St Mirren vs Dundee United Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
17/05/2026 09:00
Dundee United

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

St Mirren are 11th in the table and their place in the relegation play-off has been confirmed. Saturday sees them host Dundee United who are seventh in the table. Both sides have been struggling for goals and our match prediction is less than 2.5 being scored.

The home side have only won eight of their 38 league games this season with 20 matches being lost. They won their last game 2-0 at Aberdeen but Kilmarnock's recent good form has condemned them to the play-offs.

The Saints have struggled for goals at home this season with only ten being scored in 18 games. Only 21 have been conceded though and three of their last five have seen less than 2.5 goals scored. St Mirren have failed to score in three of their last four home games.

Dundee United are 11 points above their opponents. They are seventh in the table but have gone three games without a win. Their most recent fixture saw the Tangerines held to a goalless draw by relegated Livingston.

They have failed to score in each of their last three league matches. Each of their last three away games has ended in defeat. Their last visit to St Mirren was in December 2025 and they lost that match 2-0. Another low-scoring game looks likely here. 

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St Mirren v Dundee United Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.34 3.6 3
Melbet
2.29 3.48 2.91
Betwinner
2.27 3.54 2.91
Bet365
2.3 3.5 2.85
Roobet
2.24 3.5 2.94
Check all St Mirren vs Dundee United odds

What is the prediction for the football match between St Mirren and Dundee United?

Our prediction for the St Mirren vs Dundee United match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between St Mirren and Dundee United in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.96% for a win of St Mirren against Dundee United with odds of 2.35 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St Mirren vs Dundee United is 12% with odds of 3.7 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Dundee United vs St Mirren with odds of 3 at Stake.

St Mirren - Dundee United Prediction and Best Odds:

St Mirren Dundee United Prediction Probability Odds
St Mirren wins 48.96% 2.35 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 54.64% 1.9 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 65.83% 2.28 at Betsson
Half-time / Full-time : St Mirren/St Mirren 23.12% 3.75 at Bet365

St Mirren vs Dundee United Form

St Mirren and Dundee United's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Dundee United
45 38 10 15 13 -11
5 St Mirren
34 38 8 10 20 -25

St Mirren and Dundee United Last Matches

St Mirren
St Mirren Last matches
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  2
St Mirren

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Kilmarnock

2 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
1 :  0
St Mirren

25 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  2
Livingston

19 Apr 2026 - Scottish Cup

Celtic
6 :  2
St Mirren

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
St Mirren
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Kilmarnock

25 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  2
Livingston

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  0
Aberdeen

15 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Rangers

8 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

St Mirren
2 :  1
Partick Thistle FC

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  5
Motherwell
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  2
St Mirren

2 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
1 :  0
St Mirren

19 Apr 2026 - Scottish Cup

Celtic
6 :  2
St Mirren

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
St Mirren

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  2
St Mirren

3 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  1
St Mirren
Dundee United
Dundee United Last matches
L W W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Livingston

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  0
Dundee United

2 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Dundee United

26 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  0
Dundee FC

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  2
Livingston

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
4 :  2
Dundee United
D W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Livingston

26 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  0
Dundee FC

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  2
Livingston

22 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  0
Celtic

3 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  1
St Mirren

24 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Aberdeen
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  0
Dundee United

2 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Dundee United

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
4 :  2
Dundee United

15 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
2 :  2
Dundee United

6 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

Falkirk
2 :  1
Dundee United

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Dundee United

St Mirren vs Dundee United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

St Mirren

33 %

Draw

0 %

Dundee United

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

3 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  1
St Mirren

6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  0
Dundee United

25 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  1
St Mirren

10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  2
St Mirren

11 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Dundee United

30 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  0
St Mirren

Players list

St Mirren
St Mirren
Goalkeeper

R. Sinclair

Defender

M. Freckleton

J. Richardson

M. Fraser

S. Tanser

Midfielder

R. Idowu

A. Gogic

M. O'Hara

A. Campbell

Forward

L. Douglas

J. Young

Dundee United
Dundee United
Goalkeeper

D. Richards

Defender

S. Harding

V. Sevelj

R. Graham

K. Keresztes

Midfielder

K. Gilligan

C. Sibbald

P. Camara

R. Strain

Forward

Z. Sapsford

M. Watters

Substitutes

St Mirren
St Mirren
M. Caiden
L. Douglas 85'
Goalkeeper

G. Tamosevicius

Defender

R. King

M. Fraser 66'

T. Falconer

M. Freckleton 46'

Midfielder

J. Devaney

M. O'Hara 46'

L. Donnelly

Forward

K. Phillips

J. Calvin

S. Tanser 66'

M. Mandron

Dundee United
Dundee United
Goalkeeper

R. Adams

Defender

B. Esselink

C. Sibbald 74'

D. Naamo

M. Mudie

Midfielder

S. Constable

R. Strain 66'

J. Eskesen

S. Harding 60'

Forward

J. Russell

M. Watters 60'

O. Stirton

Z. Sapsford 74'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato St Mirren
CD Huachipato Dundee United
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland K. Phillips (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Australia Z. Sapsford (9 Goals)

St Mirren - Dundee United Key Points

  1. St Mirren's 18 home league games have only seen 31 goals scored.
  2. St Mirren have failed to score in three of their last four home games and the same stat applies for games at all venues.
  3. The last three St Mirren home games against Dundee United have all seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Dundee United have failed to score in their last three games.
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Our St Mirren vs Dundee United Prediction

St Mirren need to find some form ahead of their relegation play-off. They are 11th in the table and in no danger of autoomatic relegation. Scoring goals has been a problem for them this season with them only scoring in one of their last four fixtures.

Dundee United will finish seventh in the table regardless of the result on Saturday.. They have gone three games without a win and failed to score in those matches. Their current away form is poor and our St Mirren v Dundee United prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St Mirren Dundee United

St Mirren vs Dundee United Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
St Mirren wins 2.25 2.35 +4.4%
Draw 3.6 3.7 +2.8%
Dundee United wins 3.05 3 -1.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • St Mirren is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 42.6% (-1.9%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

St Mirren vs Dundee United Prediction