Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish League Cup

Scotland - Scottish League Cup

Stenhousemuir
19/07/2025 10:00
Motherwell

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Stenhousemuir are set to host Motherwell at Ochilview Park in the third round of the Scottish League Cup. Stenhousemuir are dead last in Group G, while Motherwell are second. This will be the first-ever meeting between these two teams in this tournament. Here's our match prediction.

Stenhousemuir finished in fourth place in the 2024-25 Scottish League One season. This was a perfect finish for a side that had recently been promoted for the first time after a six-year absence.

Stenny now have their sights set on the Scottish League Cup. They have not lifted the trophy in this tournament and will hope to do so in the current edition.

However, their first match has already raised concerns about achieving such a feat. Pitted against Morton, they convincingly lost 3-0 away from home. This currently sees them at the bottom of the table in Group G.

Motherwell finished in eighth place in the 2024-25 Scottish Premiership within the relegation rounds. With the new campaign set to begin in August, they will want to improve on that finish under the guidance of Jens Berthel Askou.

Regarding their performance in the Scottish League Cup, the Well have yet to suffer defeat. So far, they played two games, the first match against Clyde and secured a win via penalties, winning 5-4. In the second round, they beat Peterhead 2-1 at home.

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Stenhousemuir v Motherwell Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
9.2 4.9 1.3
1xbet
8.9 4.45 1.34
Melbet
8.9 4.45 1.34
Betwinner
8.77 5.42 1.3
Bet365
8.5 5.5 1.25
Check all Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Stenhousemuir and Motherwell?

Our prediction for the Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/07/2025 between Stenhousemuir and Motherwell in Scottish League Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.68% for a win of Stenhousemuir against Motherwell with odds of 9.2 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell is 26.74% with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Motherwell vs Stenhousemuir with odds of 1.38 at BC Game.

Stenhousemuir - Motherwell Prediction and Best Odds:

Stenhousemuir Motherwell Prediction Probability Odds
Motherwell wins 48.59% 1.38 at BC Game
Over 2.5 goals 63.1% 1.97 at Stake
Both Team To Score 61.9%
Half-time : Stenhousemuir / Full-time : Motherwell 17.48% 21 at Bet365

Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell Form

Stenhousemuir and Motherwell's standings in the Scottish League Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Motherwell
11 4 3 1 0 +6
4 Stenhousemuir
4 4 1 1 2 -4

Stenhousemuir and Motherwell Last Matches

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir Last matches
D L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Greenock Morton
3 :  0
Stenhousemuir

10 May 2025 - Scottish Championship

Airdrieonians FC
2 :  1
Stenhousemuir

6 May 2025 - Scottish Championship

Stenhousemuir
1 :  3
Airdrieonians FC

3 May 2025 - Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir
2 :  1
Dumbarton

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Queen of The South
2 :  0
Stenhousemuir

19 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir
1 :  1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
D L L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 May 2025 - Scottish Championship

Stenhousemuir
1 :  3
Airdrieonians FC

3 May 2025 - Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir
2 :  1
Dumbarton

19 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir
1 :  1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

5 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir
1 :  4
Alloa Athletic

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir
2 :  3
Montrose

15 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir
0 :  0
Kelty Hearts
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Greenock Morton
3 :  0
Stenhousemuir

10 May 2025 - Scottish Championship

Airdrieonians FC
2 :  1
Stenhousemuir

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Queen of The South
2 :  0
Stenhousemuir

12 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
4 :  0
Stenhousemuir

22 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Cove Rangers
0 :  0
Stenhousemuir

11 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
4 :  1
Stenhousemuir
Motherwell
Motherwell Last matches
W D L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Motherwell
2 :  1
Peterhead

12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Clyde
2 :  2
Motherwell

8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Motherwell
1 :  0
Carlisle United

1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Twente
3 :  0
Motherwell

18 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Ross County
1 :  1
Motherwell

14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
3 :  0
Kilmarnock
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Motherwell
2 :  1
Peterhead

8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Motherwell
1 :  0
Carlisle United

14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
3 :  0
Kilmarnock

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
3 :  2
St Johnstone

12 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
0 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

15 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  2
St Mirren
L W L D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Clyde
2 :  2
Motherwell

1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Twente
3 :  0
Motherwell

18 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Ross County
1 :  1
Motherwell

10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Motherwell

3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
1 :  2
Motherwell

5 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  0
Motherwell

Players list

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Goalkeeper

D. Jamieson

Defender

R. Meechan

G. Buchanan

L. Grant

K. Ewen

K. Bilham

Midfielder

S. McGill

M. Anderson

R. Taylor

O. Whyte

Forward

M. Aitken

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

M. Connelly

Defender

S. Welsh

L. Gordon

E. Longelo

Midfielder

C. Slattery

E. Watt

R. Charles-Cook

E. Just

T. Sparrow

L. Fadinger

Forward

T. Maswanhise

Substitutes

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Goalkeeper

C. Lyle

Defender

N. Jamieson

A. Graham

O. Simpson

Midfielder

F. Robson

E. O'Reilly

E. Cameron

F. Gray

Forward

D. Carrick

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

A. Oxborough

Defender

S. O'Donnell

J. Koutroumbis

Midfielder

O. Priestman

Forward

L. Ross

S. Nicholson

C. Hendry

I. Said

Z. Robinson

Stenhousemuir - Motherwell Key Points

  1. Stenhousemuir have seen each of their last four matches across all competitions end with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Motherwell have seen each of their last two matches in the Scottish League Cup end with over 2.5 goals.
  3. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of Stenhousemuir's last two home games across all competitions.
  4. Stenhousemuir concedes 2.3 goals per game when playing at home.
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Our Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell Prediction

Stenhousemuir have never faced Motherwell in the Scottish League Cup or in any competition for that matter. Their opening match against Morton wasn't convincing, indicating they will suffer a second straight defeat in this upcoming clash. Home form has not been convincing with just one win in their last six games.

Motherwell can take advantage of that poor display and use it to secure a comfortable win. Considering that their opponents also concede a lot when playing at home will also be music to their ears. Our Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell prediction is for over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stenhousemuir Motherwell

Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Stenhousemuir wins 7.2 9.2 +27.8%
Draw 4.4 5.5 +25.0%
Motherwell wins 1.4 1.38 -1.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Motherwell is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 72.5% (1.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell Prediction