St. Pauli vs Köln Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday 30 in the Bundesliga starts on Friday with a crucial relegation six-pointer between St Pauli and Koln. This match in Hamburg between the 16th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ and the 13th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 25 points (W6, D7, L16), St Pauli are currently in the relegation playoff spot, three points adrift of safety and four points above automatic relegation spots. Koln have a five-point gap to their hosts (W7, D9, L13) and are just three points behind ninth.
St Pauli were thrashed 5-0 at home by Bayern Munich last weekend to make it three defeats from their last four matches (D1). Failure to move out of the relegation zone could come back to haunt them if results don’t improve.
The defeat to Bayern was St Pauli’s second in a row at home, but three wins and draws each in six league matches prior to that here make them a tricky opponent.
Koln won 3-1 at home against Werder Bremen last weekend to make it six points from their last four league games (D3). Having built a good buffer with the relegation zone, the Billy Goats can move further up the standings with a win.
Their away form is a challenge, though, as Koln haven’t won in their last ten away league games (D4, L6).
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St. Pauli v Köln Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.06 | 3.2 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.32 | 2.44 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Köln?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Köln match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/04/2026 between St. Pauli and Köln in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.34% for a win of St. Pauli against Köln with odds of 3.1 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Köln is 44.48% with odds of 3.45 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Köln vs St. Pauli with odds of 2.53 at 888Starz.
St. Pauli - Köln Prediction and Best Odds:
| St. Pauli Köln Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.48% | 3.45 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.65% | 2.05 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 77.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.51% | 5 at Bet365 |
St. Pauli vs Köln Form
St. Pauli and Köln's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 |
|
18
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
St. Pauli and Köln Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Köln Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli against Köln Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
B. Voll
DefenderD. Nemeth
A. Dzwigala
M. Saliakas
C. Metcalfe
L. Oppie
ForwardM. Kaars
T. Hara
A. Ceesay
R. Zieler
DefenderK. Lund
J. Schmied
R. van den Berg
MidfielderT. Krauss
L. Maina
F. Chavez
L. Waldschmidt
M. Bulter
Missing players
S. Spari
DefenderE. Smith
MidfielderJ. Fujita
R. Jones
T. Hubers
Most goals and assists
St. Pauli
Köln
D. Sinani
(5 Goals)
S. El Mala
(13 Goals)
J. Fujita
(3 Assists)
L. Waldschmidt
(4 Assists)
,
M. Bulter
(4 Assists)
St. Pauli - Köln Key Points
- Koln have seen a joint league-high 22 matches produce goals from both teams.
- St Pauli have kept just two clean sheets in their 14 home league games this season.
- Twelve of Koln’s last 14 Bundesliga matches have produced BTTS.
- In seven of their last nine away league games, Koln have seen both teams score goals.
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Our St. Pauli vs Köln Prediction
The reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw, making it three consecutive matches between these sides that saw BTTS. With only five points separating these sides on either side of the relegation zone, the push for three points is immense. St Pauli are currently in the relegation play-off, and three points would be a massive boost. Koln could even breach the top ten with a win, so there’s enough incentive.
Both teams have their problems at the back, and that’s why our St. Pauli vs Koln prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Köln
| St. Pauli vs Köln | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 2.31 | 3.1 | +34.2% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.45 | +9.5% |
| Köln wins | 3.1 | 2.53 | -18.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 29.0% (-2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the St. Pauli vs. Köln game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
