Stevenage vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
There's a midweek. game on Tuesday evening in League One as Stevenage host Bolton Wanderers. Both Boro and the Trotters have ambitions to at least make the playoffs this season, but both teams have hit a poor run of recent form. What will our match prediction be for this key clash?
Despite both teams hitting a rough patch in form, their league positions are not too concerning. Stevenage lie in eighth place, outside the playoffs by just two points, but with at least two games in hand on most of the teams above them. They have played 24 games, taking 37 points.
Bolton, in contrast, lies fifth, having played 26 games and taken 42 points. They are seven points off Lincoln in the last automatic promotion slot.
Stevenage's recent problems have left them with only a point from a 1-1 home draw with Plymouth on New Year's Day. They then followed that with two league defeats: a 2-1 loss away to Luton Town, and, at the weekend, a weak 3-0 defeat away to Exeter City.
Bolton's form was not much better, starting with a 0-0 league draw at home to Northampton. They then lost 3-1 away to Peterborough United in the league. A 1-0 defeat at home to Port Vale followed in the Football League Trophy. However, they did earn a 1-0 win away to Wigan at the weekend.
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Stevenage v Bolton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 | 3.3 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.64 | 3.34 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.58 | 3.3 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.3 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.2 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stevenage and Bolton?
Our prediction for the Stevenage vs Bolton match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/01/2026 between Stevenage and Bolton in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.69% for a win of Stevenage against Bolton with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stevenage vs Bolton is 34.01% with odds of 3.34 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolton vs Stevenage with odds of 2.12 at Shangrila.
Stevenage - Bolton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stevenage Bolton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 42.3% | 2.12 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 56.67% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolton | 24.93% | 5 at Bet365 |
Stevenage vs Bolton Form
Stevenage and Bolton's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
75 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | +18 |
|
6
|
75 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | +3 |
Stevenage and Bolton Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - League One
10 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
22 Nov 2025 - League One
1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - League One
10 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
29 Nov 2025 - League One
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - League One
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
10 Jan 2026 - League One
4 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
4 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - League One
10 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
Stevenage vs Bolton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2025 - League One
29 Oct 2024 - League One
29 Mar 2024 - League One
Players list
F. Marshall
DefenderL. Freestone
C. Piergianni
C. Goode
MidfielderH. White
D. Phillips
J. Pattenden
L. Thompson
J. Roberts
ForwardB. Lubala
J. Reid
J. Bonham
DefenderG. Johnston
M. Burstow
C. Forino
E. Toal
J. Osei-Tutu
MidfielderX. Simons
M. Conway
J. Sheehan
ForwardA. Cozier-Duberry
S. Dalby
Substitutes
T. Ashby-Hammond
DefenderC. Campbell
D. Kemp
D. Sweeney
R. Doherty
ForwardH. Cornick
P. Patterson
D. Harrington
DefenderC. Christie
MidfielderE. Erhahon
K. Dempsey
A. Morley
ForwardT. Gale
J. McAtee
Most goals and assists
Stevenage
Bolton
J. Reid
(14 Goals)
M. Burstow
(12 Goals)
Stevenage - Bolton Key Points
- 74% of league games involving either Stevenage or Bolton this season have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Stevenage have scored four and conceded five in their last five home games.
- Nine of Bolton's 13 away league games have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Stevenage have conceded just six goals at home in the league this season.
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Our Stevenage vs Bolton Prediction
Our prediction for the Stevenage vs. Bolton Wanderers League One match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Neither of these teams is in great form heading into this match, with Stevenage on a run of one win in ten and Bolton winning just one of their last five. However, a closer look at the data reveals a Stevenage team that scores few at home and concedes even fewer. Bolton too don't score or concede many on the road. As such, backing under 2.5 goals here is the choice to make.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stevenage Bolton
| Stevenage vs Bolton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage wins | 3.4 | 3.8 | +11.8% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.34 | +4.4% |
| Bolton wins | 2.15 | 2.12 | -1.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bolton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 47.2% (0.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
