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Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
06/12/2025 08:00
Cardiff Rugby

Prediction :

 

Stade Francais Paris -12.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Stade Francais Paris host Cardiff Rugby in their 2025-26 Challenge Cup opener on Saturday at Stade Jean-Bouin. The one-time champions will look to kick off their European campaign on a winning note. Let's take you through our prediction. 

Stade Francais Paris' European campaign last season ended in the group stage after a poor 1-0-3 record in Champions Cup Group 3. The Paris-based outfit is also managing a not-so-stellar run in their domestic league campaign this term. 

They sit fourth in the league standings with 31 points from six wins and five defeats, and have alternated between victories and defeats in their last six games. This includes a 36-32 loss to Clermont last weekend. However, they stand a good chance of bouncing back on Saturday, having won all five of their home matches this season. 

Cardiff Rugby's journey in Europe last season ended in the Challenge Cup round-16 following a 35-20 defeat to Connacht. They head into this match in strong form, having won their last four domestic league fixtures, including a 29-14 victory over Zebre in their last match. 

Nevertheless, the Blue and Blacks are in for a tough test on Saturday. In addition to their vacant dugout, they have endured a five-match losing streak in their last European away games, four of which by double digits. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Francais Paris v Cardiff Rugby Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.2 34 4.5
Ladbrokes
1.17 34 5
Unibet
1.22 23 4.2
NetBet
1.09 26 4.8
Melbet
1.14 26 5.5
Check all Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby odds

Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby Form

Stade Francais Paris and Cardiff Rugby Last Matches

Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
36 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
35 :  12
Montpellier Herault Rugby

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
29 :  24
Stade Francais Paris

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
26 :  24
Stade Rochelais
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
35 :  12
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
26 :  24
Stade Rochelais

27 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
28 :  7
Union Bordeaux Begles

6 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
47 :  24
US Montalbanaise

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
21 :  10
Castres Olympique
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
36 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
29 :  24
Stade Francais Paris

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
11 :  28
Stade Francais Paris

20 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
42 :  37
Stade Francais Paris

13 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
34 :  10
Stade Francais Paris
Cardiff Rugby
Cardiff Rugby Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
14 :  29
Cardiff Rugby

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
20 :  19
Edinburgh Rugby

17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
17 :  24
Cardiff Rugby

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
14 :  8
Connacht Rugby

4 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
23 :  20
Cardiff Rugby

27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
33 :  20
Lions
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
20 :  19
Edinburgh Rugby

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
14 :  8
Connacht Rugby

27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
33 :  20
Lions

25 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
26 :  21
Munster

21 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
20 :  17
Lions

25 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
22 :  42
Hollywoodbets Sharks
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
14 :  29
Cardiff Rugby

17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
17 :  24
Cardiff Rugby

4 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
23 :  20
Cardiff Rugby

16 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Stormers
34 :  24
Cardiff Rugby

10 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Bulls
45 :  21
Cardiff Rugby

19 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
19 :  36
Cardiff Rugby

Stade Francais Paris - Cardiff Rugby Key Points

  1. Stade Francais Paris have won their last seven matches dating back to last season.
  2. Stade Francais have won all five of their home matches this season, four of which by wide margins.
  3. Cardiff Rugby have lost eight of their last 11 away games.
  4. Cardiff Rugby have lost their last five European away games.
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Our Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction

Despite their mixed fortunes lately, Stade Francais Paris remain strong favorites to ace Saturday's clash. Paul Gustard's men have turned Stade Jean-Bouin into a fortress, winning their last seven matches since last season. They will look to leverage this impressive run against the visiting Cardiff Rugby. 

For Cardiff Rugby, this will be another difficult game with their poor record in recent European road games. Hence, our Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby prediction is Stade Francais Paris -12.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

Stade Francais Paris -12.5 handicap points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction

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