 1.8 1.7 -5.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fulham is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 58.8% (3.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stoke vs Fulham Prediction