St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League

Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League

St Patricks
02/08/2026 12:00
Derry City

Prediction :

 

St Patricks wins

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Matchday 26 of the Ireland Premier Division sees St Patricks and Derry City lock horns at Richmond Park. The hosts are enjoying a great run of form at home with three wins in four league games, and our prediction is for St Patricks to win.

St Patricks are among the main contenders alongside Bohemians in the race for the league title. With 43 points accumulated, they occupy second place in the league standings and are seven points adrift of the top spot.

Heading into this clash, the Saints have drawn their last two league games. In their recent match against Dundalk, they played out a 1-1 home draw with Sean Hoare scoring the equalizer in the second half.

In between those results, there was a confidence-boosting 2-1 home victory over Wexford in the second round of the FAI Cup.

Meanwhile, Derry City are in sixth place with 29 points in the league standings and have maintained a seven-point cushion over the relegation playoff spot.

The Candystripes enter this clash in a difficult run of form, having lost five of their last six matches across all competitions. A 1-0 home defeat against Rijeka in the Europa Conference League second qualifying round confirmed their elimination from the competition (2-0 aggregate).

In their latest league outing, they faced Waterford and were favorites to secure maximum points at home. That wasn't the case as they suffered a 4-2 defeat. 

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St Patricks v Derry City Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.75 3.35 4.4
1xbet
1.8 3.38 4.62
Melbet
1.79 3.42 4.62
Betwinner
1.79 3.42 4.62
22bet
1.8 3.38 4.62
Check all St Patricks vs Derry City odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between St Patricks and Derry City?

Our prediction for the St Patricks vs Derry City match is: St Patricks wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/08/2026 between St Patricks and Derry City in Airtricity League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.63% for a win of St Patricks against Derry City with odds of 1.92 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St Patricks vs Derry City is 28.16% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Derry City vs St Patricks with odds of 4.62 at 1xbet.

St Patricks vs Derry City Form

St Patricks and Derry City's standings in the Airtricity League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 St Patricks
43 25 12 7 6 +19
6 Derry City
29 25 6 11 8 +1

St Patricks and Derry City Last Matches

St Patricks
St Patricks Last matches
L W D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
1 :  1
Dundalk

17 Jul 2026 - FAI Cup

St Patricks
2 :  1
Wexford Youths

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

St Patricks
2 :  4
Doncaster

10 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  1
St Patricks

3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
3 :  0
Galway United FC

26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

Bohemians Dublin
2 :  0
St Patricks
W W W L W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
1 :  1
Dundalk

17 Jul 2026 - FAI Cup

St Patricks
2 :  1
Wexford Youths

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

St Patricks
2 :  4
Doncaster

3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
3 :  0
Galway United FC

19 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
2 :  0
Sligo Rovers

12 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
2 :  0
Drogheda United
D D D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  1
St Patricks

26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

Bohemians Dublin
2 :  0
St Patricks

29 May 2026 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
1 :  0
St Patricks

22 May 2026 - Airtricity League

Derry City
0 :  0
St Patricks

4 May 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
1 :  1
St Patricks

1 May 2026 - Airtricity League

Galway United FC
2 :  2
St Patricks
Derry City
Derry City Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Derry City
0 :  1
HNK Rijeka

23 Jul 2026 - Conference League

HNK Rijeka
1 :  0
Derry City

19 Jul 2026 - FAI Cup

Derry City
3 :  0
Tolka Rovers

16 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Derry City
1 :  2
PFC CSKA Sofia

9 Jul 2026 - Europa League

PFC CSKA Sofia
3 :  2
Derry City

3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Derry City
2 :  4
Waterford United
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Derry City
0 :  1
HNK Rijeka

19 Jul 2026 - FAI Cup

Derry City
3 :  0
Tolka Rovers

16 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Derry City
1 :  2
PFC CSKA Sofia

3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Derry City
2 :  4
Waterford United

26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

Derry City
2 :  0
Drogheda United

12 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

Derry City
4 :  1
Bohemians Dublin
D L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2026 - Conference League

HNK Rijeka
1 :  0
Derry City

9 Jul 2026 - Europa League

PFC CSKA Sofia
3 :  2
Derry City

22 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
1 :  1
Derry City

19 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

Galway United FC
2 :  1
Derry City

29 May 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
2 :  1
Derry City

15 May 2026 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
2 :  2
Derry City

St Patricks vs Derry City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

St Patricks

17 %

Draw

50 %

Derry City

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

22 May 2026 - Airtricity League

Derry City
0 :  0
St Patricks

16 Mar 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
0 :  0
Derry City

29 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
2 :  2
St Patricks

23 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
0 :  1
Derry City

5 May 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  0
St Patricks

3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
2 :  0
Derry City
St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction

St Patricks - Derry City Key Points

  1. St Patricks are unbeaten in their last three league games.
  2. Derry City have lost five of their last six matches across all competitions.
  3. St Patricks have won three of their last four home league games.
  4. Derry City are winless in their last six away league games.
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Our St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction

It has been a real struggle for St Patricks to get anything positive out of this fixture, going winless in five league games. However, there's a strong opportunity to end that run given their promising form. They are unbeaten in their last four home matches with three wins in the process.

Defeat is inevitable for Derry City given their erratic away form. Apart from going winless in eight outings across all competitions, they've navigated six league games without a win, recording three losses and three draws. Our St Patricks vs Derry City prediction: St Patricks wins.

Prediction :

 

St Patricks wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.