Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Stade Francais Paris host Cardiff Rugby in their 2025-26 Challenge Cup opener on Saturday at Stade Jean-Bouin. The one-time champions will look to kick off their European campaign on a winning note. Let's take you through our prediction.
Stade Francais Paris' European campaign last season ended in the group stage after a poor 1-0-3 record in Champions Cup Group 3. The Paris-based outfit is also managing a not-so-stellar run in their domestic league campaign this term.
They sit fourth in the league standings with 31 points from six wins and five defeats, and have alternated between victories and defeats in their last six games. This includes a 36-32 loss to Clermont last weekend. However, they stand a good chance of bouncing back on Saturday, having won all five of their home matches this season.
Cardiff Rugby's journey in Europe last season ended in the Challenge Cup round-16 following a 35-20 defeat to Connacht. They head into this match in strong form, having won their last four domestic league fixtures, including a 29-14 victory over Zebre in their last match.
Nevertheless, the Blue and Blacks are in for a tough test on Saturday. In addition to their vacant dugout, they have endured a five-match losing streak in their last European away games, four of which by double digits.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Francais Paris v Cardiff Rugby Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.2 | 34 | 4.5 |
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1.17 | 34 | 5 |
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1.22 | 23 | 4.2 |
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1.09 | 26 | 4.8 |
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1.14 | 26 | 5.5 |
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Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby Form
Stade Francais Paris and Cardiff Rugby Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
23 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
11 Oct 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
23 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
11 Oct 2025 - Top 14
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
6 Sept 2025 - Top 14
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
4 Oct 2025 - Top 14
20 Sept 2025 - Top 14
13 Sept 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
25 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
21 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
25 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
16 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
19 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
Stade Francais Paris - Cardiff Rugby Key Points
- Stade Francais Paris have won their last seven matches dating back to last season.
- Stade Francais have won all five of their home matches this season, four of which by wide margins.
- Cardiff Rugby have lost eight of their last 11 away games.
- Cardiff Rugby have lost their last five European away games.
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Our Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction
Despite their mixed fortunes lately, Stade Francais Paris remain strong favorites to ace Saturday's clash. Paul Gustard's men have turned Stade Jean-Bouin into a fortress, winning their last seven matches since last season. They will look to leverage this impressive run against the visiting Cardiff Rugby.
For Cardiff Rugby, this will be another difficult game with their poor record in recent European road games. Hence, our Stade Francais Paris vs Cardiff Rugby prediction is Stade Francais Paris -12.5 handicap points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.